SC Braga v Vitória SC result

Full-time · SC Braga 1–0 Vitória SC

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Braga

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

SC Braga 1–0 Vitória SC — SC Braga won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 3.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 3.5 goals
Best price: 1.30 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 3.5 goals in the last 90 days, 72.7% of 1794 landed (95% range 70.6–74.7%); it had given them 77.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated under 3.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 861 of 1,232 times (69.9%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

SC Braga beat Vitória SC 1–0 at Estádio Municipal de Braga in the Primeira Liga on Monday 31 August. SC Braga are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — SC Braga: Diego Rodrigues (79’, assisted by Gabriel Silva).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: SC Braga 0.93, Vitória SC 0.47, from 9 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso, Portugal showed five yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — SC Braga: Demir Ege Tıknaz (37’) and Vitor Carvalho (67’); Vitória SC: Óscar Rivas (4’), Tony Strata (53’) and Gustavo (74’).

What it changes

SC Braga move down from fifth to ninth (two league matches played). SC Braga have scored nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SC Braga have conceded 11 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Vitória SC move down from ninth to 12th (four league matches played). Vitória SC have scored 10 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Vitória SC have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

SC Braga have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gabriel Silva (SC Braga) 5.9, Vitor Carvalho (SC Braga) 4.6 and Diego Rodrigues (SC Braga) 4.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

SC Braga are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Vitória SC, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 3.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 72.7% of the time in the last 90 days (1304 of 1794).

Next up

SC Braga next host Famalicao on 1 November 2026.

Vitória SC next travel to GIL Vicente on 2 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SC Braga: SC Braga v Famalicao, Sunday 1 November — the preview. Next for Vitória SC: GIL Vicente v Vitória SC, Monday 2 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SC Braga 1–0 Vitória SC · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Braga · Braga
  • Referee: Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SC Braga 2 · draws 3 · Vitória SC 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Braga 2W 3D 0L · Vitória SC 1W 0D 4L

SC Braga 1–0 Vitória SC (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.33 / 4.38
Corners
against 2.5 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.17 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 2 / 4.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.33 / 2.63
Cards
against 3.17 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4.33 yellows
Referee · Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso, Portugal
25.17 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSC Braga for / againstLineVitória SC for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.33 for · 2.5 against n 6
9.5standard
4.38 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
8.17 for · 4.33 against n 6
19.5standard
15.25 for · 7.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.17 for · 2 against n 6
8.5standard
3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 13.67 against n 6
21.5standard
13.5 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.33 for · 3.17 against n 6
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso, Portugal — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.17 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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SC Braga

SC Braga Goalkeeper

SC Braga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Bernardo Fontes394282 min31 /9020.6 /9000 /90
SC Braga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Bernardo Fontes n 394
10/0

SC Braga Defensive

SC Braga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Lagerbielke394282 min41.3 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90123.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Vitor Carvalho394281 min00 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90113.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Adrian Bajrami380240 min41.5 /9051.9 /9010.4 /90103.8 /9093.4 /9000 /90
Diogo Travassos24284 min22.1 /9000 /9000 /901010.7 /9044.3 /9011.1 /90
B. Arrey-Mbi14242 min12.1 /9000 /9000 /9024.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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SC Braga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Lagerbielke n 891.5
0.21/1
1.15/2
João Mendes
Bernardo Fontes n 394
00/0
00/0
—
Vitor Carvalho n 883
0.52/1
0.43/0
Thiago Balieiro
Gabriel Silva n 388
0.72/0
3.83/3
Samu
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 882.3
1.56/3
0.53/1
—
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SC Braga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Lagerbielke n 891.5
1.68/3
Vitor Carvalho n 883
0.94/2
Gabriel Silva n 388
1.42/1
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 882.3
38/6
Adrian Bajrami n 380
1.52/2
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SC Braga Attacking

SC Braga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Fran Navarro374221 min10.4 /9000 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9000 /90
Pau Victor371213 min20.8 /9000 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9020.8 /9020.8 /90
D. Huseinbašić266131 min00 /9000 /9032.1 /9021.4 /9000 /9000 /90
Diego Rodrigues23977 min11.2 /9000 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9022.3 /9011.2 /90
Ricardo Horta15757 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9011.6 /90
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SC Braga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Lagerbielke n 891.5
0.22/0
0.11/0
Bernardo Fontes n 394
00/0
00/0
Vitor Carvalho n 883
0.42/1
0.31/1
Gabriel Silva n 388
0.72/0
0.31/0
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 882.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
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SC Braga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Braga before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bernardo Fontes n 394
00/0
00/0
G. Lagerbielke n 891.5
00/0
00/0
Vitor Carvalho n 883
00/0
0.11/0
Gabriel Silva n 388
00/0
00/0
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 882.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Vitória SC

Vitória SC Goalkeeper

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Zych390270 min10.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Vitória SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Zych n 390
0.30/0

Vitória SC Defensive

Vitória SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
João Mendes390270 min62 /9031 /9020.7 /9093 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Óscar Rivas390270 min31 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90144.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
Thiago Balieiro390270 min51.7 /9072.3 /9000 /9093 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
T. Strata352156 min63.5 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9084.6 /9031.7 /9000 /90
Miguel Maga257114 min10.8 /9000 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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Vitória SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
João Mendes n 888.9
1.48/3
0.54/0
G. Lagerbielke
Thiago Balieiro n 890
1.37/2
0.43/0
Vitor Carvalho
Óscar Rivas n 890
0.63/2
15/2
—
O. Zych n 390
00/0
00/0
—
Samu n 886
1.26/2
0.85/1
Gabriel Silva
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Vitória SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
João Mendes n 888.9
2.25/4
Thiago Balieiro n 890
2.17/5
Óscar Rivas n 890
1.37/3
Samu n 886
2.18/4
A. Ndoye n 861
0.73/1
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Vitória SC Attacking

Vitória SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Ndoye386258 min10.3 /9000 /90113.8 /9010.3 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Samu389268 min10.3 /9000 /9072.4 /9031 /9062 /9010.3 /90
Gustavo386257 min10.4 /9000 /90124.2 /9051.8 /9062.1 /9041.4 /90
Gonçalo Nogueira375226 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9041.6 /9000 /90
Beni354162 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.6 /9021.1 /90
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Vitória SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
João Mendes n 888.9
16/2
0.43/0
Óscar Rivas n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Thiago Balieiro n 890
0.32/0
00/0
O. Zych n 390
00/0
00/0
Samu n 886
28/3
1.27/2
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Vitória SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
João Mendes n 888.9
0.11/0
00/0
O. Zych n 390
00/0
00/0
Óscar Rivas n 890
00/0
00/0
Thiago Balieiro n 890
00/0
00/0
Samu n 886
0.32/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SC BragaVitória SC
54%Possession46%
0.93Expected goals (xG)0.47
9Shots8
4Shots on target2
1Shots off target5
4Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box4
2Corners2
5Offsides1
11Fouls18
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves3
488Passes405
81%Pass accuracy75%

SC Braga Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Bernardo Fontes9000000006.5
G. Lagerbielke9000000007
Vitor Carvalho90000000Y7.2
Sergio Barcia9000000006.9
Víctor Gómez9000100107
João Moutinho9000000207
Diogo Travassos8600000206.9
Gabriel Silva8601112107.6
Demir Ege Tıknaz72000013Y7
M. Dorgeles7200002006.7
Pau Victor6500111006.2
J. Milošević sub2500110006.6
Tomás Marqués sub1800000006.3
Diego Rodrigues sub1810110007.9
Adrian Bajrami sub1200000006.6
Fran Navarro sub1200000006.3

Vitória SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Zych9000000007.2
T. Strata90001021Y6.2
Thiago Balieiro9000100106.6
Óscar Rivas90000001Y6.5
João Mendes9000000006.2
L. Doucet9000001206.7
Samu8400100306.5
Gustavo77002101Y6.3
A. Ndoye7700110206.3
Gonçalo Nogueira6100000106.2
Miguel Nogueira6100000106.5
Beni sub2900000106.7
O. Camara sub2900000006.6
Telmo Arcanjo sub1400001006.7
V. Andersson sub1300000006.3
V. Ouotro sub1300100006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SC Braga v Vitória SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC BragaWDDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Vitória SCLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SC Braga 2 · 3 draws · Vitória SC 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-02-21 SC Braga 3–2 Guimaraes
  • 2025-09-20 Guimaraes 1–1 SC Braga
  • 2025-02-16 Guimaraes 0–0 SC Braga
  • 2024-09-15 SC Braga 0–2 Guimaraes
  • 2024-05-11 Guimaraes 2–3 SC Braga
  • 2024-01-06 SC Braga 1–1 Guimaraes
League standing · 2026/27
SC Braga#9 pos11 pts9 pl-2 GD
Vitória SC#13 pos8 pts9 pl0 GD
Goals per game
SC Braga scored1
Vitória SC scored1.11
SC Braga conceded1.22
Vitória SC conceded1.11

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SC Braga v Vitória SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Braga v Vitória SC was Under 3.5 goals (best price 1.30 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between SC Braga and Vitória SC?
In their last 6 meetings, SC Braga won 2, Vitória SC won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Braga and Vitória SC?
Recent form — SC Braga 2W 3D 0L; Vitória SC 1W 0D 4L.

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