Al-Ittihad FCAl Shabab

Al-Ittihad FC v Al Shabab prediction

Pro League · · King Abdullah Sports City

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Al-Ittihad FC v Al Shabab, Pro League on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.80 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 277 landed (95% range 73.9–83.4%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 185 of 273 times (67.8%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Ittihad FC host Al Shabab in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Saturday 19 December (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Al-Ittihad FC to win.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Al-Ittihad FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Al-Ittihad FC have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Al Shabab are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Al-Ittihad FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). At home, Al-Ittihad FC have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.57. Al-Ittihad FC have scored 21 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Al-Ittihad FC have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Al Shabab’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Al Shabab’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Al Shabab have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.17. Al Shabab have scored 20 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Al Shabab have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Al-Ittihad FC (fourth) and Al Shabab (10th) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Ittihad FC the stronger side, 122 rating points above Al Shabab (Al-Ittihad FC 1788, Al Shabab 1666, after at least 289 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Al Shabab 3–2 Al-Ittihad FC.

Team news

Predicted Al-Ittihad FC XI (4-2-3-1): P. Rajković, D. Pereira, M. Al Shanqiti, S. Al Mosa, F. Abdi, H. Aouar, G. Wijnaldum, M. Ali, S. Bergwijn, R. Rios, Y. En-Nesyri — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Bergwijn (4.8 per match over 14 appearances, five goals and three assists) and H. Aouar (4.4 per match over 14 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Al-Ittihad FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Ittihad FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Bergwijn averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1104 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. H. Aouar averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1445 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Al Shabab XI (4-2-3-1): M. Diaw, T. Jedvaj, D. Al Anazi, M. Al Thani, M. Barry, J. Brownhill, Y. Adli, Y. Carrasco, D. Podence, H. Al-Hammami, R. Martínez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ricardo Mathias (6.3 per match over five appearances, four goals and one assist) and Y. Carrasco (6.1 per match over nine appearances, six goals and one assist) have been Al Shabab’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al Shabab (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ricardo Mathias averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 448 minutes, with a shot in four of the last five appearances. Y. Carrasco averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 810 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · King Abdullah Sports City
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Al-Ittihad FC 3 · draws 0 · Al Shabab 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al-Ittihad FC 3W 1D 1L · Al Shabab 3W 2D 0L

Al-Ittihad FC v Al Shabab (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
7.38 / 5.38
Corners
against 3.63 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAl-Ittihad FC for / againstLineAl Shabab for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5our book
2 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
7.38 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
15.38 for · 10 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
6.13 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
8 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.5 against n 8

Al-Ittihad FC

Al-Ittihad FC Goalkeeper

Al-Ittihad FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Rajković14901260 min463.3 /9060.4 /9000 /90
Mohammed Al Absi19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /90
Al-Ittihad FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Ittihad FC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Rajković n 890
2.44/4
Mohammed Al Absi n 577.2
1.92/2

Al-Ittihad FC Defensive

Al-Ittihad FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Danilo Pereira14881228 min70.5 /90120.9 /9070.5 /90463.4 /9050.4 /9000 /90
F. Abdi14831158 min383 /90191.5 /9060.5 /90634.9 /90191.5 /9020.2 /90
Muhannad Al Shanqiti1170774 min202.3 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90303.5 /9091 /9010.1 /90
Hassan Kadesh877612 min81.2 /9081.2 /9030.4 /90192.8 /9040.6 /9030.4 /90
J. Šimić775522 min122.1 /90111.9 /9020.3 /90305.2 /9050.9 /9020.3 /90
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Al-Ittihad FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Ittihad FC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. En-Nesyri n 861.8
1.14/1
0.53/0
—
P. Rajković n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Danilo Pereira n 890
0.43/0
0.95/1
—
H. Aouar n 879.8
0.83/3
1.75/3
—
F. Abdi n 880.6
1.15/3
0.32/0
—
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Al-Ittihad FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Ittihad FC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. En-Nesyri n 861.8
1.12/2
Danilo Pereira n 890
0.64/1
H. Aouar n 879.8
1.17/1
F. Abdi n 880.6
3.28/7
S. Bergwijn n 882
0.73/2
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Al-Ittihad FC Attacking

Al-Ittihad FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. En-Nesyri1562936 min80.8 /9000 /90272.6 /90141.3 /9040.4 /9000 /90
Ahmed Al Ghamdi1357746 min00 /9010.1 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90161.9 /90161.9 /90
G. Ilenikhena1351664 min60.8 /9030.4 /90243.3 /90121.6 /9091.2 /9070.9 /90
Marwan Al-Sahafi1138419 min10.2 /9020.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /9081.7 /9061.3 /90
Saleh Al Shehri21835 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.6 /90
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Al-Ittihad FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Ittihad FC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. En-Nesyri n 861.8
3.58/5
1.66/3
P. Rajković n 890
00/0
00/0
Danilo Pereira n 890
0.96/1
0.32/0
H. Aouar n 879.8
26/6
0.74/1
F. Abdi n 880.6
0.73/1
0.32/0
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Al-Ittihad FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Ittihad FC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. En-Nesyri n 861.8
0.73/1
00/0
P. Rajković n 890
00/0
00/0
Danilo Pereira n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Aouar n 879.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
F. Abdi n 880.6
00/0
00/0
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Al Shabab

Al Shabab Goalkeeper

Al Shabab — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Diaw890720 min222.8 /9081 /9000 /90
Mohammed Al-Mahasneh390270 min72.3 /9062 /9000 /90
Al Shabab — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Shabab before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Diaw n 890
2.88/6
Mohammed Al-Mahasneh n 390
2.32/2

Al Shabab Defensive

Al Shabab — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Jedvaj1187962 min100.9 /9090.8 /9070.7 /90282.6 /9040.4 /9020.2 /90
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani1179870 min222.3 /9080.8 /9050.5 /90434.4 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90
M. Barry985767 min91.1 /90161.9 /9060.7 /90354.1 /9050.6 /9020.2 /90
Dhari Al Anazi980724 min121.5 /9081 /9030.4 /90364.5 /90162 /9050.6 /90
Ali Al Bulayhi371213 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9052.1 /9010.4 /90
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Al Shabab — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Shabab before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Brownhill n 888.3
1.45/2
15/2
—
T. Jedvaj n 886.5
0.53/1
0.74/1
—
Y. Adli n 887
0.85/1
1.26/1
—
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani n 878.8
0.63/1
15/1
—
Roger Martínez n 881.4
0.62/2
1.57/4
—
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Al Shabab — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Shabab before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Brownhill n 888.3
2.37/5
T. Jedvaj n 886.5
1.27/2
Y. Adli n 887
1.25/3
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani n 878.8
28/5
Roger Martínez n 881.4
0.73/1
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Al Shabab Attacking

Al Shabab — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Roger Martínez1080799 min30.3 /9020.2 /90212.4 /90111.2 /9070.8 /9080.9 /90
Abdullah Matuq845358 min10.3 /9000 /9071.8 /9041 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
Ricardo Mathias590448 min40.8 /9010.2 /90132.6 /9081.6 /9040.8 /9051 /90
Abdulrahman Al Obud536180 min00 /9000 /9021 /9021 /9000 /9010.5 /90
Carlos Júnior19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Al Shabab — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Shabab before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Brownhill n 888.3
1.36/2
0.62/1
T. Jedvaj n 886.5
0.32/0
00/0
Y. Adli n 887
0.96/1
00/0
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani n 878.8
00/0
00/0
Roger Martínez n 881.4
2.47/5
1.16/2
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Al Shabab — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Shabab before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Brownhill n 888.3
0.31/1
0.11/0
T. Jedvaj n 886.5
00/0
00/0
Y. Adli n 887
00/0
0.32/0
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani n 878.8
00/0
00/0
Roger Martínez n 881.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
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The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Al-Ittihad FC v Al Shabab — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al-Ittihad FCWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Al ShababDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Al-Ittihad FC 3 · 0 draws · Al Shabab 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 Al Shabab 3–2 Al-Ittihad FC
  • 2025-12-27 Al-Ittihad FC 2–0 Al Shabab
  • 2025-05-20 Al Shabab 2–3 Al-Ittihad FC
  • 2025-01-22 Al-Ittihad FC 2–1 Al Shabab
  • 2024-04-26 Al-Ittihad FC 1–3 Al Shabab
  • 2023-11-03 Al Shabab 1–0 Al-Ittihad FC
League standing · 2026/27
Al-Ittihad FC#4 pos24 pts11 pl+10 GD
Al Shabab#10 pos14 pts11 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Al-Ittihad FC scored1.91
Al Shabab scored1.82
Al-Ittihad FC conceded1
Al Shabab conceded1.36

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Al-Ittihad FC v Al Shabab?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Ittihad FC v Al Shabab is Home win (best price 1.80 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Ittihad FC and Al Shabab?
In their last 6 meetings, Al-Ittihad FC won 3, Al Shabab won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al-Ittihad FC and Al Shabab?
Recent form — Al-Ittihad FC 3W 1D 1L; Al Shabab 3W 2D 0L.

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