Botafogo v Sao Paulo prediction

Serie A – Brazil · Mon, 23 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT · Estádio Nilton Santos

Updated 4 Nov 2026, 05:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Botafogo · Sao Paulo · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Botafogo v Sao Paulo, Serie A – Brazil on Mon, 23 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Botafogo host Sao Paulo in Serie A – Brazil on Monday 23 November (kick-off 23:00 UK).

Form and the table

Seven of Botafogo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Botafogo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Botafogo have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.00. Botafogo have scored 46 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Botafogo have conceded 53 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Five of Sao Paulo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Sao Paulo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Sao Paulo have no wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.17 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 1.67. Sao Paulo have scored 39 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Sao Paulo have conceded 39 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sao Paulo are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Botafogo (11th) and Sao Paulo (10th) are two points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sao Paulo the stronger side, 91 rating points above Botafogo (Sao Paulo 1561, Botafogo 1470, after at least 338 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Sao Paulo are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Botafogo. The most recent meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Sao Paulo 1–1 Botafogo.

Team news

Predicted Botafogo XI (4-2-3-1): G. Batista, N. Ferraresi, Marcal, A. Telles, Vitinho, C. Medina, Huguinho, Danilo, M. Martins, H. Ziyech, A. Cabral — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Danilo (4.3 per match over 35 appearances, 13 goals and three assists) and A. Barboza (3.9 per match over 22 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Botafogo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Botafogo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Danilo averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 3296 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Barboza averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 3749 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sao Paulo XI (3-4-2-1): Rafael, R. Arboleda, Newton, R. Toloi, D. Bobadilla, P. Lima, I. Borduchi, P. Maia, D. Ferreira, M. Antônio, J. Calleri — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pedro Lima (4.3 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and Domingos Duarte (4.0 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Sao Paulo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sao Paulo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Pedro Lima averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 712 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Domingos Duarte averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 676 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Mon, 23 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT · Serie A – Brazil · Estádio Nilton Santos
Head-to-head (last 6): Botafogo 1 · draws 4 · Sao Paulo 1 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Botafogo 2W 1D 2L · Sao Paulo 2W 2D 1L

Botafogo v Sao Paulo (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 4 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 7.25

Corners

against 6 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.25 / 2.5

Cards

against 1.25 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Botafogo for / against	Line	Sao Paulo for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.25 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.5 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.13 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.25 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.25 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

Botafogo

Botafogo Goalkeeper

Botafogo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Neto	16	891416 min	442.8 /90	191.2 /90
Gabriel Batista	13	881140 min	423.3 /90	141.1 /90
Raul Steffens	10	87865 min	394.1 /90	192 /90
Warleson	6	85509 min	183.2 /90	81.4 /90
Léo Linck	5	91457 min	153 /90	40.8 /90

Botafogo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Botafogo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Neto n 8	86	2.9 4/4
Gabriel Batista n 8	90	2.8 6/5

Botafogo Defensive

Botafogo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Alex Telles	43	763289 min	381 /90	371 /90	110.3 /90	1143.1 /90	411.1 /90	60.2 /90
Vitinho	42	823462 min	751.9 /90	280.7 /90	280.7 /90	1594.1 /90	391 /90	40.1 /90
N. Ferraresi	33	872856 min	772.4 /90	401.3 /90	260.8 /90	1705.4 /90	371.2 /90	90.3 /90
A. Barboza	22	891955 min	442 /90	271.2 /90	140.6 /90	1336.1 /90	351.6 /90	70.3 /90
M. Ponte	20	651304 min	211.4 /90	191.3 /90	90.6 /90	755.2 /90	130.9 /90	70.5 /90
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Botafogo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Botafogo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alex Telles n 8	79.3	1.1 6/2	0.9 4/1	—
Vitinho n 8	88.8	0.6 3/2	0.8 3/1	—
Arthur Cabral n 8	71.3	1.6 6/3	0.6 3/1	—
Álvaro Montoro n 8	74	1.1 4/1	0.8 3/2	—
Matheus Martins n 8	55.5	0.4 1/1	3.4 8/6	—
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Botafogo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Botafogo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Alex Telles n 8	79.3	0.7 4/1
Vitinho n 8	88.8	1.8 5/5
Arthur Cabral n 8	71.3	0.2 1/0
Álvaro Montoro n 8	74	1.1 4/2
Matheus Martins n 8	55.5	0.8 2/2
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Botafogo Attacking

Botafogo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Arthur Cabral	38	732764 min	90.3 /90	10 /90	742.4 /90	341.1 /90	220.7 /90	210.7 /90
Matheus Martins	37	602215 min	60.2 /90	20.1 /90	552.2 /90	331.3 /90	301.2 /90	401.6 /90
Junior Santos	23	521198 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	302.3 /90	131 /90	80.6 /90	241.8 /90
Lucas Villalba	19	46882 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	121.2 /90	70.7 /90	111.1 /90	80.8 /90
K. Barria	19	38721 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	293.6 /90	111.4 /90	121.5 /90	70.9 /90
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Botafogo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Botafogo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alex Telles n 8	79.3	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
Vitinho n 8	88.8	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
Arthur Cabral n 8	71.3	2.4 6/4	0.6 2/2
Álvaro Montoro n 8	74	1.4 5/2	0.9 3/2
Matheus Martins n 8	55.5	2 7/2	1 3/1
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Botafogo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Botafogo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alex Telles n 8	79.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Vitinho n 8	88.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Arthur Cabral n 8	71.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Álvaro Montoro n 8	74	0.2 1/0	0.3 1/1
Matheus Martins n 8	55.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo Goalkeeper

Sao Paulo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Rafael	40	913659 min	922.3 /90	370.9 /90	00 /90
Carlos Coronel	5	90450 min	204 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90

Sao Paulo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sao Paulo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Rafael n 8	90	1.9 4/2

Sao Paulo Defensive

Sao Paulo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Sabino	28	822309 min	501.9 /90	341.3 /90	200.8 /90	1345.2 /90	311.2 /90	30.1 /90
Lucas Ramon	28	772144 min	421.8 /90	301.3 /90	00 /90	1275.3 /90	241 /90	10 /90
Wendell	24	681643 min	351.9 /90	160.9 /90	20.1 /90	663.6 /90	432.4 /90	50.3 /90
R. Arboleda	21	871824 min	391.9 /90	180.9 /90	80.4 /90	1015 /90	110.5 /90	10 /90
Alan Javier Franco	19	851618 min	160.9 /90	140.8 /90	170.9 /90	623.4 /90	140.8 /90	30.2 /90
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Sao Paulo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sao Paulo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Rafael n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
Jonathan Calleri n 8	73	1.1 5/1	2.5 7/6	—
Danielzinho n 8	50.6	1.8 4/3	0.7 3/0	—
Luciano n 8	74.8	0.6 3/1	2.4 7/5	—
Artur n 8	72.3	0.3 1/1	2.2 7/5	—
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Sao Paulo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sao Paulo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jonathan Calleri n 8	73	0.9 4/1
Danielzinho n 8	50.6	2.4 4/3
Luciano n 8	74.8	0.6 3/1
Artur n 8	72.3	0.9 4/2
D. Bobadilla n 8	81.8	2.1 8/5
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Sao Paulo Attacking

Sao Paulo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jonathan Calleri	35	812836 min	110.3 /90	40.1 /90	531.7 /90	220.7 /90	321 /90	140.4 /90
Luciano	34	752543 min	130.5 /90	20.1 /90	612.2 /90	250.9 /90	331.2 /90	70.2 /90
Ferreirinha	27	441183 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	262 /90	141.1 /90	231.7 /90	413.1 /90
Andre Silva	17	47804 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90
Lucas Moura	11	54598 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	121.8 /90	71.1 /90	91.4 /90	60.9 /90
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Sao Paulo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sao Paulo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Rafael n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jonathan Calleri n 8	73	2 6/4	0.6 3/1
Danielzinho n 8	50.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Luciano n 8	74.8	2.7 8/5	0.8 5/0
Artur n 8	72.3	3 7/7	1.6 5/4
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Sao Paulo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sao Paulo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Rafael n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jonathan Calleri n 8	73	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
Danielzinho n 8	50.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Luciano n 8	74.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Artur n 8	72.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Botafogo v Sao Paulo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BotafogoDWLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Sao PauloWWDLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Botafogo 1 · 4 draws · Sao Paulo 1 · 2 goals/game

2026-05-23 Sao Paulo 1–1 Botafogo
2025-09-14 Sao Paulo 1–0 Botafogo
2025-04-16 Botafogo 2–2 Sao Paulo
2024-12-08 Botafogo 2–1 Sao Paulo
2024-09-26 Sao Paulo 1–1 Botafogo
2024-09-19 Botafogo 0–0 Sao Paulo

League standing · 2026

Botafogo#11 pos42 pts34 pl-7 GD

Sao Paulo#10 pos44 pts34 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Botafogo scored1.35

Sao Paulo scored1.15

Botafogo conceded1.56

Sao Paulo conceded1.15

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Botafogo and Sao Paulo?: In their last 6 meetings, Botafogo won 1, Sao Paulo won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Botafogo and Sao Paulo?: Recent form — Botafogo 2W 1D 2L; Sao Paulo 2W 2D 1L.

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