UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau prediction

Primera División – Peru · Sat, 14 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT · Estadio 25 de Noviembre

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:08 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: UCV Moquegua · Atletico Grau

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau, Primera División – Peru on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1703 landed (95% range 74.6–78.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

UCV Moquegua host Atletico Grau in Primera División – Peru on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 21:00 UK); the model’s free pick is UCV Moquegua or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

UCV Moquegua have scored eight goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game).

Form and the table

Four of UCV Moquegua’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of UCV Moquegua’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, UCV Moquegua have no wins, four draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.50. UCV Moquegua have conceded 22 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game).

Eight of Atletico Grau’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Atletico Grau’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Atletico Grau have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.29. Atletico Grau have scored 20 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). Atletico Grau have conceded 23 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

UCV Moquegua are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. UCV Moquegua have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. UCV Moquegua (16th) and Atletico Grau (11th) are 10 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atletico Grau the stronger side, 218 rating points above UCV Moquegua (Atletico Grau 1565, UCV Moquegua 1346, after at least 32 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 May 2026, finished Atletico Grau 1–0 UCV Moquegua.

Team news

Predicted UCV Moquegua XI (4-2-3-1): C. Grados, A. Perleche, J. Lojas, J. Granda, E. Montenegro, R. Chipao, C. Mejia, E. Lastre, Y. Zapata, D. Ramírez, B. Angulo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carlos Grados (5.1 per match over four appearances) and Edgar Lastre (2.6 per match over four appearances) have been UCV Moquegua’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for UCV Moquegua (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Carlos Grados averages 5.3 saves per 90 over 360 minutes. Edgar Lastre averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 285 minutes.

Predicted Atletico Grau XI (4-2-3-1): P. Álvarez, I. Tapia, G. Alfaro, R. Tapia, D. Rodríguez, R. Guarderas, E. Correa, P. Lavandeira, P. de la Cruz, L. Benítes, A. Fernández — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, P. Álvarez (5.8 per match over three appearances, one goal) and Adrián Fernández (5.5 per match over three appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Atletico Grau’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico Grau (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Álvarez averages 2.3 saves per 90 over 270 minutes. Adrián Fernández averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 674 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT · Primera División – Peru · Estadio 25 de Noviembre
Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): UCV Moquegua 0 · draws 0 · Atletico Grau 1 · 1 goals/game
Recent form: UCV Moquegua 1W 1D 3L · Atletico Grau 1W 1D 3L

UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau (Primera División – Peru): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.25 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 3.67

Corners

against 6.25 / 6 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 3 matches

3.25 / 2.67

Shots on target

against 6.25 / 4.33 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 3 matches

1.75 / 1.33

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.33 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 3 matches

242

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	UCV Moquegua for / against	Line	Atletico Grau for / against
Goals scored	0.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.25 for · 6.25 against n 4 Last 5	9.5standard	3.67 for · 6 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	12.75 for · 18.25 against n 4 Last 5	19.5standard	8 for · 18 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 6.25 against n 4 Last 5	8.5standard	2.67 for · 4.33 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 7.25 against n 4 Last 5	21.5standard	11 for · 7.33 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.75 against n 4 Last 5	3.5standard	1.33 for · 1.33 against n 3 Last 5

UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua Goalkeeper

UCV Moquegua — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Carlos Grados	4	90360 min	215.3 /90	–	00 /90

UCV Moquegua — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for UCV Moquegua before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Carlos Grados n 4	90	5.3 3/3

UCV Moquegua Defensive

UCV Moquegua — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Aldair Perleche	4	90360 min	71.8 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90	92.3 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
Juan Diego Lojas	4	90360 min	41 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90	164 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
Eros Montenegro	3	75225 min	31.2 /90	41.6 /90	00 /90	52 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90
Cristian Enciso	3	74222 min	20.8 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90	114.5 /90	52 /90	10.4 /90
J. Granda	2	68135 min	32 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90	96 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
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UCV Moquegua — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for UCV Moquegua before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Aldair Perleche n 4	90	1 2/2	0.3 1/0	—
Ricardo Chipao n 4	90	1 2/2	0.3 1/0	—
Carlos Grados n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0	—
Juan Diego Lojas n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0.5 2/0	—
Cristian Mejia n 4	72	1.6 4/1	0.6 2/0	—
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UCV Moquegua — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for UCV Moquegua before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Aldair Perleche n 4	90	1.8 3/2
Ricardo Chipao n 4	90	1.3 3/1
Juan Diego Lojas n 4	90	1 2/2
Cristian Mejia n 4	72	0.3 1/0
Edgar Lastre n 4	71.3	0.9 2/1
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UCV Moquegua Attacking

UCV Moquegua — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Angulo	4	65259 min	00 /90	00 /90	93.1 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	00 /90
Jeferson Collazos	3	36109 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
A. Lecaros	3	34103 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.6 /90	00 /90	76.1 /90	00 /90
A. Davila	3	3192 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.9 /90	00 /90	22 /90	22 /90
Ricardo Chipao	4	90360 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
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UCV Moquegua — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for UCV Moquegua before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Juan Diego Lojas n 4	90	1.3 2/1	0.3 1/0
Aldair Perleche n 4	90	0.8 2/1	0 0/0
Ricardo Chipao n 4	90	0.5 1/1	0.3 1/0
Carlos Grados n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Cristian Mejia n 4	72	0.6 2/0	0 0/0
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UCV Moquegua — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for UCV Moquegua before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Carlos Grados n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Aldair Perleche n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Juan Diego Lojas n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ricardo Chipao n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Cristian Mejia n 4	72	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Atletico Grau

Atletico Grau Goalkeeper

Atletico Grau — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
P. Álvarez	3	90270 min	72.3 /90	–	00 /90

Atletico Grau — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Grau before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Álvarez n 8	90	2.6 7/3

Atletico Grau Defensive

Atletico Grau — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
I. Tapia	3	90270 min	31 /90	31 /90	00 /90	72.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90
D. Rodríguez	3	75225 min	31.2 /90	31.2 /90	00 /90	83.2 /90	41.6 /90	00 /90
R. Tapia	3	75225 min	83.2 /90	52 /90	00 /90	156 /90	00 /90	00 /90
G. Alfaro	3	72217 min	62.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	104.1 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
L. Acevedo	3	56168 min	10.5 /90	42.1 /90	00 /90	115.9 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Atletico Grau — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Grau before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Guarderas n 8	89.1	0.8 6/0	0.3 1/1	—
I. Tapia n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
P. Álvarez n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
E. Correa n 3	77.7	1.5 1/1	0.8 1/1	—
D. Rodríguez n 3	75	1.6 3/1	0 0/0	—
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Atletico Grau — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Grau before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Guarderas n 8	89.1	1.5 5/3
I. Tapia n 3	90	1 2/1
E. Correa n 3	77.7	1.5 3/1
R. Tapia n 8	84.4	2.1 8/4
D. Rodríguez n 3	75	1.2 1/1
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Atletico Grau Attacking

Atletico Grau — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Adrián Fernández	3	62186 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	73.4 /90	21 /90	21 /90	00 /90
M. da Luz	2	64127 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.1 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich	2	3774 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.6 /90	22.4 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90
N. Delgadillo	1	2323 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.9 /90	00 /90
R. Guarderas	3	90270 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
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Atletico Grau — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Grau before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Guarderas n 8	89.1	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
P. Álvarez n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
I. Tapia n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Correa n 3	77.7	0.4 1/0	0 0/0
R. Tapia n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Atletico Grau — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico Grau before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Álvarez n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
R. Guarderas n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
I. Tapia n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Correa n 3	77.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Tapia n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

UCV MoqueguaLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Atletico GrauLDLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

UCV Moquegua 0 · 0 draws · Atletico Grau 1 · 1 goals/game

2026-05-29 Atletico Grau 1–0 UCV Moquegua

League standing · 2026

UCV Moquegua#16 pos11 pts15 pl-14 GD

Atletico Grau#11 pos21 pts16 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

UCV Moquegua scored0.53

Atletico Grau scored1.25

UCV Moquegua conceded1.47

Atletico Grau conceded1.44

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau?: TACTIX’s free model pick for UCV Moquegua v Atletico Grau is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between UCV Moquegua and Atletico Grau?: In their last 1 meetings, UCV Moquegua won 0, Atletico Grau won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of UCV Moquegua and Atletico Grau?: Recent form — UCV Moquegua 1W 1D 3L; Atletico Grau 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 12:08 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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