Santa Clara v Estrela prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT

Updated 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Santa Clara v Estrela, Primeira Liga on Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Santa Clara host Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 27 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

Form and the table

Seven of Santa Clara’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Santa Clara’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Santa Clara have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.71. Santa Clara have scored 15 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Santa Clara have conceded six goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

11 of Estrela’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Estrela’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Estrela have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 2.00. Estrela have scored 15 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Estrela have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Santa Clara (fourth) and Estrela (12th) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Santa Clara the stronger side, 362 rating points above Estrela (Santa Clara 1737, Estrela 1376, after at least 114 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Estrela are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Santa Clara. The most recent meeting, on 7 February 2026, finished Estrela 1–0 Santa Clara.

Team news

Predicted Santa Clara XI (4-2-3-1): L. França, P. Pacheco, E. Fernandes, L. Soares, G. Romão, T. Ribeiro, P. Ferreira, D. Borges, J. Tavares, J. Vasconcelos, V. Lopes — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gonçalo Paciência (5.1 per match over eight appearances, five goals and one assist) and Vinícius Lopes (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Santa Clara’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Santa Clara (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gonçalo Paciência averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 608 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Vinícius Lopes averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 772 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Estrela XI (4-2-3-1): L. Linck, S. Leković, M. Scholze, P. Luan, R. Soares, A. Marcus, L. Zvonarek, S. Serra, I. Stoica, E. Doue, L. Antonetti — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Marcus (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and one assist) and I. Stoica (4.5 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Estrela’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estrela (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Marcus averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 893 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. I. Stoica averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 681 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · Primeira Liga
Head-to-head (last 4): Santa Clara 1 · draws 2 · Estrela 1 · 0.5 goals/game
Recent form: Santa Clara 2W 1D 2L · Estrela 1W 0D 4L

Santa Clara v Estrela (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.25

Goals

against 0.75 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.29 / 5.14

Corners

against 4.71 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4 / 3.71

Shots on target

against 2.86 / 4.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

3.71 / 2

Cards

against 3 / 2.14 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Santa Clara for / against	Line	Estrela for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.29 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.14 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	14.14 for · 10.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.71 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.43 for · 13.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.43 for · 11.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	3.71 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5

Santa Clara

Santa Clara Goalkeeper

Santa Clara — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Lucas França	9	90810 min	171.9 /90	40.4 /90	00 /90
Neneca	1	9090 min	66 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Santa Clara — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Lucas França n 8	90	1.9 5/3

Santa Clara Defensive

Santa Clara — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Pedro Pacheco	10	90900 min	121.2 /90	141.4 /90	10.1 /90	282.8 /90	121.2 /90	20.2 /90
Guilherme Romão	10	87868 min	151.6 /90	111.1 /90	00 /90	444.6 /90	80.8 /90	20.2 /90
Emanuel Fernandes	9	89797 min	30.3 /90	141.6 /90	40.5 /90	222.5 /90	91 /90	40.5 /90
Lucas Soares	6	89535 min	101.7 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90	152.5 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90
Diogo Calila	4	89355 min	102.5 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90	225.6 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Santa Clara — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Pedro Pacheco n 8	90	1.3 7/3	0.1 1/0	—
Guilherme Romão n 8	86	0.8 3/2	1.4 6/3	—
Vinícius Lopes n 8	78.3	1.6 6/4	2.6 8/5	—
Lucas França n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Pedro Ferreira n 8	89.4	1.5 7/3	0.5 4/0	—
See more players · Pro

Santa Clara — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Pedro Pacheco n 8	90	1.3 4/2
Guilherme Romão n 8	86	1.8 7/5
Vinícius Lopes n 8	78.3	1.7 6/2
Pedro Ferreira n 8	89.4	4.2 8/8
Emanuel Fernandes n 8	88.4	0.4 3/0
See more players · Pro

Santa Clara Attacking

Santa Clara — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Vinícius Lopes	10	77772 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	131.5 /90	60.7 /90	202.3 /90	151.7 /90
Gonçalo Paciência	8	76608 min	50.7 /90	10.1 /90	223.3 /90	111.6 /90	71 /90	81.2 /90
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos	8	62495 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	112 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90	81.5 /90
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira	8	38300 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.8 /90	30.9 /90	51.5 /90	51.5 /90
Welinton Torrão	6	21128 min	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	21.4 /90
See more players · Pro

Santa Clara — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Pedro Pacheco n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Guilherme Romão n 8	86	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Vinícius Lopes n 8	78.3	1.6 6/4	0.7 3/2
Lucas França n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pedro Ferreira n 8	89.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Santa Clara — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santa Clara before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Pedro Pacheco n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Guilherme Romão n 8	86	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Vinícius Lopes n 8	78.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Lucas França n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pedro Ferreira n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Estrela

Estrela Goalkeeper

Estrela — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Léo Linck	10	90900 min	272.7 /90	101 /90	00 /90

Estrela — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Léo Linck n 8	90	2.4 8/3

Estrela Defensive

Estrela — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Scholze	10	75746 min	323.9 /90	91.1 /90	30.4 /90	425.1 /90	40.5 /90	30.4 /90
S. Leković	9	90810 min	101.1 /90	60.7 /90	40.4 /90	384.2 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90
Rafa Soares	9	87780 min	131.5 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90	182.1 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90
Luan Patrick	6	90540 min	152.5 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	203.3 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90
Jefferson Encada	6	28166 min	42.2 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	168.7 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Estrela — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Léo Linck n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
L. Antonetti n 8	89.5	1.6 8/3	1.6 7/4	—
A. Marcus n 8	89.3	0.9 5/2	1.3 4/3	—
L. Zvonarek n 8	84.3	1.6 8/3	1.6 6/4	—
M. Scholze n 8	80.8	0.6 4/0	0.7 3/2	—
See more players · Pro

Estrela — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Antonetti n 8	89.5	1.4 5/3
A. Marcus n 8	89.3	1.4 6/2
L. Zvonarek n 8	84.3	1.2 5/3
M. Scholze n 8	80.8	3.6 7/6
I. Stoica n 8	67.9	1.7 7/2
See more players · Pro

Estrela Attacking

Estrela — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Antonetti	10	89893 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	252.5 /90	80.8 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
A. Marcus	10	89893 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	191.9 /90	101 /90	141.4 /90	212.1 /90
L. Zvonarek	10	85854 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	111.2 /90	20.2 /90	90.9 /90	50.5 /90
I. Stoica	10	68681 min	40.5 /90	20.3 /90	202.6 /90	60.8 /90	111.5 /90	101.3 /90
Eddy Doue	9	80722 min	00 /90	30.4 /90	40.5 /90	20.2 /90	101.2 /90	121.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Estrela — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Linck n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Antonetti n 8	89.5	2.4 7/5	0.5 4/0
A. Marcus n 8	89.3	1.9 8/5	0.9 4/3
L. Zvonarek n 8	84.3	1.3 6/3	0.1 1/0
M. Scholze n 8	80.8	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

Estrela — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Léo Linck n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Marcus n 8	89.3	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
L. Antonetti n 8	89.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
L. Zvonarek n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Scholze n 8	80.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Santa Clara v Estrela — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Santa ClaraDWLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

EstrelaLLWLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Santa Clara 1 · 2 draws · Estrela 1 · 0.5 goals/game

2026-02-07 Estrela 1–0 Santa Clara
2025-08-31 Santa Clara 0–0 Estrela
2025-02-23 Estrela 0–0 Santa Clara
2024-09-21 Santa Clara 1–0 Estrela

League standing · 2026/27

Santa Clara#4 pos21 pts10 pl+9 GD

Estrela#12 pos10 pts10 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Santa Clara scored1.5

Estrela scored1.5

Santa Clara conceded0.6

Estrela conceded1.9

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Santa Clara and Estrela?: In their last 4 meetings, Santa Clara won 1, Estrela won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 0.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Santa Clara and Estrela?: Recent form — Santa Clara 2W 1D 2L; Estrela 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.