Atletico-MG v Corinthians prediction

Serie A – Brazil · Wed, 25 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT · MRV Arena

Updated 4 Nov 2026, 05:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atletico-MG · Corinthians · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico-MG v Corinthians, Serie A – Brazil on Wed, 25 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Atletico-MG host Corinthians in Serie A – Brazil on Wednesday 25 November (kick-off 23:00 UK).

The key numbers

Atletico-MG have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Atletico-MG’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Atletico-MG’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Atletico-MG have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 0.75. Atletico-MG have scored 44 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Atletico-MG have conceded 40 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Corinthians’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Corinthians’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Corinthians have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.00. Corinthians have scored 36 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Corinthians have conceded 42 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Atletico-MG have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. Atletico-MG (seventh) and Corinthians (17th) are 13 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atletico-MG the stronger side, 117 rating points above Corinthians (Atletico-MG 1619, Corinthians 1503, after at least 376 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Corinthians are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Atletico-MG. The most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Corinthians 1–0 Atletico-MG.

Team news

Predicted Atletico-MG XI (4-2-3-1): G. Delfim, R. Lodi, L. Duarte, Vitão, Lyanco, K. Castaño, A. Franco, Bernard, Maycon, Alexsander, C. Soares — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cuello (4.1 per match over 40 appearances, eight goals and eight assists) and Fred (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Atletico-MG’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Atletico-MG (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cuello averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 2964 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Fred averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1005 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Corinthians XI (4-2-3-1): H. Souza, G. Henrique, Matheuzinho, F. Angileri, A. Ramalho, B. Bidon, Andre, R. Garro, M. Bidu, K. César, Y. Alberto — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Matheus Bidu (3.8 per match over 40 appearances, five goals and two assists) and Kaio César (3.6 per match over 33 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Corinthians’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Corinthians (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Matheus Bidu averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 3389 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Kaio César averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 2114 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 25 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT · Serie A – Brazil · MRV Arena
Head-to-head (last 6): Atletico-MG 1 · draws 3 · Corinthians 2 · 1.17 goals/game
Recent form: Atletico-MG 0W 0D 5L · Corinthians 1W 2D 2L

Atletico-MG v Corinthians (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 4 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.75 / 6.63

Corners

against 5.63 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 5.13

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 3.13

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Atletico-MG for / against	Line	Corinthians for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.75 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.63 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.63 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.63 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.13 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.88 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.13 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG Goalkeeper

Atletico-MG — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Everson	36	913291 min	1163.2 /90	371 /90	00 /90
Gabriel Delfim	14	911279 min	473.3 /90	110.8 /90	00 /90

Atletico-MG — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico-MG before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Everson n 8	90.9	3.1 6/4
Gabriel Delfim n 8	90	3.5 6/5

Atletico-MG Defensive

Atletico-MG — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Renan Lodi	42	873672 min	521.3 /90	441.1 /90	150.4 /90	1944.8 /90	561.4 /90	50.1 /90
Natanael	34	782667 min	501.7 /90	311 /90	120.4 /90	1424.8 /90	301 /90	40.1 /90
Ruan Tressoldi	30	852544 min	341.2 /90	331.2 /90	301.1 /90	1254.4 /90	301.1 /90	90.3 /90
Vitor Hugo	26	782035 min	221 /90	221 /90	180.8 /90	883.9 /90	180.8 /90	20.1 /90
Lyanco	19	841604 min	160.9 /90	201.1 /90	171 /90	613.4 /90	211.2 /90	40.2 /90
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Atletico-MG — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico-MG before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Renan Lodi n 8	82.3	1.1 5/2	1.1 6/2	—
Bernard n 8	75.1	0.7 4/1	1.2 7/1	—
Cuello n 8	78.9	0.9 4/2	1.7 7/4	—
Victor Hugo n 8	58.1	0.4 2/0	0.6 2/1	—
Everson n 8	90.9	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1	—
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Atletico-MG — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico-MG before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Renan Lodi n 8	82.3	1 5/2
Bernard n 8	75.1	0.7 3/2
Cuello n 8	78.9	0.7 4/1
Victor Hugo n 8	58.1	1 4/1
A. Franco n 8	82.4	1.5 5/3
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Atletico-MG Attacking

Atletico-MG — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Minda	32	431380 min	40.3 /90	30.2 /90	322.1 /90	181.2 /90	231.5 /90	352.3 /90
M. Cassierra	30	611836 min	50.2 /90	20.1 /90	281.4 /90	150.7 /90	221.1 /90	60.3 /90
Reinier	29	591697 min	50.3 /90	30.2 /90	281.5 /90	170.9 /90	281.5 /90	170.9 /90
Dudu	22	41892 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	181.8 /90	111.1 /90	151.5 /90	151.5 /90
Hulk	14	70979 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	181.7 /90	70.6 /90	181.7 /90	70.6 /90
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Atletico-MG — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico-MG before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Renan Lodi n 8	82.3	1.4 6/3	0.5 4/0
Bernard n 8	75.1	1.9 7/3	1 6/1
Cuello n 8	78.9	2.6 5/5	0.7 3/2
Victor Hugo n 8	58.1	1.9 6/2	0.8 4/0
Everson n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Atletico-MG — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atletico-MG before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Renan Lodi n 8	82.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Bernard n 8	75.1	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
Cuello n 8	78.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Victor Hugo n 8	58.1	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
Everson n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Corinthians

Corinthians Goalkeeper

Corinthians — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Hugo Souza	43	923946 min	1142.6 /90	421 /90	20 /90
Kauê	5	90450 min	214.2 /90	71.4 /90	00 /90

Corinthians — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Corinthians before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Hugo Souza n 8	90.9	3.3 6/6

Corinthians Defensive

Corinthians — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gustavo Henrique	43	913912 min	380.9 /90	360.8 /90	290.7 /90	1713.9 /90	340.8 /90	60.1 /90
Matheuzinho	40	893578 min	882.2 /90	481.2 /90	80.2 /90	1584 /90	391 /90	90.2 /90
Matheus Bidu	39	873378 min	641.7 /90	391 /90	100.3 /90	2306.1 /90	401.1 /90	50.1 /90
Gabriel Paulista	36	903230 min	270.8 /90	441.2 /90	140.4 /90	1343.7 /90	200.6 /90	80.2 /90
Fabrizio Angileri	14	811127 min	312.5 /90	80.6 /90	90.7 /90	635 /90	110.9 /90	40.3 /90
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Corinthians — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Corinthians before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Hugo Souza n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Gustavo Henrique n 8	90.9	0.5 3/1	0.6 4/1	—
Rodrigo Garro n 8	72.4	1.9 7/4	3 7/4	—
Breno Bidon n 8	76.3	1 4/3	2.4 7/5	—
Matheuzinho n 8	82.3	1.2 6/3	1 5/2	—
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Corinthians — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Corinthians before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gustavo Henrique n 8	90.9	0.6 4/1
Rodrigo Garro n 8	72.4	1.1 5/2
Breno Bidon n 8	76.3	2.1 6/4
Matheuzinho n 8	82.3	3 8/5
Matheus Bidu n 8	80.9	1.4 5/4
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Corinthians Attacking

Corinthians — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Yuri Alberto	30	822453 min	60.2 /90	30.1 /90	582.1 /90	301.1 /90	291.1 /90	220.8 /90
M. Depay	18	671199 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	181.4 /90	80.6 /90	161.2 /90	110.8 /90
Pedro Raul	16	54861 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	161.7 /90	80.8 /90	60.6 /90	50.5 /90
Vitinho	11	52569 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	91.4 /90	40.6 /90	91.4 /90	91.4 /90
Zakaria Labyad	10	36361 min	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	82 /90	41 /90	123 /90	00 /90
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Corinthians — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Corinthians before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Hugo Souza n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gustavo Henrique n 8	90.9	0.7 5/1	0.6 4/1
Rodrigo Garro n 8	72.4	1.6 5/2	0.5 2/1
Breno Bidon n 8	76.3	0.7 3/2	0.3 1/1
Matheuzinho n 8	82.3	1 4/2	0.1 1/0
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Corinthians — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Corinthians before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Hugo Souza n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gustavo Henrique n 8	90.9	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Rodrigo Garro n 8	72.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Breno Bidon n 8	76.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Matheuzinho n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atletico-MG v Corinthians — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Atletico-MGLLLLL

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

CorinthiansLDLWD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Atletico-MG 1 · 3 draws · Corinthians 2 · 1.17 goals/game

2026-05-24 Corinthians 1–0 Atletico-MG
2025-10-18 Corinthians 1–0 Atletico-MG
2025-05-25 Atletico-MG 0–0 Corinthians
2024-07-28 Atletico-MG 2–1 Corinthians
2024-04-14 Corinthians 0–0 Atletico-MG
2023-11-09 Corinthians 1–1 Atletico-MG

League standing · 2026

Atletico-MG#7 pos50 pts34 pl+4 GD

Corinthians#17 pos37 pts34 pl-6 GD

Goals per game

Atletico-MG scored1.29

Corinthians scored1.06

Atletico-MG conceded1.18

Corinthians conceded1.24

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Atletico-MG and Corinthians?: In their last 6 meetings, Atletico-MG won 1, Corinthians won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atletico-MG and Corinthians?: Recent form — Atletico-MG 0W 0D 5L; Corinthians 1W 2D 2L.

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