Fluminense v RB Bragantino result

Full-time · Fluminense 1–1 RB Bragantino

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio do Maracanã

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Fluminense 1–1 RB Bragantino — this Serie A – Brazil match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Fluminense and RB Bragantino drew 1–1 at Estádio do Maracanã in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 18 July. RB Bragantino have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

RB Bragantino led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — RB Bragantino: Eduardo Sasha (27’, assisted by José Herrera); Fluminense: Ignacio (90’, assisted by A. Canobbio). A. Sant'Anna (64’), John Kennedy (90’) and Fabinho (90’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ignacio’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Fluminense out-shot RB Bragantino 25 to 6 and created the better chances, 1.56 xG to 0.89 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil showed six yellow cards and three reds — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 24 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fluminense: J. Freytes (90+5’) and Ignacio (90+5’); RB Bragantino: Eduardo Sasha (58’), Alix Vinicius (64’), Tiago Volpi (90’) and Henry Mosquera (90+5’).

What it changes

Fluminense stay third after this result (19 league matches played).

RB Bragantino move up from fifth to fourth (19 league matches played).

Fluminense are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. RB Bragantino are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ignacio (Fluminense) 5.7, A. Canobbio (Fluminense) 5.3 and L. Acosta (Fluminense) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fluminense or RB Bragantino (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Fluminense next host Santos on 18 October 2026.

RB Bragantino next travel to Remo on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fluminense: Fluminense v Santos, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for RB Bragantino: Remo v RB Bragantino, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Fluminense 1–1 RB Bragantino · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio do Maracanã · Rio de Janeiro
  • Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fluminense 3 · draws 1 · RB Bragantino 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fluminense 3W 1D 1L · RB Bragantino 4W 1D 0L

Fluminense 1–1 RB Bragantino (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.75
Corners
against 3.25 / 4 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 6.63
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.63 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5 yellows
Referee · Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil
2 home / 3 away
over 24 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 June 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFluminense for / againstLineRB Bragantino for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
2.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
18.25 for · 9.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6.63 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
15 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
15.75 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil — 5 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 24 fouls over 24 matches (2 to the home side, 3 to the away side).

Fluminense
Fluminense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Serna n 838.8
2.96/4
2.64/2
Rodriguinho
L. Acosta n 871.8
2.77/6
1.45/1
Fernando
Hercules n 858.3
2.76/5
00/0
—
R. Castillo n 845.9
2.75/4
2.96/3
—
Riquelme Felipe n 817.5
2.64/0
3.25/0
—
Fluminense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Cano n 816.8
44/2
1.32/0
John Kennedy n 867.9
38/4
15/1
R. Castillo n 845.9
2.74/3
1.53/2
Jefferson Savarino n 879.4
1.87/3
0.94/1
K. Serna n 838.8
1.76/0
1.24/0
Fluminense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
John Kennedy n 867.9
0.85/0
0.21/0
L. Acosta n 871.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
A. Canobbio n 878.3
0.43/0
00/0
J. Millan n 892.3
0.22/0
0.11/0
Jefferson Savarino n 879.4
0.32/0
00/0
Fluminense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Riquelme Felipe n 817.5
5.15/2
Rene n 873.1
3.17/5
Facundo Bernal n 851.5
3.16/3
A. Canobbio n 878.3
2.65/4
Nonato n 862.8
2.55/4
Fluminense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fabio n 891.4
3.16/3
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Breno de Moraes n 336
2.52/1
0.81/0
—
Isidro Pitta n 878.9
2.47/6
1.14/3
—
Fernando n 839
2.35/2
2.64/3
L. Acosta
Henry Mosquera n 861.4
26/4
1.35/1
—
Rodriguinho n 850.6
26/3
1.14/1
K. Serna
RB Bragantino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Fernando n 839
3.25/3
24/3
Eduardo Sasha n 836.1
3.16/1
2.23/1
Rodriguinho n 850.6
2.73/3
0.92/2
Isidro Pitta n 878.9
2.66/4
0.94/2
Lucas Barbosa n 888.9
2.36/5
0.84/2
RB Bragantino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fernando n 839
1.24/0
0.92/1
Rodriguinho n 850.6
0.72/1
0.21/0
Isidro Pitta n 878.9
0.32/0
0.43/0
Gustavo Neves n 844
0.31/0
0.31/0
Lucas Barbosa n 888.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
RB Bragantino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Breno de Moraes n 336
4.21/1
Gustavo Neves n 844
3.16/2
Ignacio Sosa n 826.3
35/1
Juninho Capixaba n 890.3
2.77/6
Fernando n 839
2.34/3
RB Bragantino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Cleiton n 890
2.86/4
Tiago Volpi n 897.5
2.25/2

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FluminenseRB Bragantino
67%Possession33%
1.56Expected goals (xG)0.89
25Shots6
4Shots on target2
13Shots off target2
8Blocked shots2
14Shots inside the box4
11Corners4
3Offsides2
6Fouls9
2Yellow cards4
1Red cards2
1Saves3
578Passes294
89%Pass accuracy76%

Fluminense player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Fabio9000000006.3
Guga9000003106.7
Rene9000100207.5
Martinelli9000002007.9
L. Acosta9000113107.2
Hulk9000501006.7
Hercules7900311107.3
K. Serna5600200106.3
Jefferson Savarino5600102006.3
Jemmes4500000106.6
J. Millan3300000206.6
J. Freytes sub57001010Y7.3
Ignacio sub45101131Y8.2
John Kennedy sub38000000R5.9
A. Canobbio sub3401111007
G. Cano sub1100100006.3

RB Bragantino player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tiago Volpi90000000Y7.2
Alix Vinicius90000003Y7.7
Gustavo Marques9000001107.5
Cauê Nascimento Santos9000000406.9
Lucas Barbosa9000000106.2
Rodriguinho8900000206.5
Eric Ramires8500000106.6
Fernando8500203107.5
José Herrera6801001107.2
Eduardo Sasha67101100Y7
A. Sant'Anna64000002R6.3
José Andrés Hurtado sub2300110106.5
Pedro Henrique sub2200000006.2
Henry Mosquera sub22000010Y6.7
Matheus Fernandes sub2200000006.2
Fabinho sub2000000R5.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Fluminense v RB Bragantino — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FluminenseWWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
RB BragantinoWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fluminense 3 · 1 draw · RB Bragantino 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-08-23 RB Bragantino 4–2 Fluminense
  • 2025-04-06 Fluminense 2–1 RB Bragantino
  • 2024-07-28 RB Bragantino 0–1 Fluminense
  • 2024-04-14 Fluminense 2–2 RB Bragantino
  • 2023-10-22 RB Bragantino 1–0 Fluminense
  • 2023-06-04 Fluminense 2–1 RB Bragantino
League standing · 2026
Fluminense#4 pos51 pts30 pl+11 GD
RB Bragantino#10 pos40 pts30 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Fluminense scored1.6
RB Bragantino scored1.27
Fluminense conceded1.23
RB Bragantino conceded1.17

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Fluminense v RB Bragantino?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fluminense v RB Bragantino was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Fluminense and RB Bragantino?
In their last 6 meetings, Fluminense won 3, RB Bragantino won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fluminense and RB Bragantino?
Recent form — Fluminense 3W 1D 1L; RB Bragantino 4W 1D 0L.

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