Eibar v Almeria prediction
Team pages: Eibar · Almeria · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Eibar v Almeria, Segunda División on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:15 GMT.
The match
Eibar host Almeria in Segunda División on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 15:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Almeria have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Nine of Eibar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Eibar’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Eibar have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.43. Eibar have scored 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Eibar have conceded 13 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.
Eight of Almeria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Almeria’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Almeria have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 0.57. Almeria have scored 22 goals, the most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Almeria have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.
Eibar are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Almeria are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Eibar (third) and Almeria (second) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Almeria the stronger side, 145 rating points above Eibar (Almeria 1747, Eibar 1602, after at least 227 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 25 January 2026, finished Eibar 1–0 Almeria.
Team news
Predicted Eibar XI (4-2-3-1): J. Mikel, A. Arbilla, J. Bernat, Á. Rodríguez, U. Elgezabal, A. Garrido, A. Madariaga, J. Guruzeta, M. Adu, J. Magunazelaia, J. Bautista — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Malcom Adu (4.7 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) and Ander Madariaga (4.0 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Eibar’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Eibar (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Malcom Adu averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 602 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances. Ander Madariaga averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 891 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Almeria XI (4-2-3-1): A. Fernández, F. Bonini, Á. Muñoz, M. Luna, Chumi, J. Muñoz, Q. Junyent, S. Arribas, S. Džodić, B. Cipenga, M. de la Fuente — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Cipenga (5.6 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and four assists) and Javi Muñoz (4.5 per match over eight appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Almeria’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Almeria (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Cipenga averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 864 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Javi Muñoz averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 716 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · Segunda División · Estadio Municipal de Ipurua
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Eibar 4 · draws 1 · Almeria 1 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Eibar 2W 1D 2L · Almeria 4W 1D 0L
Eibar v Almeria (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Eibar for / against | Line | Almeria for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.88 for · 7.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.75 for · 20 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.14 for · 13.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.13 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.71 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.88 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14 for · 16.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.86 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
Eibar
Eibar Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Mikel | 10 | 90900 min | 444.4 /90 | 131.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Mikel n 8 | 90 | 4.9 |
Eibar Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaitz Arbilla | 9 | 88796 min | 111.2 /90 | 121.4 /90 | 70.8 /90 | 283.2 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| Juan Bernat | 9 | 84756 min | 182.1 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 323.8 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Álvaro Rodríguez | 8 | 81648 min | 60.8 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 172.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Unai Elgezabal | 8 | 73585 min | 71.1 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 91.4 /90 | 294.5 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| Sergio Cubero | 5 | 52260 min | 31 /90 | 31 /90 | 31 /90 | 165.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Mikel n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Aleix Garrido n 8 | 87.4 | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| Ander Madariaga n 8 | 82 | 0.8 | 1.1 | — |
| Jon Bautista n 8 | 50.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 | — |
| Anaitz Arbilla n 8 | 88.3 | 0.6 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Aleix Garrido n 8 | 87.4 | 1.7 |
| Ander Madariaga n 8 | 82 | 1.8 |
| Jon Bautista n 8 | 50.1 | 0.9 |
| Anaitz Arbilla n 8 | 88.3 | 1.4 |
| Juan Bernat n 8 | 84.4 | 2.3 |
Eibar Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Bautista | 10 | 56557 min | 10.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 213.4 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 30.5 /90 |
| Javi Martón | 9 | 40361 min | 10.2 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 112.7 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 20.5 /90 |
| I. Alday | 1 | 2929 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 39.3 /90 |
| Aleix Garrido | 10 | 81806 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 80.9 /90 | 151.7 /90 |
| Ander Madariaga | 10 | 80801 min | 20.2 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 80.9 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Mikel n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Aleix Garrido n 8 | 87.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Ander Madariaga n 8 | 82 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Jon Bautista n 8 | 50.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Anaitz Arbilla n 8 | 88.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Mikel n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Aleix Garrido n 8 | 87.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Ander Madariaga n 8 | 82 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Jon Bautista n 8 | 50.1 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Anaitz Arbilla n 8 | 88.3 | 0 | 0 |
Almeria
Almeria Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Fernández | 9 | 90810 min | 273 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Andrés Fernández n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Almeria Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Bonini | 9 | 90810 min | 50.6 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 252.8 /90 | 101.1 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| Álex Muñoz | 8 | 72573 min | 142.2 /90 | 81.3 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 355.5 /90 | 91.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| Marcos Luna | 8 | 46367 min | 82 /90 | 51.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 194.7 /90 | 71.7 /90 | 30.7 /90 |
| D. Chirino | 7 | 62434 min | 91.9 /90 | 51 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 224.6 /90 | 71.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Jorge Pulido | 4 | 90360 min | 51.3 /90 | 51.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 153.8 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Bonini n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.3 | — |
| Andrés Fernández n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Miguel de la Fuente n 8 | 72.8 | 1.7 | 3.7 | — |
| Quim Junyent n 8 | 65.1 | 1.4 | 2.8 | — |
| Álex Muñoz n 8 | 71.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Bonini n 8 | 90 | 0.6 |
| Miguel de la Fuente n 8 | 72.8 | 0.3 |
| Quim Junyent n 8 | 65.1 | 2.4 |
| Álex Muñoz n 8 | 71.6 | 2.2 |
| B. Cipenga n 8 | 62.6 | 1.8 |
Almeria Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel de la Fuente | 9 | 75672 min | 60.8 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 172.3 /90 | 91.2 /90 | 70.9 /90 | 40.5 /90 |
| Léo Baptistão | 4 | 53213 min | 10.4 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 83.4 /90 | 31.3 /90 | 52.1 /90 | 31.3 /90 |
| Thalys | 3 | 42126 min | 10.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 42.9 /90 | 32.1 /90 | 42.9 /90 | 21.4 /90 |
| Quim Junyent | 9 | 61545 min | 00 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 101.7 /90 | 40.7 /90 |
| B. Cipenga | 8 | 63501 min | 20.4 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 91.6 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 112 /90 | 234.1 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Bonini n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Andrés Fernández n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Miguel de la Fuente n 8 | 72.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Quim Junyent n 8 | 65.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Álex Muñoz n 8 | 71.6 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Fernández n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Bonini n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Miguel de la Fuente n 8 | 72.8 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Quim Junyent n 8 | 65.1 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Álex Muñoz n 8 | 71.6 | 0 | 0.2 |
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Eibar v Almeria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-25 Eibar 1–0 Almeria
- 2025-11-01 Almeria 3–1 Eibar
- 2025-03-07 Eibar 1–0 Almeria
- 2024-09-22 Almeria 2–2 Eibar
- 2022-01-24 Almeria 0–2 Eibar
- 2021-10-15 Eibar 1–0 Almeria
Frequently Asked Questions
- Who is predicted to win Eibar v Almeria?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Eibar v Almeria is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Eibar and Almeria?
- In their last 6 meetings, Eibar won 4, Almeria won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Eibar and Almeria?
- Recent form — Eibar 2W 1D 2L; Almeria 4W 1D 0L.
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