Juventude v Corinthians result

Full-time · Juventude 2–1 Corinthians

Serie A – Brazil ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Juventude · Corinthians · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Juventude 2–1 Corinthians — Juventude won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Juventude beat Corinthians 2–1 in Serie A – Brazil on Tuesday 12 August. Corinthians have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Juventude led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Juventude: Gabriel Taliari (27’, assisted by Marcelo Hermes) and Matheus Babi (81’, assisted by Nenê); Corinthians: Matheuzinho (90’). Angel Romero (85’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gabriel Taliari’s goal on 27 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Juventude 1.62, Corinthians 0.76, from 12 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Lucas Casagrande, Brazil showed 11 yellow cards and one red — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Juventude: Gabriel Taliari (34’), Cipriano (35’), Gilberto (38’), Jadson (76’), D. Giraldo (84’) and Matheus Babi (90+2’); Corinthians: Caca (-5’), José Martínez (34’), Matheus Bidu (54’), Fabrizio Angileri (84’) and Breno Bidon (86’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Matheuzinho (Corinthians) 8.8, Rodrigo Garro (Corinthians) 6.0 and Marcelo Hermes (Juventude) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Corinthians next host Vitoria on 19 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Corinthians: Corinthians v Vitoria, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Juventude 2–1 Corinthians · Serie A – Brazil
  • Referee: Lucas Casagrande, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Juventude 2 · draws 2 · Corinthians 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Juventude 1W 0D 4L · Corinthians 2W 3D 0L

Juventude 2–1 Corinthians (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.71
Corners
against 5.88 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.75 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 3.43 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3 / 2.71
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.71 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.73 yellows
Referee · Lucas Casagrande, Brazil
1.87 home / 1.87 away
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameJuventude for / againstLineCorinthians for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.71 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
9 for · 17 against n 8
19.5standard
10.57 for · 12.14 against n 7
Shots on target
2.75 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.57 for · 3.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.63 for · 15.38 against n 8
21.5standard
14.57 for · 16.57 against n 7
Cards shown
3 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.71 for · 2.71 against n 7

Referee: Lucas Casagrande, Brazil — 3.73 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 26.67 fouls over 15 matches (1.87 to the home side, 1.87 to the away side).

Juventude
Juventude — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Matheus Babi n 825.3
46/2
1.84/0
—
Caique Goncalves n 873.9
37/5
2.66/5
Raniele
Hudson n 370
2.63/1
00/0
—
Gabriel Taliari n 856.3
2.26/3
1.87/2
—
Lucas Fernandes n 868.8
27/3
3.18/6
—
Juventude — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gilberto n 852.6
2.14/2
1.73/2
Ênio n 865.8
1.44/3
0.32/0
Matheus Babi n 825.3
1.33/0
0.41/0
Gabriel Veron n 851.4
1.14/1
0.42/0
Nenê n 829.5
1.13/0
0.41/0
Juventude — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gilberto n 852.6
0.41/1
00/0
Matheus Babi n 825.3
0.41/0
00/0
Marcelo Hermes n 890.8
00/0
0.22/0
Reginaldo Lopes n 868.1
00/0
0.21/0
Ênio n 865.8
0.21/0
00/0
Juventude — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Caique Goncalves n 873.9
3.88/6
Mandaca n 875.5
2.47/5
Ewerthon n 872.1
2.36/3
Matheus Babi n 825.3
2.24/1
Rodrigo Sam n 859
2.15/4
Juventude — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Marcão n 785.6
5.97/6
Gustavo n 885.1
4.18/6
Corinthians
Corinthians — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Charles n 832.5
3.85/3
00/0
—
Gui Negão n 438.5
3.54/1
2.93/2
—
Ryan Gustavo n 844.8
2.34/3
1.84/1
—
Raniele n 874.8
2.17/3
1.14/2
Caique Goncalves
Breno Bidon n 869.6
2.17/4
1.66/3
—
Corinthians — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Yuri Alberto n 859
2.96/5
1.55/3
M. Depay n 872
1.97/5
1.46/3
Dieguinho n 331.3
1.91/1
00/0
Talles Magno n 856.4
1.85/3
0.63/0
Angel Romero n 850
1.64/2
0.52/0
Corinthians — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Yuri Alberto n 859
0.42/0
00/0
M. Depay n 872
0.32/0
00/0
Breno Bidon n 869.6
0.21/0
00/0
João Pedro n 861
00/0
0.21/0
André Carrillo n 857.9
0.21/0
00/0
Corinthians — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ryan Gustavo n 844.8
37/2
Charles n 832.5
2.84/3
Matheus Bidu n 878.6
2.46/5
Raniele n 874.8
2.46/4
Matheuzinho n 878.9
2.16/5
Corinthians — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Hugo Souza n 890
2.67/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
JuventudeCorinthians
37%Possession63%
1.62Expected goals (xG)0.76
12Shots11
4Shots on target3
5Shots off target6
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box7
3Corners2
1Offsides1
21Fouls12
6Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
2Saves2
319Passes554
81%Pass accuracy88%

Juventude player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ruan Carneiro9700000006.7
Reginaldo Lopes9700001007
Abner9700000206.7
Cipriano97000000Y6.7
Marcelo Hermes9701002307
Jadson97000042Y7
Mandaca9400411207.3
Gabriel Veron7900111006.6
Gabriel Taliari79102110Y7.3
Caique Goncalves6500000306.6
Gilberto45000000Y6.5
Ênio sub5200101006.9
D. Giraldo sub32000000Y6.3
Nenê sub1801001007.2
Matheus Babi sub18101100Y7.2
Alan Ruschel sub30000000–

Corinthians player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Hugo Souza9700000006.9
Matheuzinho9710210607.2
Gustavo Henrique9700001007.5
Breno Bidon97001002Y6.9
Rodrigo Garro9700004108.2
Yuri Alberto9700310006.9
André Ramalho9100000206.6
Raniele7600000206.3
Talles Magno7600100006.6
Matheus Bidu63001100Y6.9
José Martínez63000000Y6.3
Fabrizio Angileri sub34000012Y7
Dieguinho sub3400100006.3
Charles sub2100000006.2
Angel Romero sub9000000R5.3
Gui Negão sub60000100–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Juventude v Corinthians — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
JuventudeWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
CorinthiansDDWDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Juventude 2 · 2 draws · Corinthians 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2024-09-12 Corinthians 3–1 Juventude
  • 2024-08-29 Juventude 2–1 Corinthians
  • 2024-08-04 Corinthians 1–1 Juventude
  • 2024-04-17 Juventude 2–0 Corinthians
  • 2022-10-05 Juventude 2–2 Corinthians
  • 2022-06-11 Corinthians 2–0 Juventude
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Juventude#19 pos35 pts38 pl-34 GD
Corinthians#13 pos47 pts38 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Juventude scored0.92
Corinthians scored1.11
Juventude conceded1.82
Corinthians conceded1.24

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Juventude v Corinthians?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Juventude v Corinthians was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Juventude and Corinthians?
In their last 6 meetings, Juventude won 2, Corinthians won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Juventude and Corinthians?
Recent form — Juventude 1W 0D 4L; Corinthians 2W 3D 0L.

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