Alianza Lima v FC Cajamarca prediction

Primera División – Peru · Sat, 14 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT · Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:22 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Alianza Lima v FC Cajamarca, Primera División – Peru on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Alianza Lima host FC Cajamarca in Primera División – Peru on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 21:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Alianza Lima to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Alianza Lima have conceded 15 goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game).

Alianza Lima have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. FC Cajamarca are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Alianza Lima’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of Alianza Lima’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Alianza Lima have six wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 0.75. Alianza Lima have scored 23 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game).

12 of FC Cajamarca’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 11 of FC Cajamarca’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, FC Cajamarca have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 2.29. FC Cajamarca have scored 21 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). FC Cajamarca have conceded 37 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.

Alianza Lima (fifth) and FC Cajamarca (17th) are 17 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Alianza Lima the stronger side, 530 rating points above FC Cajamarca (Alianza Lima 1783, FC Cajamarca 1253, after at least 32 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished FC Cajamarca 1–1 Alianza Lima.

Team news

Predicted Alianza Lima XI (4-4-2): A. Duarte, L. Advíncula, R. Garcés, M. Huamán, M. Antoni, J. Vélez, F. Gaibor, N. Diaz, E. Pavez, F. Girotti, E. Castillo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Advíncula (4.1 per match over four appearances, one goal) and E. Castillo (3.7 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Alianza Lima’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Alianza Lima (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Advíncula averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 535 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last six appearances. E. Castillo averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 346 minutes, with a shot in four of the last five appearances.

Predicted FC Cajamarca XI (4-2-3-1): J. Medina, Y. Vílchez, J. Vega, S. Enciso, R. Suarez, J. Orejuela, B. Palacios, C. Meza, P. Goyoneche, C. Correa, J. Lugo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sebastián Enciso (5.5 per match over three appearances, one goal) and Brandon Palacios (4.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been FC Cajamarca’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for FC Cajamarca (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Sebastián Enciso averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 270 minutes. Brandon Palacios averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 348 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT · Primera División – Peru · Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Alianza Lima 0 · draws 1 · FC Cajamarca 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Alianza Lima 4W 0D 1L · FC Cajamarca 0W 1D 4L

Alianza Lima v FC Cajamarca (Primera División – Peru): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1

Goals

against 1 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

7 / 2.5

Corners

against 3 / 4 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 3 matches

6 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 2.67 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 3 matches

2.33 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.33 / 2 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 3 matches

242

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Alianza Lima for / against	Line	FC Cajamarca for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7 for · 3 against n 3 Last 5	9.5standard	2.5 for · 4 against n 4 Last 5
Shots	16.67 for · 11.67 against n 3 Last 5	19.5standard	12.75 for · 14.5 against n 4 Last 5
Shots on target	6 for · 2.67 against n 3 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 4.5 against n 4 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.33 for · 11.33 against n 3 Last 5	21.5standard	11.75 for · 14.25 against n 4 Last 5
Cards shown	2.33 for · 2.33 against n 3 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2 against n 4 Last 5

Alianza Lima

Alianza Lima Goalkeeper

Alianza Lima — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Duarte	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
G. Viscarra	1	9090 min	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Alianza Lima — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alianza Lima before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Duarte n 4	90	2.3 2/2
G. Viscarra n 8	92.1	2.7 6/5

Alianza Lima Defensive

Alianza Lima — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Garcés	5	81405 min	81.8 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90	265.8 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90
L. Advíncula	4	90360 min	112.8 /90	20.5 /90	30.8 /90	164 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90
C. Carbajal	4	56225 min	104 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90	156 /90	62.4 /90	10.4 /90
M. Antoni	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90	196.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
M. Huamán	3	83250 min	82.9 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	124.3 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
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Alianza Lima — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alianza Lima before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Garcés n 8	85	0.9 4/3	1.5 5/3	—
F. Girotti n 5	75.4	1 2/2	0.7 2/1	—
E. Castillo n 8	77.6	0.6 4/0	1.3 6/2	—
J. Vélez n 5	59.6	2.7 4/3	1.8 3/2	—
F. Gaibor n 8	71.6	0.6 4/0	0.6 4/0	—
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Alianza Lima — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alianza Lima before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Garcés n 8	85	1.9 7/4
F. Girotti n 5	75.4	0.2 1/0
E. Castillo n 8	77.6	0.6 4/0
F. Gaibor n 8	71.6	2.4 7/4
J. Vélez n 5	59.6	1.5 4/1
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Alianza Lima Attacking

Alianza Lima — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Girotti	5	75377 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	143.3 /90	61.4 /90	92.1 /90	71.7 /90
E. Castillo	5	69346 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	143.6 /90	51.3 /90	41 /90	61.6 /90
A. Cantero	5	32160 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	52.8 /90	31.7 /90	52.8 /90	31.7 /90
K. Quevedo	4	40160 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.3 /90	10.6 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90
P. Guerrero	2	55110 min	00 /90	00 /90	43.3 /90	00 /90	32.5 /90	10.8 /90
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Alianza Lima — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alianza Lima before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Garcés n 8	85	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
F. Girotti n 5	75.4	3.3 5/4	1.4 4/2
E. Castillo n 8	77.6	2.9 7/6	1.4 7/3
J. Vélez n 5	59.6	2.1 4/2	0.3 1/0
F. Gaibor n 8	71.6	0.8 5/0	0.2 1/0
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Alianza Lima — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alianza Lima before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Garcés n 8	85	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Girotti n 5	75.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
E. Castillo n 8	77.6	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
J. Vélez n 5	59.6	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
F. Gaibor n 8	71.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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FC Cajamarca

FC Cajamarca Goalkeeper

FC Cajamarca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Medina	4	90360 min	61.5 /90	–	00 /90

FC Cajamarca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cajamarca before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Medina n 4	90	1.5 2/0

FC Cajamarca Defensive

FC Cajamarca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Vega	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	41 /90	00 /90	143.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
Y. Vílchez	4	90360 min	102.5 /90	102.5 /90	20.5 /90	225.5 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90
Sebastián Enciso	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	165.3 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90
R. Suarez	2	83166 min	42.2 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	73.8 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
Carlos Gómez	2	82163 min	00 /90	42.2 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	31.7 /90	00 /90
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FC Cajamarca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cajamarca before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Y. Vílchez n 4	90	0.5 2/0	0.5 1/1	—
J. Vega n 4	90	0.5 2/0	0.5 2/0	—
J. Medina n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Jefferson Orejuela n 4	89	0.5 1/1	0.5 1/1	—
Brandon Palacios n 4	87	2.1 3/2	1.6 3/2	—
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FC Cajamarca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cajamarca before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Y. Vílchez n 4	90	2.5 4/3
J. Vega n 4	90	2.3 4/3
Jefferson Orejuela n 4	89	0.3 1/0
Brandon Palacios n 4	87	2.3 4/2
Carlos Meza n 4	83.5	3 3/3
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FC Cajamarca Attacking

FC Cajamarca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Lugo	4	66264 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	82.7 /90	20.7 /90	31 /90	41.4 /90
P. Cejas	4	56223 min	00 /90	00 /90	93.6 /90	10.4 /90	41.6 /90	52 /90
Brandon Palacios	4	87348 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	92.3 /90	41 /90	82.1 /90	51.3 /90
Carlos Meza	4	84334 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	61.6 /90	30.8 /90
Mauricio Arrasco	3	64193 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.3 /90	10.5 /90	41.9 /90	20.9 /90
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FC Cajamarca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cajamarca before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Vílchez n 4	90	1 3/1	0.5 2/0
J. Vega n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
J. Medina n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jefferson Orejuela n 4	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
Brandon Palacios n 4	87	2.3 4/2	1 3/1
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FC Cajamarca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cajamarca before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Y. Vílchez n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Medina n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Vega n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jefferson Orejuela n 4	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
Brandon Palacios n 4	87	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Alianza Lima v FC Cajamarca — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Alianza LimaWWWLW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

FC CajamarcaDLLLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Alianza Lima 0 · 1 draw · FC Cajamarca 0 · 2 goals/game

2026-05-31 FC Cajamarca 1–1 Alianza Lima

League standing · 2026

Alianza Lima#5 pos28 pts15 pl+8 GD

FC Cajamarca#17 pos11 pts15 pl-16 GD

Goals per game

Alianza Lima scored1.53

FC Cajamarca scored1.4

Alianza Lima conceded1

FC Cajamarca conceded2.47

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Alianza Lima v FC Cajamarca?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Alianza Lima v FC Cajamarca is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Alianza Lima and FC Cajamarca?: In their last 1 meetings, Alianza Lima won 0, FC Cajamarca won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Alianza Lima and FC Cajamarca?: Recent form — Alianza Lima 4W 0D 1L; FC Cajamarca 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 16:22 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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