Vitória SCEstrela

Vitória SC v Estrela prediction

Primeira Liga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Vitória SC v Estrela, Primeira Liga on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Vitória SC host Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 20:30 UK).

The key numbers

Vitória SC are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Estrela, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Four of Vitória SC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Vitória SC’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Vitória SC have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.43. Vitória SC have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Vitória SC have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

11 of Estrela’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Estrela’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Estrela have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 2.00. Estrela have scored 15 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Estrela have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Vitória SC are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Vitória SC have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Vitória SC (13th) and Estrela (12th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Vitória SC the stronger side, 151 rating points above Estrela (Vitória SC 1527, Estrela 1376, after at least 114 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Guimaraes 2–1 Estrela.

Team news

Predicted Vitória SC XI (4-2-3-1): L. Furtado, J. Mendes, T. Strata, T. Borevković, A. Sidibé, Samu, O. Camara, Beni, G. Nogueira, Gustavo, A. Jakupovic — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gustavo (3.5 per match over nine appearances, one goal) and Tony Strata (3.4 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been Vitória SC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Vitória SC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gustavo averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 681 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. Tony Strata averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 838 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Estrela XI (4-2-3-1): L. Linck, S. Leković, M. Scholze, P. Luan, R. Soares, A. Marcus, L. Zvonarek, S. Serra, I. Stoica, E. Doue, L. Antonetti — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Marcus (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and one assist) and I. Stoica (4.5 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Estrela’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estrela (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Marcus averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 893 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. I. Stoica averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 681 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Vitória SC 5 · draws 1 · Estrela 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Vitória SC 2W 2D 1L · Estrela 1W 0D 4L

Vitória SC v Estrela (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.43 / 5.14
Corners
against 4 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.57 / 3.71
Shots on target
against 3.14 / 4.14 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.71 / 2
Cards
against 2.14 / 2.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameVitória SC for / againstLineEstrela for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.43 for · 4 against n 7
9.5standard
5.14 for · 4.71 against n 7
Shots
15.71 for · 11 against n 7
19.5standard
14.14 for · 10.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4.57 for · 3.14 against n 7
8.5standard
3.71 for · 4.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
16.29 for · 11.57 against n 7
21.5standard
11.43 for · 11.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2.71 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 2.14 against n 7

Vitória SC

Vitória SC Goalkeeper

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Zych890720 min141.8 /9070.9 /9000 /90
Lucas Furtado290180 min31.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Vitória SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Zych n 890
1.85/3

Vitória SC Defensive

Vitória SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
João Mendes1090900 min202 /9060.6 /9030.3 /90414.1 /90111.1 /9000 /90
T. Strata1078777 min212.4 /9091 /9020.2 /90384.4 /90161.9 /9020.2 /90
Thiago Balieiro890720 min151.9 /90202.5 /9020.3 /90283.5 /90141.8 /9030.4 /90
Óscar Rivas576379 min40.9 /9071.7 /9020.5 /90204.7 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90
T. Borevković490360 min82 /9041 /9000 /90174.3 /9030.8 /9030.8 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Vitória SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
João Mendes n 890
15/2
0.32/0
—
Samu n 878.5
2.67/5
1.15/3
—
T. Strata n 888.9
1.98/6
0.32/0
—
O. Camara n 861.9
0.73/1
1.37/0
—
Beni n 855.3
26/3
1.45/2
—
See more players · Pro
Vitória SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
João Mendes n 890
1.97/3
Samu n 878.5
2.38/5
T. Strata n 888.9
2.28/6
O. Camara n 861.9
1.13/3
Beni n 855.3
1.86/2
See more players · Pro

Vitória SC Attacking

Vitória SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Ndoye762431 min10.2 /9000 /90183.8 /9040.8 /9081.7 /9051 /90
A. Jakupovic670420 min20.4 /9000 /90132.8 /9051.1 /9020.4 /9040.9 /90
Samu1081806 min10.1 /9010.1 /90141.6 /9060.7 /90212.3 /9020.2 /90
O. Camara1061610 min10.1 /9000 /90172.5 /9071 /90101.5 /90101.5 /90
Beni1058577 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9040.6 /9081.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Vitória SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
João Mendes n 890
1.16/2
0.31/1
Samu n 878.5
1.16/2
0.63/1
T. Strata n 888.9
0.63/1
0.32/0
O. Camara n 861.9
2.96/3
1.34/2
Beni n 855.3
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Vitória SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
João Mendes n 890
00/0
00/0
Samu n 878.5
00/0
0.11/0
T. Strata n 888.9
00/0
00/0
O. Camara n 861.9
0.21/0
00/0
Beni n 855.3
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Estrela

Estrela Goalkeeper

Estrela — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Léo Linck1090900 min272.7 /90101 /9000 /90
Estrela — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Léo Linck n 890
2.48/3

Estrela Defensive

Estrela — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Scholze1075746 min323.9 /9091.1 /9030.4 /90425.1 /9040.5 /9030.4 /90
S. Leković990810 min101.1 /9060.7 /9040.4 /90384.2 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90
Rafa Soares987780 min131.5 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90182.1 /9020.2 /9000 /90
Luan Patrick690540 min152.5 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90203.3 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
Jefferson Encada628166 min42.2 /9021.1 /9000 /90168.7 /9021.1 /9010.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Estrela — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Léo Linck n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Antonetti n 889.5
1.68/3
1.67/4
—
A. Marcus n 889.3
0.95/2
1.34/3
—
L. Zvonarek n 884.3
1.68/3
1.66/4
—
M. Scholze n 880.8
0.64/0
0.73/2
—
See more players · Pro
Estrela — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Antonetti n 889.5
1.45/3
A. Marcus n 889.3
1.46/2
L. Zvonarek n 884.3
1.25/3
M. Scholze n 880.8
3.67/6
I. Stoica n 867.9
1.77/2
See more players · Pro

Estrela Attacking

Estrela — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Antonetti1089893 min40.4 /9010.1 /90252.5 /9080.8 /9070.7 /9030.3 /90
A. Marcus1089893 min40.4 /9010.1 /90191.9 /90101 /90141.4 /90212.1 /90
L. Zvonarek1085854 min10.1 /9000 /90111.2 /9020.2 /9090.9 /9050.5 /90
I. Stoica1068681 min40.5 /9020.3 /90202.6 /9060.8 /90111.5 /90101.3 /90
Eddy Doue980722 min00 /9030.4 /9040.5 /9020.2 /90101.2 /90121.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Estrela — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Linck n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Antonetti n 889.5
2.47/5
0.54/0
A. Marcus n 889.3
1.98/5
0.94/3
L. Zvonarek n 884.3
1.36/3
0.11/0
M. Scholze n 880.8
0.64/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Estrela — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estrela before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Léo Linck n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Marcus n 889.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
L. Antonetti n 889.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
L. Zvonarek n 884.3
0.11/0
00/0
M. Scholze n 880.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Vitória SC v Estrela — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Vitória SCDLWWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
EstrelaLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Vitória SC 5 · 1 draw · Estrela 0 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-14 Guimaraes 2–1 Estrela
  • 2025-09-14 Estrela 0–2 Guimaraes
  • 2025-03-16 Guimaraes 2–0 Estrela
  • 2024-10-27 Estrela 2–2 Guimaraes
  • 2024-01-21 Guimaraes 3–0 Estrela
  • 2023-08-13 Estrela 0–1 Guimaraes
League standing · 2026/27
Vitória SC#13 pos9 pts10 pl0 GD
Estrela#12 pos10 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Vitória SC scored1
Estrela scored1.5
Vitória SC conceded1
Estrela conceded1.9

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Vitória SC and Estrela?
In their last 6 meetings, Vitória SC won 5, Estrela won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vitória SC and Estrela?
Recent form — Vitória SC 2W 2D 1L; Estrela 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+