Nacional v Academico Viseu prediction

Primeira Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Total corners total under 11.5 the free pick for Nacional v Academico Viseu, Primeira Liga on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:30 GMT.

Free pick
Total corners total under 11.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Nacional host Academico Viseu in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Total corners total under 11.5, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Six of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Nacional have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.50. Nacional have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Nacional have conceded 18 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Academico Viseu’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Academico Viseu’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Academico Viseu have four wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.78 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 0.78. Academico Viseu have scored 13 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Academico Viseu have conceded 11 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nacional (15th) and Academico Viseu (sixth) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Academico Viseu the stronger side, 418 rating points above Nacional (Academico Viseu 1806, Nacional 1388, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Nacional XI (3-4-2-1): R. Bellucci, Z. Vitor, F. Gonçalves, W. Kokolo, M. Baeza, C. Labidi, S. Gavriel, M. Song, M. Djaló, D. Dongmo, N. Kader — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liziero (5.3 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and Léo Santos (3.9 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Nacional’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nacional (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liziero averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 338 minutes. Léo Santos averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 405 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last five appearances.

Predicted Academico Viseu XI (5-4-1): Ewerton, A. Correia, N. Michelis, Robinho, M. Brau, G. Costa, S. Messeguem, J. Guilherme, C. Kahraman, L. Silva, A. Clóvis — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Robinho (4.5 per match over nine appearances, two assists) and João Guilherme (4.1 per match over nine appearances, three goals) have been Academico Viseu’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Academico Viseu (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Robinho averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 793 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances. João Guilherme averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 787 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Nacional 1W 0D 4L · Academico Viseu 4W 0D 1L

Nacional v Academico Viseu (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 2.29
Corners
against 5.14 / 5.86 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.14 / 3.71
Shots on target
against 5.71 / 5.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 3.14
Cards
against 2.29 / 1.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNacional for / againstLineAcademico Viseu for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 5.14 against n 7
9.5standard
2.29 for · 5.86 against n 7
Shots
9.29 for · 15.57 against n 7
19.5standard
10.14 for · 18.57 against n 7
Shots on target
3.14 for · 5.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3.71 for · 5.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.43 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
14.29 for · 12.71 against n 7
Cards shown
1.43 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
3.14 for · 1.57 against n 7

Nacional

Nacional Goalkeeper

Nacional — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Renato Bellucci990810 min313.4 /90151.7 /9010.1 /90
Nacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Renato Bellucci n 890
3.47/6

Nacional Defensive

Nacional — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Zé Vitor985765 min151.8 /9080.9 /9060.7 /90475.5 /9091.1 /9010.1 /90
Matheus Dias880637 min60.8 /90121.7 /9040.6 /90243.4 /90111.6 /9030.4 /90
W. Kokolo774517 min111.9 /9050.9 /9000 /90213.7 /9071.2 /9020.3 /90
Francisco Gonçalves590450 min112.2 /9081.6 /9000 /90214.2 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
Léo Santos581405 min51.1 /9051.1 /9030.7 /90245.3 /9061.3 /9000 /90
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Nacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Renato Bellucci n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Zé Vitor n 884.4
1.25/3
0.53/1
—
Miguel Baeza n 872.5
0.32/0
0.93/2
—
Matheus Dias n 879.6
1.66/4
0.32/0
—
Stavros Gavriel n 845.3
12/1
1.73/3
—
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Nacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Zé Vitor n 884.4
1.68/4
Miguel Baeza n 872.5
0.63/1
Matheus Dias n 879.6
0.85/1
Stavros Gavriel n 845.3
2.55/3
W. Kokolo n 773.9
1.96/4
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Nacional Attacking

Nacional — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Pablo Ruan772506 min10.2 /9000 /9081.4 /9040.7 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
Daniel Júnior672433 min00 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9000 /9071.5 /9081.7 /90
A. Obando440160 min00 /9000 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9000 /90
N. Kader280159 min21.1 /9000 /9031.7 /9021.1 /9000 /9010.6 /90
Miguel Baeza972652 min20.3 /9000 /9071 /9050.7 /90101.4 /9010.1 /90
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Nacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Renato Bellucci n 890
00/0
00/0
Zé Vitor n 884.4
0.84/2
0.11/0
Miguel Baeza n 872.5
0.96/0
0.64/0
Matheus Dias n 879.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
Stavros Gavriel n 845.3
1.75/2
13/1
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Nacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Renato Bellucci n 890
00/0
00/0
Zé Vitor n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
Miguel Baeza n 872.5
0.21/0
00/0
Matheus Dias n 879.6
00/0
00/0
Stavros Gavriel n 845.3
00/0
00/0
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Academico Viseu

Academico Viseu Goalkeeper

Academico Viseu — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ewerton991817 min384.2 /9091 /9000 /90
Academico Viseu — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Academico Viseu before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ewerton n 890
3.86/4

Academico Viseu Defensive

Academico Viseu — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Correia991817 min30.3 /9020.2 /90101.1 /90131.4 /9091 /9030.3 /90
Robinho988793 min202.3 /90192.2 /9020.2 /90495.6 /9091 /9010.1 /90
N. Michelis884669 min81.1 /9050.7 /9030.4 /90283.8 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
G. Costa475298 min51.5 /9061.8 /9000 /90144.2 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
Miguel Brau460241 min51.9 /9031.1 /9000 /90114.1 /9041.5 /9000 /90
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Academico Viseu — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Academico Viseu before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Correia n 890
16/2
0.42/1
—
Ewerton n 890
00/0
0.63/2
—
S. Messeguem n 888.5
2.27/5
1.45/4
—
Robinho n 887
1.26/3
0.84/2
—
João Guilherme n 886.3
1.87/2
2.58/6
—
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Academico Viseu — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Academico Viseu before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Correia n 890
0.43/0
S. Messeguem n 888.5
1.56/4
Robinho n 887
2.57/4
João Guilherme n 886.3
1.35/2
André Clóvis n 879.3
0.43/0
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Academico Viseu Attacking

Academico Viseu — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
André Clóvis979713 min40.5 /9000 /90222.8 /9091.1 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
L. Gohi947427 min10.2 /9000 /9081.7 /9040.8 /9061.3 /9091.9 /90
Á. Zamora550250 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9000 /90
Nils Mortimer531156 min00 /9000 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9021.2 /9021.2 /90
D. Steczyk32368 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Academico Viseu — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Academico Viseu before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Correia n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Ewerton n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Messeguem n 888.5
0.83/3
0.52/2
Robinho n 887
0.11/0
00/0
João Guilherme n 886.3
1.87/6
0.74/1
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Academico Viseu — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Academico Viseu before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Correia n 890
00/0
0.32/0
Ewerton n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Messeguem n 888.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Robinho n 887
00/0
0.11/0
João Guilherme n 886.3
0.42/1
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nacional v Academico Viseu — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NacionalLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Academico ViseuWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Nacional#15 pos7 pts9 pl-8 GD
Academico Viseu#6 pos17 pts9 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Nacional scored1.11
Academico Viseu scored1.44
Nacional conceded2
Academico Viseu conceded1.22

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Nacional v Academico Viseu?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nacional v Academico Viseu is Total corners total under 11.5.
What is the recent form of Nacional and Academico Viseu?
Recent form — Nacional 1W 0D 4L; Academico Viseu 4W 0D 1L.

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