Atalanta v AS Roma prediction

Serie A · Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT · New Balance Arena

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atalanta · AS Roma · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Atalanta v AS Roma, Serie A on Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Atalanta host AS Roma in Serie A on Sunday 17 January (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

AS Roma have scored 31 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

AS Roma have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Atalanta are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Atalanta have four wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.44. Atalanta have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Atalanta have conceded 20 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

11 of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, AS Roma have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.29. AS Roma have conceded 10 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Atalanta (13th) and AS Roma (second) are 16 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AS Roma the stronger side, 487 rating points above Atalanta (AS Roma 1947, Atalanta 1460, after at least 352 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished AS Roma 2–1 Atalanta.

Team news

Predicted Atalanta XI (4-2-3-1): M. Carnesecchi, R. ObriÄ, L. Bernasconi, D. Zappacosta, G. Scalvini, Éderson, E. Elmas, M. Pašalić, N. Zalewski, C. De Ketelaere, N. Krstović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Charles De Ketelaere (3.9 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and four assists) and Nikola Krstović (3.7 per match over 14 appearances, seven goals and two assists) have been Atalanta’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atalanta (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Charles De Ketelaere averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 1806 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Nikola Krstović averages 3.9 shots per 90 over 1104 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted AS Roma XI (3-4-2-1): P. Gollini, E. Ndicka, Hermoso, L. Balerdi, B. Cristante, Wesley, M. de Roon, N. Molina, N. Pisilli, R. Mora, D. Malen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Donyell Malen (6.3 per match over 14 appearances, 12 goals and four assists) and M. Soulé (4.9 per match over 15 appearances, four goals and five assists) have been AS Roma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AS Roma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Donyell Malen averages 4.1 shots per 90 over 1373 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. M. Soulé averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1074 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT · Serie A · New Balance Arena
Head-to-head (last 6): Atalanta 4 · draws 1 · AS Roma 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Atalanta 0W 3D 2L · AS Roma 3W 1D 1L

Atalanta v AS Roma (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 3.25

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.5 / 6.63

Corners

against 5.38 / 4.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.25 / 7

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 1.63

Cards

against 2 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Atalanta for / against	Line	AS Roma for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	3.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.63 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.25 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.5 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.25 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Atalanta

Atalanta Goalkeeper

Atalanta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Carnesecchi	15	901350 min	583.9 /90	191.3 /90	10.1 /90

Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	3.2 7/5

Atalanta Defensive

Atalanta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Bernasconi	12	66795 min	151.7 /90	91 /90	00 /90	202.3 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90
G. Scalvini	11	82899 min	121.2 /90	80.8 /90	70.7 /90	363.6 /90	111.1 /90	00 /90
D. Zappacosta	11	69754 min	202.4 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	313.7 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90
R. Bellanova	9	81726 min	60.7 /90	141.7 /90	30.4 /90	182.2 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
S. Kolašinac	8	55442 min	51 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	112.2 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
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Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Éderson n 8	72.5	2.2 6/5	0.8 4/1	—
C. De Ketelaere n 8	71.3	0.8 3/2	0.6 4/0	—
N. Krstović n 8	68.8	1.8 4/3	1.6 5/3	—
L. Bernasconi n 8	74.1	0.2 1/0	0 0/0	—
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Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Éderson n 8	72.5	1.9 6/4
C. De Ketelaere n 8	71.3	0.9 4/2
N. Krstović n 8	68.8	0.8 3/2
L. Bernasconi n 8	74.1	1.7 6/3
N. Zalewski n 8	54	2.3 5/2
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Atalanta Attacking

Atalanta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. De Ketelaere	14	68955 min	10.1 /90	40.4 /90	141.3 /90	50.5 /90	343.2 /90	212 /90
N. Krstović	14	55767 min	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	333.9 /90	151.8 /90	80.9 /90	70.8 /90
Gianluca Scamacca	11	53585 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	152.3 /90	91.4 /90	71.1 /90	20.3 /90
G. Raspadori	6	56336 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	71.9 /90	51.3 /90	41.1 /90	20.5 /90
Éderson	15	781177 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	120.9 /90	80.6 /90	60.5 /90	40.3 /90
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Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Éderson n 8	72.5	1.1 4/2	0.8 3/2
C. De Ketelaere n 8	71.3	2.2 6/4	0.8 4/1
N. Krstović n 8	68.8	3.9 6/6	1.8 6/3
L. Bernasconi n 8	74.1	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Éderson n 8	72.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
C. De Ketelaere n 8	71.3	0.2 1/0	0.5 3/0
N. Krstović n 8	68.8	1 4/2	0.3 2/0
L. Bernasconi n 8	74.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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AS Roma

AS Roma Goalkeeper

AS Roma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
P. Gollini	7	90630 min	253.6 /90	00 /90
M. Svilar	6	90540 min	172.8 /90	30.5 /90
D. Vásquez	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	31.5 /90

AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Gollini n 8	90	3.1 5/5
M. Svilar n 8	90	2.8 7/5

AS Roma Defensive

AS Roma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Hermoso	14	751049 min	221.9 /90	292.5 /90	60.5 /90	574.9 /90	131.1 /90	20.2 /90
E. Ndicka	11	82907 min	50.5 /90	171.7 /90	30.3 /90	434.3 /90	181.8 /90	10.1 /90
G. Mancini	11	78860 min	181.9 /90	111.2 /90	20.2 /90	394.1 /90	181.9 /90	10.1 /90
L. Balerdi	11	58639 min	223.1 /90	213 /90	30.4 /90	486.8 /90	142 /90	10.1 /90
D. Ghilardi	6	56337 min	123.2 /90	61.6 /90	10.3 /90	338.8 /90	71.9 /90	10.3 /90
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AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Soulé n 8	78.9	0 0/0	1.3 7/2	—
Hermoso n 8	67.5	1.2 4/2	1 4/2	—
D. Malen n 8	66.8	0.8 4/1	0.8 3/1	—
Wesley n 8	79.1	1.1 7/1	1.3 6/3	—
Nahuel Molina n 8	72.4	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0	—
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AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Soulé n 8	78.9	0.7 4/1
Hermoso n 8	67.5	1.5 6/2
D. Malen n 8	66.8	0.2 1/0
Wesley n 8	79.1	2.7 7/4
Nahuel Molina n 8	72.4	2 5/4
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AS Roma Attacking

AS Roma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Soulé	15	691029 min	40.3 /90	50.4 /90	312.7 /90	151.3 /90	272.4 /90	332.9 /90
D. Malen	14	69966 min	121.1 /90	40.4 /90	514.8 /90	262.4 /90	222 /90	212 /90
S. Castro	9	38345 min	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	164.2 /90	20.5 /90	61.6 /90	30.8 /90
P. Dybala	8	79631 min	00 /90	40.6 /90	223.1 /90	81.1 /90	273.9 /90	50.7 /90
Wesley	13	811053 min	00 /90	30.3 /90	50.4 /90	00 /90	272.3 /90	60.5 /90
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AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Soulé n 8	78.9	2.6 8/6	1 6/1
Hermoso n 8	67.5	1.3 5/2	0.5 3/0
D. Malen n 8	66.8	5.2 8/7	2.7 7/5
Wesley n 8	79.1	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
Nahuel Molina n 8	72.4	1.1 5/1	0.2 1/0
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AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Soulé n 8	78.9	0.3 2/0	0.6 2/2
Hermoso n 8	67.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
D. Malen n 8	66.8	1 5/1	0.5 3/0
Wesley n 8	79.1	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Nahuel Molina n 8	72.4	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atalanta v AS Roma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AtalantaLDDLD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

AS RomaDWWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Atalanta 4 · 1 draw · AS Roma 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-09-05 AS Roma 2–1 Atalanta
2026-04-18 AS Roma 1–1 Atalanta
2026-01-03 Atalanta 1–0 AS Roma
2025-05-12 Atalanta 2–1 AS Roma
2024-12-02 AS Roma 0–2 Atalanta
2024-05-12 Atalanta 2–1 AS Roma

League standing · 2026/27

Atalanta#13 pos11 pts10 pl-4 GD

AS Roma#2 pos27 pts11 pl+21 GD

Goals per game

Atalanta scored1.6

AS Roma scored2.82

Atalanta conceded2

AS Roma conceded0.91

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and AS Roma?: In their last 6 meetings, Atalanta won 4, AS Roma won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atalanta and AS Roma?: Recent form — Atalanta 0W 3D 2L; AS Roma 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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