BotafogoBahia

Botafogo v Bahia prediction

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Nilton Santos

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Botafogo v Bahia, Serie A – Brazil on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Botafogo host Bahia in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 29 November (kick-off 21:00 UK).

Form and the table

Seven of Botafogo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Botafogo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Botafogo have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.00. Botafogo have scored 46 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Botafogo have conceded 53 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Bahia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Bahia’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Bahia have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.50. Bahia have scored 50 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Bahia have conceded 45 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Botafogo (11th) and Bahia (sixth) are 11 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bahia the stronger side, 183 rating points above Botafogo (Bahia 1653, Botafogo 1470, after at least 338 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Bahia 2–1 Botafogo.

Team news

Predicted Botafogo XI (4-2-3-1): G. Batista, N. Ferraresi, Marcal, A. Telles, Vitinho, C. Medina, Huguinho, Danilo, M. Martins, H. Ziyech, A. Cabral — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Danilo (4.3 per match over 35 appearances, 13 goals and three assists) and A. Barboza (3.9 per match over 22 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Botafogo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Botafogo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Danilo averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 3296 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Barboza averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 3749 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bahia XI (4-3-3): Ronaldo, D. Duarte, L. Juba, M. Victor, Kanu, R. Nestor, N. Acevedo, J. Lucas, A. Véliz, E. Pulga, C. Olivera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Luciano Juba (4.1 per match over 34 appearances, 11 goals and two assists) and Nicolás Acevedo (3.5 per match over 34 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Bahia’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Bahia (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Luciano Juba averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 2913 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Nicolás Acevedo averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 2778 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Botafogo 1 · draws 2 · Bahia 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Botafogo 2W 1D 2L · Bahia 2W 1D 2L

Botafogo v Bahia (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 4 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 5.63
Corners
against 6 / 8.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 7.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBotafogo for / againstLineBahia for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 8.13 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 17.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 7.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
14.25 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8

Botafogo

Botafogo Goalkeeper

Botafogo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Neto16891416 min442.8 /90191.2 /9000 /90
Gabriel Batista13881140 min423.3 /90141.1 /9000 /90
Raul Steffens1087865 min394.1 /90192 /9000 /90
Warleson685509 min183.2 /9081.4 /9000 /90
Léo Linck591457 min153 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Botafogo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Botafogo before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Neto n 886
2.94/4
Gabriel Batista n 890
2.86/5

Botafogo Defensive

Botafogo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alex Telles43763289 min381 /90371 /90110.3 /901143.1 /90411.1 /9060.2 /90
Vitinho42823462 min751.9 /90280.7 /90280.7 /901594.1 /90391 /9040.1 /90
N. Ferraresi33872856 min772.4 /90401.3 /90260.8 /901705.4 /90371.2 /9090.3 /90
A. Barboza22891955 min442 /90271.2 /90140.6 /901336.1 /90351.6 /9070.3 /90
M. Ponte20651304 min211.4 /90191.3 /9090.6 /90755.2 /90130.9 /9070.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Botafogo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Botafogo before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alex Telles n 879.3
1.16/2
0.94/1
—
Vitinho n 888.8
0.63/2
0.83/1
—
Arthur Cabral n 871.3
1.66/3
0.63/1
—
Álvaro Montoro n 874
1.14/1
0.83/2
—
Matheus Martins n 855.5
0.41/1
3.48/6
—
See more players · Pro
Botafogo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Botafogo before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Alex Telles n 879.3
0.74/1
Vitinho n 888.8
1.85/5
Arthur Cabral n 871.3
0.21/0
Álvaro Montoro n 874
1.14/2
Matheus Martins n 855.5
0.82/2
See more players · Pro

Botafogo Attacking

Botafogo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Arthur Cabral38732764 min90.3 /9010 /90742.4 /90341.1 /90220.7 /90210.7 /90
Matheus Martins37602215 min60.2 /9020.1 /90552.2 /90331.3 /90301.2 /90401.6 /90
Junior Santos23521198 min20.2 /9000 /90302.3 /90131 /9080.6 /90241.8 /90
Lucas Villalba1946882 min10.1 /9010.1 /90121.2 /9070.7 /90111.1 /9080.8 /90
K. Barria1938721 min10.1 /9010.1 /90293.6 /90111.4 /90121.5 /9070.9 /90
See more players · Pro
Botafogo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Botafogo before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alex Telles n 879.3
0.64/0
0.32/0
Vitinho n 888.8
0.53/1
0.11/0
Arthur Cabral n 871.3
2.46/4
0.62/2
Álvaro Montoro n 874
1.45/2
0.93/2
Matheus Martins n 855.5
27/2
13/1
See more players · Pro
Botafogo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Botafogo before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alex Telles n 879.3
0.11/0
00/0
Vitinho n 888.8
00/0
0.32/0
Arthur Cabral n 871.3
00/0
00/0
Álvaro Montoro n 874
0.21/0
0.31/1
Matheus Martins n 855.5
00/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

Bahia

Bahia Goalkeeper

Bahia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ronaldo25902238 min1014.1 /90251 /9000 /90
Leo Vieira1187954 min413.9 /90171.6 /9000 /90
Joao Paulo25099 min65.5 /9065.5 /9000 /90
Bahia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ronaldo n 890
68/6
Leo Vieira n 885.5
3.67/5

Bahia Defensive

Bahia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Luciano Juba33852816 min431.4 /90331.1 /9070.2 /901023.3 /90200.6 /9050.2 /90
David Duarte28912544 min281 /90331.2 /90230.8 /901405 /90220.8 /9050.2 /90
Santiago Ramos Mingo25922301 min120.5 /90321.3 /90281.1 /90783.1 /90180.7 /9030.1 /90
Román Gómez17711209 min282.1 /90261.9 /9060.4 /90806 /90231.7 /9040.3 /90
Marcos Victor976688 min192.5 /9081 /9050.7 /90415.4 /90121.6 /9020.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Bahia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Erick Pulga n 865.8
1.26/1
1.55/3
—
Luciano Juba n 890
0.32/0
0.43/0
—
Nicolás Acevedo n 864.8
2.87/5
1.96/3
—
Jean Lucas n 860.8
2.46/4
1.35/2
—
Cristian Olivera n 883.4
0.95/2
1.38/1
—
See more players · Pro
Bahia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Erick Pulga n 865.8
1.24/2
Luciano Juba n 890
15/2
Nicolás Acevedo n 864.8
2.86/5
Jean Lucas n 860.8
0.93/2
Cristian Olivera n 883.4
1.65/3
See more players · Pro

Bahia Attacking

Bahia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Erick Pulga35692407 min40.1 /9020.1 /90391.5 /90170.6 /90250.9 /90491.8 /90
Cristian Olivera29681986 min20.1 /9020.1 /90331.5 /90231 /90361.6 /90281.3 /90
Ademir28411134 min00 /9010.1 /90181.4 /9080.6 /9090.7 /90181.4 /90
Willian Jose20601207 min40.3 /9010.1 /90181.3 /9090.7 /90211.6 /9050.4 /90
Everaldo1747795 min40.5 /9000 /90171.9 /9080.9 /9070.8 /9030.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Bahia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Erick Pulga n 865.8
1.97/4
0.53/0
Luciano Juba n 890
0.95/2
0.53/1
Nicolás Acevedo n 864.8
0.32/0
00/0
Jean Lucas n 860.8
0.73/1
0.21/0
Cristian Olivera n 883.4
1.25/2
0.83/2
See more players · Pro
Bahia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Erick Pulga n 865.8
0.32/0
00/0
Luciano Juba n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
Nicolás Acevedo n 864.8
00/0
00/0
Jean Lucas n 860.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Cristian Olivera n 883.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Botafogo v Bahia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BotafogoDWLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BahiaWLDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Botafogo 1 · 2 draws · Bahia 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-05-30 Bahia 2–1 Botafogo
  • 2025-10-02 Botafogo 2–1 Bahia
  • 2025-05-04 Bahia 1–0 Botafogo
  • 2024-08-25 Bahia 0–0 Botafogo
  • 2024-08-07 Bahia 1–0 Botafogo
  • 2024-07-31 Botafogo 1–1 Bahia
League standing · 2026
Botafogo#11 pos42 pts34 pl-7 GD
Bahia#6 pos53 pts34 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Botafogo scored1.35
Bahia scored1.47
Botafogo conceded1.56
Bahia conceded1.32

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Bahia?
In their last 6 meetings, Botafogo won 1, Bahia won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Botafogo and Bahia?
Recent form — Botafogo 2W 1D 2L; Bahia 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+