Bahia v Coritiba prediction

Serie A – Brazil · Sat, 21 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT · Arena Fonte Nova

Updated 4 Nov 2026, 05:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bahia · Coritiba · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Bahia v Coritiba, Serie A – Brazil on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bahia host Coritiba in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 20:30 UK).

Form and the table

Seven of Bahia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Bahia’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Bahia have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.29. Bahia have scored 48 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Bahia have conceded 42 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Coritiba’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Coritiba’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Coritiba have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 2.00. Coritiba have scored 40 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Coritiba have conceded 51 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Bahia (sixth) and Coritiba (12th) are 11 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bahia the stronger side, 238 rating points above Coritiba (Bahia 1676, Coritiba 1438, after at least 186 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 May 2026, finished Coritiba 3–2 Bahia.

Team news

Predicted Bahia XI (5-3-2): Ronaldo, D. Duarte, L. Juba, M. Victor, M. Moreno, Kanu, R. Nestor, J. Lucas, N. Acevedo, A. Véliz, E. Pulga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Luciano Juba (4.0 per match over 34 appearances, 11 goals and one assist) and Nicolás Acevedo (3.4 per match over 34 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Bahia’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Bahia (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Luciano Juba averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 2823 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Nicolás Acevedo averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 2721 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Coritiba XI (4-2-3-1): P. Luccas, T. Cóser, B. Melo, Jacy, Tinga, S. Gomez, T. Santos, P. Rocha, N. Fonseca, Josué, P. Roberto — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Ronier (4.4 per match over 20 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Josué (3.2 per match over 33 appearances, one goal and 10 assists) have been Coritiba’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Coritiba (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Ronier averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1585 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Josué averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 2586 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT · Serie A – Brazil · Arena Fonte Nova
Head-to-head (last 6): Bahia 4 · draws 1 · Coritiba 1 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Bahia 2W 1D 2L · Coritiba 1W 1D 3L

Bahia v Coritiba (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 4 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.5 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 4.88

Corners

against 8.75 / 8.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 3.25

Shots on target

against 8 / 6.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.38

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Bahia for / against	Line	Coritiba for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.75 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 8.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.75 for · 17.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.38 for · 19 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 8 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.25 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.25 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Bahia

Bahia Goalkeeper

Bahia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Ronaldo	24	902148 min	964 /90	220.9 /90
Leo Vieira	11	87954 min	413.9 /90	171.6 /90
Joao Paulo	2	5099 min	65.5 /90	65.5 /90

Bahia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ronaldo n 8	90	6.5 8/6
Leo Vieira n 8	85.5	3.6 7/5

Bahia Defensive

Bahia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Luciano Juba	32	852726 min	431.4 /90	321.1 /90	70.2 /90	973.2 /90	190.6 /90	50.2 /90
David Duarte	27	912454 min	281 /90	331.2 /90	220.8 /90	1395.1 /90	220.8 /90	50.2 /90
Santiago Ramos Mingo	25	922301 min	120.5 /90	321.3 /90	281.1 /90	783.1 /90	180.7 /90	30.1 /90
Román Gómez	16	751194 min	282.1 /90	262 /90	60.5 /90	806 /90	231.7 /90	40.3 /90
Marcos Victor	8	75598 min	172.6 /90	71.1 /90	50.8 /90	395.9 /90	121.8 /90	20.3 /90
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Bahia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Erick Pulga n 8	71.1	1.1 6/1	1.1 5/2	—
Luciano Juba n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0	—
Nicolás Acevedo n 8	68.9	2.3 7/4	2 6/4	—
Jean Lucas n 8	59	2.5 6/4	1.3 5/2	—
Cristian Olivera n 8	79.1	0.9 4/2	1.3 7/1	—
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Bahia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Erick Pulga n 8	71.1	1.1 4/2
Luciano Juba n 8	90	1.5 6/3
Nicolás Acevedo n 8	68.9	2.6 6/5
Jean Lucas n 8	59	1 3/2
Cristian Olivera n 8	79.1	1.8 6/3
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Bahia Attacking

Bahia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Erick Pulga	34	702382 min	40.2 /90	20.1 /90	371.4 /90	170.6 /90	250.9 /90	471.8 /90
Cristian Olivera	28	681896 min	10 /90	20.1 /90	301.4 /90	200.9 /90	351.7 /90	261.2 /90
Ademir	28	411134 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	181.4 /90	80.6 /90	90.7 /90	181.4 /90
Willian Jose	20	601207 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	181.3 /90	90.7 /90	211.6 /90	50.4 /90
Everaldo	17	47795 min	40.5 /90	00 /90	171.9 /90	80.9 /90	70.8 /90	30.3 /90
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Bahia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Erick Pulga n 8	71.1	1.7 7/4	0.6 4/0
Luciano Juba n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.6 4/1
Nicolás Acevedo n 8	68.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Jean Lucas n 8	59	1.1 4/2	0.4 2/0
Cristian Olivera n 8	79.1	1 5/1	0.6 3/1
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Bahia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Erick Pulga n 8	71.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Luciano Juba n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
Nicolás Acevedo n 8	68.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Jean Lucas n 8	59	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
Cristian Olivera n 8	79.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Coritiba

Coritiba Goalkeeper

Coritiba — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Pedro Rangel	20	881759 min	603.1 /90	281.4 /90	00 /90
Pedro Luccas	16	891424 min	684.3 /90	201.3 /90	10.1 /90

Coritiba — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coritiba before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Pedro Rangel n 8	90	2.9 6/5
Pedro Luccas n 8	91.3	4.3 6/6

Coritiba Defensive

Coritiba — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Bruno Melo	31	802495 min	271 /90	170.6 /90	80.3 /90	983.5 /90	150.5 /90	50.2 /90
Jacy	31	752340 min	562.2 /90	321.2 /90	271 /90	1636.3 /90	271 /90	20.1 /90
Tiago Cóser	29	782251 min	130.5 /90	251 /90	341.4 /90	803.2 /90	381.5 /90	60.2 /90
Tinga	22	751650 min	181 /90	291.6 /90	150.8 /90	854.6 /90	70.4 /90	10.1 /90
Felipe Jonatan	18	571034 min	171.5 /90	60.5 /90	30.3 /90	423.7 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
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Coritiba — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coritiba before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Pedro Rocha n 8	68.8	1.3 5/1	1.5 6/1	—
Josué n 8	89.1	0.6 3/2	3.8 8/7	—
Sebastian Gomez n 8	84.8	1.5 6/2	0.4 3/0	—
Bruno Melo n 8	85	0.8 4/2	0.8 3/2	—
Jacy n 8	73.8	1.2 6/2	0.8 3/1	—
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Coritiba — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coritiba before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Pedro Rocha n 8	68.8	2 6/4
Josué n 8	89.1	1.1 6/2
Sebastian Gomez n 8	84.8	0.9 4/3
Bruno Melo n 8	85	0.7 3/2
Jacy n 8	73.8	2.1 6/4
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Coritiba Attacking

Coritiba — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Pedro Rocha	34	762575 min	90.3 /90	10 /90	572 /90	301 /90	170.6 /90	291 /90
Vini Paulista	22	45998 min	00 /90	00 /90	80.7 /90	10.1 /90	80.7 /90	50.5 /90
Fabinho	7	35243 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	41.5 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	31.1 /90
Renato Marques	4	45179 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Keno	4	2390 min	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	11 /90	11 /90	22 /90
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Coritiba — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coritiba before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Pedro Rocha n 8	68.8	1.3 6/1	1.1 5/1
Josué n 8	89.1	1.9 7/6	0.5 4/0
Sebastian Gomez n 8	84.8	1.2 6/2	0.1 1/0
Bruno Melo n 8	85	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Jacy n 8	73.8	0.8 3/2	0.2 1/0
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Coritiba — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coritiba before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Pedro Rocha n 8	68.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Josué n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
Sebastian Gomez n 8	84.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Melo n 8	85	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jacy n 8	73.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bahia v Coritiba — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BahiaLWLDW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

CoritibaDLLWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Bahia 4 · 1 draw · Coritiba 1 · 3.5 goals/game

2026-05-25 Coritiba 3–2 Bahia
2023-09-14 Coritiba 2–4 Bahia
2023-05-07 Bahia 3–1 Coritiba
2020-11-16 Coritiba 1–2 Bahia
2020-08-12 Bahia 1–0 Coritiba
2017-09-30 Bahia 1–1 Coritiba

League standing · 2026

Bahia#6 pos53 pts33 pl+6 GD

Coritiba#12 pos42 pts34 pl-11 GD

Goals per game

Bahia scored1.45

Coritiba scored1.18

Bahia conceded1.27

Coritiba conceded1.5

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Coritiba?: In their last 6 meetings, Bahia won 4, Coritiba won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bahia and Coritiba?: Recent form — Bahia 2W 1D 2L; Coritiba 1W 1D 3L.

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