Maritimo v Nacional prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri, 27 Nov 2026 20:15 GMT

Updated 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Maritimo v Nacional, Primeira Liga on Fri, 27 Nov 2026 20:15 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Maritimo host Nacional in the Primeira Liga on Friday 27 November (kick-off 20:15 UK).

Form and the table

11 of Maritimo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Maritimo’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Maritimo have one win, one draw and four defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 2.00. Maritimo have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Maritimo have conceded 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Six of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Nacional have one win, one draw and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.50. Nacional have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Nacional have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Maritimo (14th) and Nacional (15th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Nacional the stronger side, 58 rating points above Maritimo (Nacional 1380, Maritimo 1322, after at least 146 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Maritimo are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Nacional. The most recent meeting, on 12 March 2021, finished Nacional 1–2 Maritimo.

Team news

Predicted Maritimo XI (4-2-3-1): F. Vieites, R. Correia, G. Szalai, P. Henrique, I. Julião, R. Guzzo, R. Andrade, M. Tejón, M. Dominguez, I. Alani, A. Butzke — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Fran Vieites (4.3 per match over four appearances) and Martín Tejón (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Maritimo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Maritimo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Fran Vieites averages 4.0 saves per 90 over 360 minutes. Martín Tejón averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 836 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Nacional XI (4-2-3-1): R. Bellucci, Z. Vitor, F. Gonçalves, W. Kokolo, M. Jensen, M. Baeza, C. Labidi, M. Song, S. Gavriel, M. Dias, N. Kader — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liziero (5.3 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and Léo Santos (3.9 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Nacional’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nacional (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liziero averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 338 minutes. Léo Santos averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 405 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 27 Nov 2026 20:15 GMT · Primeira Liga
Head-to-head (last 4): Maritimo 2 · draws 1 · Nacional 1 · 2.25 goals/game
Recent form: Maritimo 1W 1D 3L · Nacional 1W 0D 4L

Maritimo v Nacional (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.75

Goals

against 2.38 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.71 / 3.86

Corners

against 4 / 5.71 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.14 / 3.29

Shots on target

against 6.14 / 5.57 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2 / 1.57

Cards

against 2.29 / 2.29 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Maritimo for / against	Line	Nacional for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.71 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.86 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	10.14 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	9 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.14 for · 6.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.29 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.86 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.71 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.57 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5

Maritimo

Maritimo Goalkeeper

Maritimo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alfonso Pastor	6	90540 min	213.5 /90	111.8 /90	00 /90
Fran Vieites	4	90360 min	164 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90

Maritimo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alfonso Pastor n 6	90	3.5 5/5
Fran Vieites n 4	90	4 4/4

Maritimo Defensive

Maritimo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Paulo Henrique	10	90900 min	90.9 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90	484.8 /90	80.8 /90	00 /90
Romain Correia	10	90900 min	101 /90	111.1 /90	50.5 /90	373.7 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90
Igor Julião	10	89888 min	161.6 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90	404.1 /90	212.1 /90	40.4 /90
Rafael Fernandes	7	90627 min	91.3 /90	10.1 /90	30.4 /90	365.2 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
G. Szalai	4	86344 min	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	133.4 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
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Maritimo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Paulo Henrique n 8	90	0.6 3/1	1.4 5/4	—
Romain Correia n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.8 5/1	—
Igor Julião n 8	88.5	2.5 8/6	1.1 5/4	—
Raphael Guzzo n 8	82.1	1.2 6/3	1.1 5/2	—
Martín Tejón n 8	84.5	1.1 6/2	2.5 7/5	—
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Maritimo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Romain Correia n 8	90	1.1 6/3
Paulo Henrique n 8	90	0.8 4/2
Igor Julião n 8	88.5	1.1 5/2
Martín Tejón n 8	84.5	1.5 6/3
Raphael Guzzo n 8	82.1	1.5 6/3
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Maritimo Attacking

Maritimo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Adrián Butzke	10	82817 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	131.4 /90	30.3 /90	121.3 /90	60.7 /90
M. Diouri	6	53315 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	72 /90	20.6 /90
Samuel Bamba	5	24119 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.5 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
B. Limbombe	4	47188 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	41.9 /90
Maurice Osei Boakye	3	2370 min	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	22.6 /90	00 /90
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Maritimo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 8	90	1 4/2	0.4 3/0
Romain Correia n 8	90	0.8 6/0	0.1 1/0
Igor Julião n 8	88.5	0.5 4/0	0.4 3/0
Martín Tejón n 8	84.5	1.9 7/4	0.5 2/2
Raphael Guzzo n 8	82.1	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
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Maritimo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Romain Correia n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Igor Julião n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Martín Tejón n 8	84.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Raphael Guzzo n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Nacional

Nacional Goalkeeper

Nacional — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Renato Bellucci	10	90900 min	353.5 /90	151.5 /90	10.1 /90

Nacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Renato Bellucci n 8	90	3.2 7/6

Nacional Defensive

Nacional — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Zé Vitor	10	86855 min	181.9 /90	90.9 /90	60.6 /90	525.5 /90	90.9 /90	10.1 /90
Matheus Dias	9	81727 min	81 /90	131.6 /90	40.5 /90	313.8 /90	121.5 /90	30.4 /90
W. Kokolo	8	76607 min	121.8 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90	233.4 /90	71 /90	20.3 /90
Francisco Gonçalves	6	90540 min	122 /90	91.5 /90	00 /90	254.2 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90
Léo Santos	5	81405 min	51.1 /90	51.1 /90	30.7 /90	245.3 /90	61.3 /90	00 /90
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Nacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Renato Bellucci n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Zé Vitor n 8	84.4	0.9 4/2	0.5 3/1	—
Miguel Baeza n 8	74.4	0.3 2/0	1.1 4/2	—
Matheus Dias n 8	79.6	1.7 7/4	0.3 2/0	—
Stavros Gavriel n 8	51.8	1.1 3/1	1.1 2/2	—
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Nacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Zé Vitor n 8	84.4	1.7 8/4
Miguel Baeza n 8	74.4	0.6 3/1
Matheus Dias n 8	79.6	1.1 6/2
Stavros Gavriel n 8	51.8	2 4/3
W. Kokolo n 8	75.9	1.8 7/4
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Nacional Attacking

Nacional — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Pablo Ruan	8	66525 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	81.4 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90
Daniel Júnior	6	72433 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90	71.5 /90	81.7 /90
A. Obando	4	40160 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
N. Kader	3	77230 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90
Miguel Baeza	10	73733 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	81 /90	60.7 /90	101.2 /90	30.4 /90
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Nacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Renato Bellucci n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Zé Vitor n 8	84.4	0.7 4/1	0 0/0
Miguel Baeza n 8	74.4	1.1 7/0	0.8 5/0
Matheus Dias n 8	79.6	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
Stavros Gavriel n 8	51.8	1.7 6/2	0.9 3/1
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Nacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Renato Bellucci n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Zé Vitor n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Miguel Baeza n 8	74.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Matheus Dias n 8	79.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Stavros Gavriel n 8	51.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Maritimo v Nacional — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MaritimoDLWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

NacionalLLLWL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Maritimo 2 · 1 draw · Nacional 1 · 2.25 goals/game

2021-03-12 Nacional 1–2 Maritimo
2020-10-31 Maritimo 0–0 Nacional
2019-03-31 Maritimo 3–2 Nacional
2018-11-10 Nacional 1–0 Maritimo

League standing · 2026/27

Maritimo#14 pos8 pts10 pl-12 GD

Nacional#15 pos7 pts10 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Maritimo scored0.9

Nacional scored1

Maritimo conceded2.1

Nacional conceded1.9

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Maritimo and Nacional?: In their last 4 meetings, Maritimo won 2, Nacional won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Maritimo and Nacional?: Recent form — Maritimo 1W 1D 3L; Nacional 1W 0D 4L.

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