Sporting Gijon v Valladolid prediction

The match

Sporting Gijon host Valladolid in Segunda División on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Valladolid have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Sporting Gijon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Sporting Gijon’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Sporting Gijon have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.83. Sporting Gijon have scored 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Sporting Gijon have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Seven of Valladolid’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Valladolid’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Valladolid have one win, three draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.25. Valladolid have scored 20 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Valladolid have conceded 19 goals, the ninth-most of the 22 clubs.

Sporting Gijon (sixth) and Valladolid (13th) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sporting Gijon the stronger side, 125 rating points above Valladolid (Sporting Gijon 1600, Valladolid 1475, after at least 184 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Sporting Gijon are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Valladolid. The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Sporting Gijon 2–2 Valladolid.

Team news

Predicted Sporting Gijon XI (4-4-2): R. Yáñez, A. Cuenca, J. Sáenz, A. Duñabeitia, E. Gularte, Á. Corredera, G. Campos, G. Rosas, H. Guillamón, J. Otero, A. Sarco — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Guille Rosas (4.6 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Álex Corredera (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, two assists) have been Sporting Gijon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sporting Gijon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Guille Rosas averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 1063 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Álex Corredera averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1061 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Valladolid XI (4-1-3-2): Á. Aceves, P. Tomeo, I. Garriel, I. Alejo, D. Torres, S. Jurić, J. Ponceau, T. Ojeda, T. Abed, A. Arnuncio, J. Latasa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Adrian Arnuncio (5.1 per match over eight appearances, five goals and one assist) and Iván Alejo (4.3 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) have been Valladolid’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Valladolid (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Adrian Arnuncio averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 540 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances. Iván Alejo averages 4.3 tackles per 90 over 924 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.