GIL Vicente v Vitória SC prediction

Primeira Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for GIL Vicente v Vitória SC, Primeira Liga on Mon, 02 Nov 2026 20:15 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,735 of 2,341 times (74.1%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

GIL Vicente host Vitória SC in the Primeira Liga on Monday 2 November (kick-off 20:15 UK); the model’s free pick is GIL Vicente or Vitória SC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

GIL Vicente are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Vitória SC, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Six of GIL Vicente’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of GIL Vicente’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, GIL Vicente have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.00. GIL Vicente have scored eight goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). GIL Vicente have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Four of Vitória SC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Vitória SC’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Vitória SC have two wins, no draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.88. Vitória SC have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Vitória SC have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

GIL Vicente (seventh) and Vitória SC (13th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have GIL Vicente the stronger side, 97 rating points above Vitória SC (GIL Vicente 1603, Vitória SC 1507, after at least 247 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished GIL Vicente 0–1 Guimaraes.

Team news

Predicted GIL Vicente XI (4-2-3-1): Lucão, J. Buatu, M. Elimbi Gilbert, R. Esgaio, D. Moreira, Murilo, D. Prioste, A. Lausen, S. García, G. Martins, H. Hernández — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Murilo (3.3 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and Ricardo Esgaio (3.2 per match over nine appearances) have been GIL Vicente’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for GIL Vicente (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Murilo averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 575 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances. Ricardo Esgaio averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 792 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Vitória SC XI (4-2-3-1): O. Zych, J. Mendes, T. Strata, T. Balieiro, T. Borevković, Samu, O. Camara, G. Nogueira, Beni, L. Doucet, A. Jakupovic — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Arnel Jakupovic (3.7 per match over five appearances, two goals) and Gustavo (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Vitória SC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Vitória SC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Arnel Jakupovic averages 3.9 shots per 90 over 459 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last nine appearances. Gustavo averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 592 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): GIL Vicente 1 · draws 1 · Vitória SC 4 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: GIL Vicente 3W 1D 1L · Vitória SC 2W 1D 2L

GIL Vicente v Vitória SC (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3 / 6.57
Corners
against 5.71 / 4.14 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.29 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.14 / 3 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 2.86
Cards
against 2 / 2 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGIL Vicente for / againstLineVitória SC for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.25our book
1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 5.71 against n 7
9.5standard
6.57 for · 4.14 against n 7
Shots
13.71 for · 11.71 against n 7
19.5standard
17.43 for · 10.57 against n 7
Shots on target
3.29 for · 3.14 against n 7
8.5standard
5 for · 3 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.86 for · 12.71 against n 7
21.5standard
15.86 for · 10.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2.29 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
2.86 for · 2 against n 7

GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente Goalkeeper

GIL Vicente — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lucão991819 min192.1 /9050.5 /9000 /90
GIL Vicente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for GIL Vicente before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucão n 890
2.16/2

GIL Vicente Defensive

GIL Vicente — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jonathan Buatu991819 min91 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90343.7 /9080.9 /9000 /90
M. Elimbi Gilbert990811 min151.7 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90343.8 /9091 /9010.1 /90
Ricardo Esgaio988792 min263 /9070.8 /9040.5 /90404.5 /90161.8 /9030.3 /90
David Moreira779553 min61 /9050.8 /9000 /90213.4 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Weverson456223 min41.6 /9031.2 /9000 /90104 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
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GIL Vicente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for GIL Vicente before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jonathan Buatu n 890
16/2
0.64/1
—
Lucão n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Elimbi Gilbert n 889
0.95/2
0.53/1
—
Ricardo Esgaio n 886.6
2.18/6
0.63/1
—
Gil Pinto Martins n 866.9
1.35/2
15/1
—
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GIL Vicente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for GIL Vicente before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jonathan Buatu n 890
0.96/1
M. Elimbi Gilbert n 889
1.97/5
Ricardo Esgaio n 886.6
2.77/4
Gil Pinto Martins n 866.9
1.75/1
Murilo n 871.9
0.84/1
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GIL Vicente Attacking

GIL Vicente — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Héctor Hernández768474 min30.6 /9010.2 /90132.5 /9061.1 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
Mohamed Kaba732225 min00 /9000 /9062.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9000 /90
T. Touré32267 min00 /9000 /9034 /9022.7 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
Carlos Eduardo258115 min00 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Walace dos Santos França253105 min10.9 /9000 /9043.4 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9000 /90
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GIL Vicente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for GIL Vicente before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jonathan Buatu n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Lucão n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Elimbi Gilbert n 889
0.32/0
00/0
Ricardo Esgaio n 886.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
Gil Pinto Martins n 866.9
1.76/3
0.74/0
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GIL Vicente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for GIL Vicente before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jonathan Buatu n 890
00/0
00/0
Lucão n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Elimbi Gilbert n 889
00/0
00/0
Ricardo Esgaio n 886.6
00/0
00/0
Gil Pinto Martins n 866.9
0.21/0
0.32/0
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Vitória SC

Vitória SC Goalkeeper

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Zych890720 min141.8 /9070.9 /9000 /90
Lucas Furtado19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Vitória SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Zych n 890
1.85/3

Vitória SC Defensive

Vitória SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
João Mendes990810 min171.9 /9060.7 /9030.3 /90323.6 /90101.1 /9000 /90
T. Strata976687 min192.5 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90344.5 /90131.7 /9020.3 /90
Thiago Balieiro890720 min151.9 /90202.5 /9020.3 /90283.5 /90141.8 /9030.4 /90
Óscar Rivas576379 min40.9 /9071.7 /9020.5 /90204.7 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90
T. Borevković390270 min41.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90103.3 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
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Vitória SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
João Mendes n 890
1.15/3
0.32/0
—
Samu n 880
2.17/4
14/3
—
T. Strata n 883.3
1.67/5
0.43/0
—
O. Camara n 856.3
0.83/1
1.47/0
—
Beni n 849.8
26/2
1.44/2
—
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Vitória SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
João Mendes n 890
2.17/3
Samu n 880
2.78/6
T. Strata n 883.3
2.68/6
O. Camara n 856.3
1.23/3
Beni n 849.8
1.45/1
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Vitória SC Attacking

Vitória SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Ndoye669416 min10.2 /9000 /90173.7 /9040.9 /9081.7 /9051.1 /90
A. Jakupovic569345 min20.5 /9000 /90123.1 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9041 /90
Samu981730 min10.1 /9010.1 /90131.6 /9060.7 /90182.2 /9020.2 /90
O. Camara958520 min10.2 /9000 /90111.9 /9061 /9091.6 /9091.6 /90
Beni954488 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9040.7 /9081.5 /90
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Vitória SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
João Mendes n 890
15/2
0.31/1
Samu n 880
1.76/3
0.84/2
T. Strata n 883.3
0.73/1
0.32/0
O. Camara n 856.3
25/2
1.23/2
Beni n 849.8
00/0
00/0
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Vitória SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
João Mendes n 890
00/0
00/0
Samu n 880
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Strata n 883.3
00/0
0.11/0
O. Camara n 856.3
0.21/0
00/0
Beni n 849.8
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind GIL Vicente v Vitória SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GIL VicenteDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Vitória SCLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
GIL Vicente 1 · 1 draw · Vitória SC 4 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-18 GIL Vicente 0–1 Guimaraes
  • 2025-12-08 Guimaraes 0–0 GIL Vicente
  • 2025-04-11 GIL Vicente 0–1 Guimaraes
  • 2024-12-02 Guimaraes 4–0 GIL Vicente
  • 2024-02-08 Guimaraes 3–1 GIL Vicente
  • 2024-01-28 GIL Vicente 1–0 Guimaraes
League standing · 2026/27
GIL Vicente#7 pos14 pts9 pl+1 GD
Vitória SC#13 pos8 pts9 pl0 GD
Goals per game
GIL Vicente scored0.89
Vitória SC scored1.11
GIL Vicente conceded0.78
Vitória SC conceded1.11

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win GIL Vicente v Vitória SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for GIL Vicente v Vitória SC is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between GIL Vicente and Vitória SC?
In their last 6 meetings, GIL Vicente won 1, Vitória SC won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of GIL Vicente and Vitória SC?
Recent form — GIL Vicente 3W 1D 1L; Vitória SC 2W 1D 2L.

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