SabadellReal Sociedad II

Sabadell v Real Sociedad II prediction

Segunda División · · Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Sabadell v Real Sociedad II, Segunda División on Mon, 09 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sabadell host Real Sociedad II in Segunda División on Monday 9 November (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Five of Sabadell’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Sabadell’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Sabadell have three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.83 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.00. Sabadell have scored 12 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Sabadell have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Real Sociedad II have scored 15 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Real Sociedad II have conceded 22 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Sabadell are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Sabadell (10th) and Real Sociedad II (18th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sabadell the stronger side, 136 rating points above Real Sociedad II (Sabadell 1506, Real Sociedad II 1369, after at least 54 rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Óscar Sanz (3.9 per match over 12 appearances, two goals) and Nicholas Gioacchini (3.6 per match over five appearances, three goals) have been Sabadell’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sabadell (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Óscar Sanz averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 978 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances. Nicholas Gioacchini averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 309 minutes, with a shot in four of the last five appearances.

By TACTIX Impact, Gorka Gorosabel (4.0 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Jon Balda (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Real Sociedad II’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Real Sociedad II (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gorka Gorosabel averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 778 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Jon Balda averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 838 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Segunda División · Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Sabadell 1W 2D 2L

Sabadell v Real Sociedad II (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sabadell v Real Sociedad II — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SabadellDWLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Real Sociedad II
League standing · 2026/27
Sabadell#10 pos17 pts12 pl+1 GD
Real Sociedad II#18 pos11 pts12 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Sabadell scored1
Real Sociedad II scored1.25
Sabadell conceded0.92
Real Sociedad II conceded1.83

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Sabadell v Real Sociedad II?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sabadell v Real Sociedad II is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Sabadell and Real Sociedad II?
Recent form — Sabadell 1W 2D 2L.

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