AS Roma v Fiorentina result

Full-time · AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina

Serie A · Mon, 24 Aug 2026 19:45 BST · Stadio Olimpico

Updated 7 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AS Roma · Fiorentina · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina — AS Roma won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.20 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,077 of 1,432 times (75.2%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said AS Roma: 3.78 to 0.29 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

AS Roma beat Fiorentina 4–0 at Stadio Olimpico in Serie A on Monday 24 August. AS Roma have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

AS Roma led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — AS Roma: Donyell Malen (27’, assisted by Paulo Dybala; 52’, assisted by Paulo Dybala; 60’, assisted by Paulo Dybala) and Niccolò Pisilli (86’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Donyell Malen’s goal on 27 minutes.

Discipline

M. Marcenaro showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AS Roma: Hermoso (39’) and M. Koné (49’); Fiorentina: Nicolò Fagioli (30’) and Mateo Pellegrino (63’).

What it changes

AS Roma are first after this result (one league match played).

Fiorentina are 20th after this result (one league match played).

AS Roma’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 1, across 10 matches. AS Roma are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. AS Roma have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Donyell Malen (AS Roma) 14.5, Paulo Dybala (AS Roma) 9.7 and Bryan Cristante (AS Roma) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

AS Roma are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Fiorentina.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, AS Roma or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).

Next up

AS Roma next travel to Parma on 22 November 2026.

Fiorentina next host Juventus on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AS Roma: Parma v AS Roma, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Fiorentina: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina · Serie A
Venue: Stadio Olimpico · Rome
Referee: M. Marcenaro
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): AS Roma 3 · draws 2 · Fiorentina 1 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: AS Roma 5W 0D 0L · Fiorentina 2W 2D 1L

AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.25

Goals

against 1 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 4.13

Corners

against 5 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.83 yellows

Referee · M. Marcenaro

23 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 6 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	AS Roma for / against	Line	Fiorentina for / against
Goals scored	2.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.38 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.38 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.88 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.63 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.63 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: M. Marcenaro — 3.83 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Fiorentina

Fiorentina Goalkeeper

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
David de Gea	1	9090 min	33 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
David de Gea n 8	90	3.8 8/5

Fiorentina Defensive

Fiorentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Ranieri	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Valde	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90	44 /90	11 /90	00 /90
R. Drăgușin	1	8787 min	11 /90	33.1 /90	11 /90	33.1 /90	11 /90	00 /90
Dodô	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	00 /90	00 /90
João Mário	1	4545 min	12 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Brescianini n 8	67.4	1.7 5/3	1 4/1	—
C. Ndour n 8	72.6	1.4 6/3	1.1 5/1	—
M. Kean n 8	79.9	0.8 4/2	1.5 7/2	—
L. Ranieri n 8	86.8	0.3 2/0	0.5 4/0	—
David de Gea n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
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Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Ndour n 8	72.6	2.8 7/5
L. Ranieri n 8	86.8	1 4/2
M. Brescianini n 8	67.4	0.7 2/2
M. Kean n 8	79.9	0.1 1/0
N. Fagioli n 8	73.9	1.8 5/4
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Fiorentina Attacking

Fiorentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Kean	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	22 /90	22 /90	11 /90	11 /90
Franco Mastantuono	1	3232 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.8 /90	00 /90	12.8 /90	00 /90
C. Ndour	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	33 /90	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90
M. Brescianini	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90	22 /90	00 /90
A. Guðmundsson	1	5858 min	11.6 /90	00 /90	23.1 /90	11.6 /90	23.1 /90	11.6 /90
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Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kean n 8	79.9	2.3 6/4	1.3 6/3
C. Ndour n 8	72.6	1.2 5/2	0.8 4/1
L. Ranieri n 8	86.8	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
M. Brescianini n 8	67.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
David de Gea n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Kean n 8	79.9	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
C. Ndour n 8	72.6	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
M. Brescianini n 8	67.4	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
L. Ranieri n 8	86.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
David de Gea n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AS Roma		Fiorentina
61%	Possession	39%
3.07	Expected goals (xG)	0.35
17	Shots	9
8	Shots on target	4
6	Shots off target	5
3	Blocked shots	0
13	Shots inside the box	3
2	Corners	3
1	Offsides	1
15	Fouls	11
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	4
539	Passes	343
89%	Pass accuracy	83%

AS Roma Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Svilar	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
G. Mancini	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	7.5
E. Ndicka	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	7.5
E. Lulli	90	0	0	1	0	1	4	0	7.2
B. Cristante	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	8.5
Wesley	90	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	7.3
M. Koné	79	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	7.3
P. Dybala	79	0	3	3	1	4	0	0	9.3
Hermoso	68	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	7.2
D. Malen	68	3	0	4	3	1	0	0	10
Rodrigo Mora	54	0	0	2	2	1	1	0	6.7
M. Soulé sub	36	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
K. Koulierakis sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
S. Castro sub	22	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.7
N. El Aynaoui sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
N. Pisilli sub	11	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	7.6

Fiorentina Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
David de Gea	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Dodô	90	1	0	0	1	0	5.6
R. Drăgușin	90	1	0	0	2	0	6.3
L. Ranieri	90	0	0	0	1	0	5.9
C. Ndour	90	2	1	1	1	0	6.2
Mateo Pellegrino	90	0	0	1	0	Y	5.9
João Mário	80	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
A. Atta	74	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Franco Mastantuono	63	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
N. Fagioli	62	0	0	0	2	Y	6.2
M. Brescianini	62	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
Álex Jiménez sub	28	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
C. Inao OulaÃ¯ sub	28	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
M. Kean sub	27	2	2	0	0	0	6.5
Rolando Mandragora sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Valde sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AS Roma v Fiorentina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AS RomaWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

FiorentinaLDWDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

AS Roma 3 · 2 draws · Fiorentina 1 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-05-04 AS Roma 4–0 Fiorentina
2025-10-05 Fiorentina 1–2 AS Roma
2025-05-04 AS Roma 1–0 Fiorentina
2024-10-27 Fiorentina 5–1 AS Roma
2024-03-10 Fiorentina 2–2 AS Roma
2023-12-10 AS Roma 1–1 Fiorentina

League standing · 2026/27

AS Roma#2 pos27 pts11 pl+21 GD

Fiorentina#15 pos8 pts10 pl-8 GD

Goals per game

AS Roma scored2.82

Fiorentina scored1.5

AS Roma conceded0.91

Fiorentina conceded2.3

Shot Map and Expected Goals

AS Roma 3.78 xG from 17 shots, Fiorentina 0.29 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

AS Roma (attacking right)Fiorentina (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
AS Roma	17	4	3.78
Fiorentina	9	0	0.29

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, AS Roma led on xG, 1.47 to 0.03. At full time, AS Roma led on xG, 3.78 to 0.29. The widest gap was 3.49 xG to AS Roma, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

AS Roma 3.78 xGFiorentina 0.29 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AS Roma v Fiorentina?: TACTIX’s free model pick for AS Roma v Fiorentina was Home or Draw (best price 1.20 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between AS Roma and Fiorentina?: In their last 6 meetings, AS Roma won 3, Fiorentina won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AS Roma and Fiorentina?: Recent form — AS Roma 5W 0D 0L; Fiorentina 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.