Sporting Gijon v Castellón prediction

Segunda División ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Sporting Gijon v Castellón, Segunda División on Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sporting Gijon host Castellón in Segunda División on Sunday 24 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Castellón have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Eight of Sporting Gijon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Sporting Gijon’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Sporting Gijon have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. Sporting Gijon have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sporting Gijon have conceded 13 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Six of Castellón’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Castellón’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Castellón have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.86. Castellón have scored 22 goals, the most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Sporting Gijon (eighth) and Castellón (first) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Castellón the stronger side, 230 rating points above Sporting Gijon (Castellón 1795, Sporting Gijon 1565, after at least 139 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 October 2026, finished Castellón 4–0 Sporting Gijon.

Team news

Predicted Sporting Gijon XI (4-4-2): R. Yáñez, A. Cuenca, G. Rosas, J. Sáenz, E. Gularte, Á. Corredera, G. Campos, M. Rodriguez, P. García, J. Otero, A. Sarco — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Álex Corredera (4.4 per match over 11 appearances, two assists) and Guille Rosas (4.3 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Sporting Gijon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sporting Gijon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álex Corredera averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 985 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Guille Rosas averages 3.7 tackles per 90 over 973 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Castellón XI (4-4-2): R. Matthys, A. Sienra, A. Jiménez, J. Mellot, L. Alcázar, Barri, Á. Martín, P. Santiago, M. Orozco, I. Suero, A. Jakobsen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Israel Suero (5.4 per match over nine appearances, five goals and two assists) and Ousmane Camara (5.1 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Castellón’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Castellón (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Israel Suero averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 616 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances. Ousmane Camara averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 609 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Segunda División
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sporting Gijon 2 · draws 0 · Castellón 4 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sporting Gijon 3W 0D 2L · Castellón 3W 1D 1L

Sporting Gijon v Castellón (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 5
Corners
against 4.63 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 1.25
Cards
against 2 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSporting Gijon for / againstLineCastellón for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.38 for · 0.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
10.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 3.88 against n 8

Sporting Gijon

Sporting Gijon Goalkeeper

Sporting Gijon — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Rubén Yáñez1090900 min202 /9040.4 /9000 /90
Sporting Gijon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting Gijon before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rubén Yáñez n 890
2.14/3

Sporting Gijon Defensive

Sporting Gijon — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Guille Rosas1088883 min383.9 /90161.6 /9030.3 /90484.9 /9070.7 /9040.4 /90
Andrés Cuenca982738 min111.3 /90121.5 /9010.1 /90283.4 /90141.7 /9010.1 /90
Pablo García935315 min41.1 /9041.1 /9000 /9092.6 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
Pablo Vázquez786605 min81.2 /9081.2 /9020.3 /90355.2 /9060.9 /9030.4 /90
Aimar Duñabeitia690540 min101.7 /9081.3 /9040.7 /90447.3 /9040.7 /9030.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Sporting Gijon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting Gijon before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Rubén Yáñez n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Álex Corredera n 889.4
1.35/4
1.68/3
—
Guille Rosas n 887.9
0.84/2
0.32/0
—
César Gelabert n 880.3
0.63/1
0.43/0
—
Andrés Cuenca n 881
1.56/2
0.73/2
—
See more players · Pro
Sporting Gijon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting Gijon before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Álex Corredera n 889.4
38/6
Guille Rosas n 887.9
3.58/6
César Gelabert n 880.3
15/2
Andrés Cuenca n 881
1.56/3
Pablo García n 836.5
1.22/1
See more players · Pro

Sporting Gijon Attacking

Sporting Gijon — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
César Gelabert1081805 min10.1 /9000 /90121.3 /9030.3 /9080.9 /9040.4 /90
J. Otero882659 min10.1 /9010.1 /90111.5 /9050.7 /9091.2 /90101.4 /90
A. Sarco854433 min20.4 /9000 /90102.1 /9030.6 /9020.4 /9081.7 /90
Antonio Casas434137 min10.7 /9000 /9042.6 /9010.7 /9000 /9000 /90
Enol Prendes357171 min00 /9000 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9021.1 /9010.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Sporting Gijon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting Gijon before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rubén Yáñez n 890
00/0
00/0
Álex Corredera n 889.4
0.53/1
0.42/1
Guille Rosas n 887.9
0.54/0
0.11/0
César Gelabert n 880.3
1.75/3
0.43/0
Andrés Cuenca n 881
0.32/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Sporting Gijon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting Gijon before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Rubén Yáñez n 890
00/0
00/0
Álex Corredera n 889.4
00/0
0.32/0
Guille Rosas n 887.9
00/0
00/0
César Gelabert n 880.3
0.11/0
00/0
Andrés Cuenca n 881
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Castellón

Castellón Goalkeeper

Castellón — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Matthys990810 min273 /9030.3 /9000 /90
Castellón — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Matthys n 890
3.47/6

Castellón Defensive

Castellón — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alberto Jiménez983749 min141.7 /90161.9 /9040.5 /90414.9 /9060.7 /9030.4 /90
A. Sienra890720 min172.1 /9091.1 /9010.1 /90486 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
J. Mellot883667 min223 /9091.2 /9040.5 /90476.3 /9040.5 /9000 /90
Lucas Alcázar644265 min62 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90103.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
I. Kostis23161 min23 /9023 /9000 /9045.9 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Castellón — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
Alberto Jiménez n 882.4
0.84/1
1.86/3
—
Barri n 881.1
1.24/2
14/2
—
Israel Suero n 874.3
0.31/1
1.57/2
—
A. Sienra n 890
0.84/2
0.84/1
—
See more players · Pro
Castellón — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Alberto Jiménez n 882.4
1.45/4
Barri n 881.1
2.16/5
Israel Suero n 874.3
1.56/2
A. Sienra n 890
2.16/5
J. Mellot n 883.4
37/6
See more players · Pro

Castellón Attacking

Castellón — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Israel Suero968616 min50.7 /9020.3 /90152.2 /9091.3 /90121.8 /90101.5 /90
A. Jakobsen771500 min30.5 /9010.2 /90132.3 /9061.1 /90132.3 /9081.4 /90
Ousmane Camara586429 min30.6 /9010.2 /90153.1 /9081.7 /9020.4 /9061.3 /90
Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo434136 min00 /9000 /9053.3 /9010.7 /9021.3 /9010.7 /90
Raúl Sánchez352156 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Castellón — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 882.4
0.32/0
00/0
Barri n 881.1
15/2
0.32/0
Israel Suero n 874.3
2.37/4
1.46/3
A. Sienra n 890
0.65/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
Castellón — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Castellón before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Matthys n 890
00/0
00/0
Alberto Jiménez n 882.4
00/0
0.11/0
Barri n 881.1
0.11/0
00/0
Israel Suero n 874.3
0.85/0
0.32/0
A. Sienra n 890
0.32/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sporting Gijon v Castellón — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sporting GijonWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
CastellónWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sporting Gijon 2 · 0 draws · Castellón 4 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-10-25 Castellón 4–0 Sporting Gijon
  • 2026-03-15 Sporting Gijon 4–1 Castellón
  • 2025-10-05 Castellón 3–1 Sporting Gijon
  • 2025-05-05 Castellón 4–3 Sporting Gijon
  • 2024-10-14 Sporting Gijon 2–1 Castellón
  • 2021-01-24 Castellón 2–0 Sporting Gijon
League standing · 2026/27
Sporting Gijon#8 pos19 pts11 pl-2 GD
Castellón#1 pos26 pts11 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Sporting Gijon scored1
Castellón scored2
Sporting Gijon conceded1.18
Castellón conceded0.36

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Sporting Gijon and Castellón?
In their last 6 meetings, Sporting Gijon won 2, Castellón won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sporting Gijon and Castellón?
Recent form — Sporting Gijon 3W 0D 2L; Castellón 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+