Free model picks
Primera División Predictions: Free Model Picks, Graded
9 Primera División fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Atletico Grau v Cusco (Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT). 9 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Sporting Cristal lead the table on 31 points after 15 games, level with Universitario. Alex Valera leads the scorers with 1 goal.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming Primera División fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.2% across 6M+ graded predictions (all markets, player markets included) — the full win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
This Round at a Glance
- Strongest favourite among the free picks: FBC Melgar v Juan Pablo II College (Sat, 07 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT) — the free pick is FBC Melgar to win.
- Closest call: Atletico Grau v Cusco (Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT) — the smallest gap of the round between the two sides’ chances of winning, by the model.
- Likeliest draw: ADT v Sporting Cristal (Sat, 07 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT) — the highest draw chance of the round, by the model.
- Most goals among the free picks: Sport Boys v UTC Cajamarca (Sun, 08 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT) — the free pick is over 2.5 goals.
Each line ranks the model’s own probabilities for the round’s nine matches (from Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT); the favourite and goals lines rank the free picks only. The probabilities themselves, and every market, are on each match page with Pro.
Cusco are winless in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)
Sporting Cristal are winless in their last 5 (all competitions we cover)
Alianza Atletico are winless in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)
What the Data Says About Primera División
TACTIX lists nine upcoming Primera División fixtures in the next ten days, nine of them with a free model pick — the single strongest lean in the 62–80% probability band — shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.2% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included); the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 5 Nov 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
Nine fixtures in Primera División fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Atletico Grau v Cusco (Fri, 06 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT). TACTIX’s free pick is posted on 9 of the nine fixtures in the next 10 days; the remaining markets on every match are Pro.
The table so far
Sporting Cristal lead Primera División on 31 points from 15 games, level with Universitario (this season so far). Primera División is averaging 3.00 goals a game across 135 matches, this season so far.
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Primera División Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 17 | +17 | 31 |
| 2 | Universitario | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 22 | +11 | 31 |
| 3 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 31 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 17 | +12 | 28 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 28 | +1 | 28 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 26 |
| 8 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 13 |
| 15 | ADT | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 11 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 5 |
Current Primera División standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
Season Leaders
Top Scorers
- Alex Valera1 G
- C. Cueva1 G
- Caín Fara1 G
- P. Liza1 G
Top Assists
- Andy Polo1 A
- G. Lapadula1 A
- R. Diaz1 A
How These Picks Work
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
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Primera División Player Stats
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Win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets for every fixture.