Oviedo v Las Palmas prediction

Segunda División · · Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Oviedo v Las Palmas, Segunda División on Mon, 02 Nov 2026 15:15 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Predicted on 25 October 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Oviedo host Las Palmas in Segunda División on Monday 2 November (kick-off 15:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Oviedo have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Oviedo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Oviedo’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Oviedo have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 0.43. Oviedo have scored 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Oviedo have conceded 12 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Nine of Las Palmas’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Las Palmas’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Las Palmas have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.75. Las Palmas have scored 14 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Las Palmas have conceded 19 goals, the seventh-most of the 22 clubs.

Oviedo are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Oviedo (ninth) and Las Palmas (14th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Oviedo the stronger side, 203 rating points above Las Palmas (Oviedo 1692, Las Palmas 1489, after at least 267 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 April 2023, finished Las Palmas 0–1 Oviedo.

Team news

Predicted Oviedo XI (4-2-3-1): A. Escandell, D. Calvo, S. Rodriguez, C. Domínguez, D. Jiménez, Y. Didi, M. Goti, A. Reina, E. Perez, A. Aldasoro, V. Mingo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mikel Goti (4.7 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) and Pablo Sáenz (3.8 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) have been Oviedo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Oviedo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mikel Goti averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 513 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances. Pablo Sáenz averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 742 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Las Palmas XI (4-4-2): J. Caro, V. Pezzolesi, Á. Suárez, J. Herzog, G. Bonfanti, I. Jaime, T. Miyashiro, K. Rodríguez, I. Zambrano, J. Betancor, Jesé — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Valentín Pezzolesi (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) and Iván Jaime (4.5 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Las Palmas’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Las Palmas (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Valentín Pezzolesi averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 990 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Iván Jaime averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1492 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Segunda División · Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Oviedo 2 · draws 3 · Las Palmas 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Oviedo 3W 1D 1L · Las Palmas 1W 1D 3L

Oviedo v Las Palmas (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.29
Corners
against 5.63 / 5.71 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.5 / 3
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.71 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.5 / 3.86
Cards
against 3.25 / 2.14 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameOviedo for / againstLineLas Palmas for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.29 for · 5.71 against n 7
Shots
15.88 for · 15.75 against n 8
19.5standard
9.71 for · 12.14 against n 7
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 4.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
13 for · 16.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 15.71 against n 7
Cards shown
3.5 for · 3.25 against n 8
3.5standard
3.86 for · 2.14 against n 7

Oviedo

Oviedo Goalkeeper

Oviedo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Aarón Escandell1090900 min272.7 /9030.3 /9000 /90
Miguel Narváez19090 min55 /9044 /9000 /90
Oviedo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oviedo before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Aarón Escandell n 890
2.96/4

Oviedo Defensive

Oviedo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dani Calvo1090900 min90.9 /9060.6 /9060.6 /90343.4 /9090.9 /9030.3 /90
S. Rodriguez1071706 min91.1 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90384.8 /90121.5 /9030.4 /90
Carlos Domínguez890720 min91.1 /9060.8 /9020.3 /90263.3 /9060.8 /9050.6 /90
Juan Cruz659354 min82 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90153.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Aisar Ahmed562312 min113.2 /9092.6 /9020.6 /90216.1 /9020.6 /9000 /90
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Oviedo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oviedo before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Didi n 870.1
2.97/5
0.52/1
—
Pablo Sáenz n 864.5
15/1
2.47/4
—
Dani Calvo n 890
0.96/1
0.32/0
—
Aarón Escandell n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Alberto Reina n 873.4
1.25/1
2.14/4
—
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Oviedo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oviedo before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Didi n 870.1
3.28/6
Pablo Sáenz n 864.5
2.37/4
Dani Calvo n 890
14/2
Alberto Reina n 873.4
1.56/4
S. Rodriguez n 876.4
15/2
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Oviedo Attacking

Oviedo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
V. Mingo735248 min00 /9010.4 /90124.4 /9041.5 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
A. Ișfan650297 min00 /9010.3 /90113.3 /9041.2 /9051.5 /9010.3 /90
Chris Ramos371214 min00 /9000 /9052.1 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
José Luis Morales338115 min00 /9000 /9032.3 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
Y. Didi1172789 min00 /9000 /90101.1 /9030.3 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
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Oviedo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oviedo before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Didi n 870.1
1.65/3
0.52/1
Pablo Sáenz n 864.5
2.46/4
0.73/1
Dani Calvo n 890
1.14/3
0.43/0
Aarón Escandell n 890
00/0
00/0
Alberto Reina n 873.4
0.64/0
0.21/0
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Oviedo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oviedo before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Didi n 870.1
00/0
00/0
Pablo Sáenz n 864.5
0.21/0
00/0
Dani Calvo n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Aarón Escandell n 890
00/0
00/0
Alberto Reina n 873.4
0.21/0
00/0
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Las Palmas

Las Palmas Goalkeeper

Las Palmas — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
José Caro1090900 min303 /90171.7 /9000 /90
Las Palmas — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Las Palmas before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Caro n 890
2.97/5

Las Palmas Defensive

Las Palmas — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Valentín Pezzolesi1090900 min292.9 /90191.9 /9040.4 /90797.9 /90171.7 /9020.2 /90
Juan Herzog884675 min60.8 /9050.7 /9040.5 /90243.2 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90
Álex Suárez884671 min121.6 /9081.1 /9070.9 /90263.5 /9060.8 /9030.4 /90
G. Bonfanti881650 min101.4 /9091.2 /9010.1 /90243.3 /90141.9 /9030.4 /90
Enrique Clemente370210 min20.9 /9010.4 /9000 /9052.1 /9010.4 /9000 /90
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Las Palmas — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Las Palmas before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Valentín Pezzolesi n 890
27/6
1.88/3
—
José Caro n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
T. Miyashiro n 881.5
0.72/1
2.27/5
—
E. Loiodice n 876
1.24/3
2.17/3
—
Kirian Rodríguez n 873.9
0.63/1
1.46/2
—
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Las Palmas — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Las Palmas before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Valentín Pezzolesi n 890
2.98/6
T. Miyashiro n 881.5
1.26/2
E. Loiodice n 876
2.26/4
Kirian Rodríguez n 873.9
1.46/2
Manu Fuster n 859.5
0.84/0
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Las Palmas Attacking

Las Palmas — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Manu Fuster962562 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.6 /9061 /90152.4 /9030.5 /90
Jefté Betancor957512 min10.2 /9010.2 /9050.9 /9030.5 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
Jesé865521 min20.3 /9010.2 /90101.7 /9050.9 /9040.7 /9071.2 /90
Rafa Cruz625152 min00 /9000 /9031.8 /9010.6 /9000 /9031.8 /90
Elías Romero441164 min10.5 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
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Las Palmas — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Las Palmas before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Valentín Pezzolesi n 890
0.63/2
0.42/1
José Caro n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Miyashiro n 881.5
14/1
0.43/0
E. Loiodice n 876
0.74/1
0.32/0
Kirian Rodríguez n 873.9
0.64/0
0.21/0
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Las Palmas — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Las Palmas before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Valentín Pezzolesi n 890
0.32/0
00/0
José Caro n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Miyashiro n 881.5
0.11/0
00/0
E. Loiodice n 876
00/0
00/0
Kirian Rodríguez n 873.9
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Oviedo v Las Palmas — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
OviedoWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Las PalmasLDLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Oviedo 2 · 3 draws · Las Palmas 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2023-04-09 Las Palmas 0–1 Oviedo
  • 2022-12-06 Oviedo 0–0 Las Palmas
  • 2022-05-21 Las Palmas 2–1 Oviedo
  • 2021-11-06 Oviedo 1–1 Las Palmas
  • 2021-04-10 Oviedo 0–0 Las Palmas
  • 2020-10-31 Las Palmas 1–2 Oviedo
League standing · 2026/27
Oviedo#9 pos18 pts11 pl+3 GD
Las Palmas#14 pos14 pts11 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Oviedo scored1.36
Las Palmas scored1.27
Oviedo conceded1.09
Las Palmas conceded1.73

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Oviedo v Las Palmas?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Oviedo v Las Palmas is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Oviedo and Las Palmas?
In their last 6 meetings, Oviedo won 2, Las Palmas won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Oviedo and Las Palmas?
Recent form — Oviedo 3W 1D 1L; Las Palmas 1W 1D 3L.

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