AC MilanCremonese

AC Milan v Cremonese result

Full-time · AC Milan 1–2 Cremonese

Serie A · · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

AC Milan 1–2 Cremonese — Cremonese won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said AC Milan: 2.12 to 0.36 in expected goals, from 24 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Cremonese won 2–1 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Saturday 23 August.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Cremonese: F. Baschirotto (28’, assisted by Alessio Zerbin) and F. Bonazzoli (61’, assisted by G. Pezzella); AC Milan: Strahinja Pavlović (45’, assisted by P. Estupiñán).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Bonazzoli’s goal on 61 minutes.

Discipline

Giuseppe Collu, Italy showed five yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — AC Milan: Álex Jiménez (78’); Cremonese: A. Grassi (48’), Filippo Terracciano (69’), Martín Payero (77’) and W. Bondo (88’).

What it changes

AC Milan are 19th after this result (one league match played). AC Milan have scored 52 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 35 games, ranked per game). AC Milan have conceded 31 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Cremonese are second after this result (one league match played). Cremonese have scored 31 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 35 games, ranked per game). Cremonese have conceded 54 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Cremonese are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alessio Zerbin (Cremonese) 7.6, Strahinja Pavlović (AC Milan) 6.7 and Alexis Saelemaekers (AC Milan) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

AC Milan next travel to Genoa on 8 November 2026.

Cremonese next travel to Vicenza Virtus on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AC Milan: Genoa v AC Milan, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Cremonese: Vicenza Virtus v Cremonese, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: AC Milan 1–2 Cremonese · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
  • Referee: Giuseppe Collu, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): AC Milan 0 · draws 2 · Cremonese 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: AC Milan 3W 0D 2L · Cremonese 2W 2D 1L

AC Milan 1–2 Cremonese (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AC MilanCremonese
64%Possession36%
1.92Expected goals (xG)0.21
24Shots4
6Shots on target3
9Shots off target1
9Blocked shots0
16Shots inside the box4
9Corners2
1Offsides1
10Fouls14
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves4
608Passes340
91%Pass accuracy82%

AC Milan Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maignan9000000006.3
M. Gabbia9000101007.2
S. Pavlović9010110107.3
A. Saelemaekers9000004207.5
R. Loftus-Cheek9000202006
Y. Fofana9000312106.2
S. Giménez9000311006.2
C. Pulišić9000214006.9
L. Modrić7400113107.3
F. Tomori6500110206.3
P. Estupiñán4501101007.3
Álex Jiménez sub45000020Y6.7
S. Chukwueze sub2500000007.3
A. Jashari sub1600000106.9

Cremonese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Audero9000000006.9
F. Terracciano90000003Y7
F. Baschirotto9010110008.6
A. Zerbin9001001607.2
M. Collocolo9000001006.3
G. Pezzella9001101007.5
F. Bonazzoli8410220107.9
M. Bianchetti8300000306.7
D. Okereke6500000006.2
A. Grassi56000002Y6.3
J. Vandeputte5600001106.3
W. Bondo sub34000001Y7
M. Payero sub34000000Y6.7
A. Sanabria sub2500000006.2
F. Ceccherini sub1200000006.9
M. De Luca sub1100000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AC Milan v Cremonese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AC MilanWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
CremoneseLWDWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
AC Milan 0 · 2 draws · Cremonese 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2023-05-03 AC Milan 1–1 Cremonese
  • 2022-11-08 Cremonese 0–0 AC Milan
League standing · 2025/26
AC Milan#5 pos70 pts38 pl+18 GD
Cremonese#18 pos34 pts38 pl-25 GD
Goals per game
AC Milan scored1.39
Cremonese scored0.84
AC Milan conceded0.92
Cremonese conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

AC Milan 2.12 xG from 24 shots, Cremonese 0.36 from 4. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Santiago Giménez 93' · 0.43 xGRuben Loftus-Cheek 16' · 0.12 xGRuben Loftus-Cheek 91' · 0.12 xGAlexis Saelemaekers 93' · 0.09 xGSantiago Giménez 48' · 0.09 xGRuben Loftus-Cheek 79' · 0.08 xGSantiago Giménez 3' · 0.07 xGFikayo Tomori 46' · 0.07 xGSantiago Giménez 43' · 0.07 xGYoussouf Fofana 21' · 0.07 xGRuben Loftus-Cheek 25' · 0.06 xGYoussouf Fofana 55' · 0.06 xGYoussouf Fofana 53' · 0.06 xGFederico Bonazzoli 22' · 0.05 xGAlexis Saelemaekers 92' · 0.05 xGMatteo Gabbia 53' · 0.05 xGChristian Pulisic 63' · 0.04 xGChristian Pulisic 52' · 0.04 xGMatteo Gabbia 4' · 0.03 xGLuka Modric 51' · 0.03 xGYoussouf Fofana 50' · 0.02 xGGiuseppe Pezzella 23' · 0.02 xGArdon Jashari 91' · 0.02 xGLuka Modric 14' · 0.02 xGEstupiñán 15' · 0.01 xGStrahinja Pavlovic 45' · 0.45 xG · goalFederico Baschirotto 27' · 0.20 xG · goalFederico Bonazzoli 60' · 0.10 xG · goal
AC Milan (attacking right)Cremonese (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
AC Milan2412.12
Cremonese420.36

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, AC Milan led on xG, 0.90 to 0.27. At full time, AC Milan led on xG, 2.12 to 0.36. The widest gap was 1.76 xG to AC Milan, in the 93rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.11.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Cremonese 27 minGoal - AC Milan 45 minGoal - Cremonese 60 min
AC Milan 2.12 xGCremonese 0.36 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AC Milan v Cremonese?
TACTIX’s free model pick for AC Milan v Cremonese was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Cremonese?
In their last 2 meetings, AC Milan won 0, Cremonese won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AC Milan and Cremonese?
Recent form — AC Milan 3W 0D 2L; Cremonese 2W 2D 1L.

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