AC Milan v Lazio prediction

Serie A · Sun, 02 May 2027 17:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AC Milan · Lazio · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for AC Milan v Lazio, Serie A on Sun, 02 May 2027 17:30 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

AC Milan host Lazio in Serie A on Sunday 2 May (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Lazio are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Lazio have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, AC Milan have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.63. AC Milan have scored 21 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). AC Milan have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Lazio’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Lazio’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Lazio have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 0.83. Lazio have scored 24 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Lazio have conceded eight goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

AC Milan (fifth) and Lazio (first) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lazio the stronger side, 114 rating points above AC Milan (Lazio 1903, AC Milan 1789, after at least 352 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Lazio are unbeaten in the last three meetings with AC Milan. The most recent meeting, on 12 September 2026, finished Lazio 2–2 AC Milan.

Team news

Predicted AC Milan XI (3-4-2-1): M. Maignan, K. De Winter, S. Pavlović, M. Gila, Y. Musah, A. Jashari, A. Rabiot, L. Modrić, O. Hutchinson, D. Moreira, G. Ramos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Diego Moreira (4.8 per match over nine appearances, four goals and three assists) and A. Rabiot (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and four assists) have been AC Milan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Milan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Diego Moreira averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 829 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. A. Rabiot averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1622 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lazio XI (4-3-3): C. Mandas, R. Floriani Mussolini, J. Šutalo, N. Tavares, O. Provstgaard, R. Belahyane, D. Frattesi, K. Taylor, M. Zaccagni, T. Noslin, G. Isaksen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mattia Zaccagni (5.4 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and five assists) and Nuno Tavares (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Lazio’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lazio (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mattia Zaccagni averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 934 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Nuno Tavares averages 2.4 tackles per 90 over 725 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 02 May 2027 17:30 BST · Serie A
Head-to-head (last 6): AC Milan 1 · draws 2 · Lazio 3 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: AC Milan 2W 0D 3L · Lazio 5W 0D 0L

AC Milan v Lazio (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.75

Goals

against 1.63 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3 / 4.63

Corners

against 4.63 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 5.13

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.63 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	AC Milan for / against	Line	Lazio for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.25 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

AC Milan

AC Milan Goalkeeper

AC Milan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Maignan	13	851107 min	393.2 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
L. Torriani	2	74148 min	74.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90

AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	3.7 8/5
L. Torriani n 3	62.3	4.8 2/2

AC Milan Defensive

AC Milan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. De Winter	14	891240 min	231.7 /90	191.4 /90	60.4 /90	594.3 /90	211.5 /90	40.3 /90
S. Pavlović	13	891161 min	292.2 /90	100.8 /90	40.3 /90	866.7 /90	131 /90	30.2 /90
Mario Gila	10	79785 min	131.5 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90	364.1 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
S. Bocoum	5	55274 min	72.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	175.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
F. Tomori	4	63251 min	93.2 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90	155.4 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90
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AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	1.5 7/4	0.9 4/2	—
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0.9 5/2	1.5 6/3	—
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	1.5 5/2	1.8 6/3	—
Y. Musah n 8	70.9	1.1 5/1	1.3 5/3	—
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AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	1.8 7/4
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	2 8/6
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	0.7 4/1
Y. Musah n 8	70.9	1.4 4/4
A. Rabiot n 8	71.6	2 7/3
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AC Milan Attacking

AC Milan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Gonçalo Ramos	13	851100 min	30.2 /90	10.1 /90	282.3 /90	110.9 /90	80.7 /90	60.5 /90
A. Cissè	9	64573 min	71.1 /90	00 /90	142.2 /90	91.4 /90	40.6 /90	40.6 /90
A. Saelemaekers	5	44218 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.5 /90	20.8 /90
F. Camarda	3	37110 min	00 /90	00 /90	43.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90
Y. Musah	12	74882 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90	40.4 /90	50.5 /90
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AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	1.9 5/5	1 4/2
Y. Musah n 8	70.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Musah n 8	70.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Lazio

Lazio Goalkeeper

Lazio — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Mandas	11	90990 min	383.5 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90

Lazio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Mandas n 8	90	3.6 7/5

Lazio Defensive

Lazio — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Floriani Mussolini	10	83825 min	212.3 /90	91 /90	30.3 /90	374 /90	131.4 /90	10.1 /90
O. Provstgaard	10	81811 min	91 /90	121.3 /90	40.4 /90	273 /90	161.8 /90	30.3 /90
Nuno Tavares	9	78700 min	162.1 /90	40.5 /90	20.3 /90	384.9 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
J. Šutalo	7	81564 min	61 /90	172.7 /90	20.3 /90	233.7 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
Pedraza	6	41246 min	20.7 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	72.6 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
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Lazio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Mandas n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0	—
M. Zaccagni n 8	83	0.8 5/1	2 6/6	—
Kenneth Taylor n 8	75.8	1.2 6/2	1.5 7/2	—
D. Frattesi n 8	80.6	0.6 2/2	1.4 5/4	—
R. Floriani Mussolini n 8	84.3	1.2 7/2	0.3 1/1	—
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Lazio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Zaccagni n 8	83	0.8 5/1
Kenneth Taylor n 8	75.8	1.9 6/3
D. Frattesi n 8	80.6	1.7 6/3
R. Floriani Mussolini n 8	84.3	2.4 8/5
O. Provstgaard n 8	78.9	1.1 5/3
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Lazio Attacking

Lazio — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Zaccagni	11	85934 min	20.2 /90	50.5 /90	242.3 /90	121.2 /90	272.6 /90	151.4 /90
G. Isaksen	9	62556 min	40.6 /90	10.2 /90	152.4 /90	40.6 /90	30.5 /90	50.8 /90
T. Noslin	8	71567 min	40.6 /90	30.5 /90	132.1 /90	61 /90	61 /90	30.5 /90
M. Cancellieri	7	57399 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	122.7 /90	30.7 /90	61.4 /90	102.3 /90
A. Pinamonti	6	29175 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90	21 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90
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Lazio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Mandas n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Zaccagni n 8	83	2.7 7/6	1.5 7/3
Kenneth Taylor n 8	75.8	1.3 6/2	0.6 3/1
D. Frattesi n 8	80.6	1.3 6/2	0.4 3/0
R. Floriani Mussolini n 8	84.3	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
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Lazio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Mandas n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Zaccagni n 8	83	0.3 2/0	0.7 4/1
Kenneth Taylor n 8	75.8	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
D. Frattesi n 8	80.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
R. Floriani Mussolini n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AC Milan v Lazio — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AC MilanLWLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

LazioWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

AC Milan 1 · 2 draws · Lazio 3 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-09-12 Lazio 2–2 AC Milan
2026-03-15 Lazio 1–0 AC Milan
2025-12-04 Lazio 1–0 AC Milan
2025-11-29 AC Milan 1–0 Lazio
2025-03-02 AC Milan 1–2 Lazio
2024-08-31 Lazio 2–2 AC Milan

League standing · 2026/27

AC Milan#5 pos21 pts10 pl+9 GD

Lazio#1 pos28 pts10 pl+16 GD

Goals per game

AC Milan scored2.1

Lazio scored2.4

AC Milan conceded1.2

Lazio conceded0.8

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Lazio?: In their last 6 meetings, AC Milan won 1, Lazio won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AC Milan and Lazio?: Recent form — AC Milan 2W 0D 3L; Lazio 5W 0D 0L.

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