Bologna v Lazio result

Full-time · Bologna 0–1 Lazio

Serie A · Mon, 24 Aug 2026 17:30 BST · Renato Dall'Ara

Updated 7 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bologna · Lazio · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bologna 0–1 Lazio — Lazio won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.36 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bologna: 2.13 to 0.81 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 37th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Lazio won 1–0 at Renato Dall'Ara in Serie A on Monday 24 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lazio: Davide Frattesi (59’, assisted by Boulaye Dia).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Davide Frattesi’s goal on 59 minutes.

Discipline

F. Maresca showed eight yellow cards — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bologna: Oussama El Azzouzi (34’), Nicolo Cambiaghi (41’), Torbjørn Heggem (83’) and Jens Odgaard (83’); Lazio: Romano Floriani Mussolini (22’), Boulaye Dia (34’), Matteo Cancellieri (44’) and O. Provstgaard (90+3’).

What it changes

Bologna are 15th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Lazio are sixth (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Davide Frattesi (Lazio) 7.1, Christos Mandas (Lazio) 4.3 and Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio) 3.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Lazio are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Bologna.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bologna or Lazio (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Bologna next travel to Parma on 7 November 2026.

Lazio next travel to Napoli on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bologna: Parma v Bologna, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Lazio: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Bologna 0–1 Lazio · Serie A
Venue: Renato Dall'Ara · Bologna
Referee: F. Maresca
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Bologna 2 · draws 2 · Lazio 2 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Bologna 2W 2D 1L · Lazio 1W 0D 4L

Bologna 0–1 Lazio (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4 / 4

Corners

against 4.75 / 3.43 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.25 / 4.14

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1 / 2.86

Cards

against 1.38 / 1.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

5.56 yellows

Referee · F. Maresca

27.67 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Bologna for / against	Line	Lazio for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	10.5 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.43 for · 12.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.14 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.63 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.71 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.86 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: F. Maresca — 5.56 yellow cards a game, 0.78 red cards, 27.67 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lazio

Lazio Goalkeeper

Lazio — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Mandas	1	9090 min	55 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Lazio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Mandas n 8	90	2.5 6/3

Lazio Defensive

Lazio — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Marušić	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	33 /90	11 /90	00 /90
D. Doekhi	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	66 /90	33 /90	00 /90
O. Provstgaard	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	33 /90	11 /90	00 /90
Pedraza	1	6464 min	00 /90	22.8 /90	11.4 /90	11.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
L. Pellegrini	1	2626 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.5 /90	00 /90
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Lazio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Zaccagni n 8	70.8	1.1 6/1	2.9 8/6	—
O. Provstgaard n 8	69.8	1 5/1	0.3 1/1	—
A. Marušić n 8	80.6	0.6 3/1	0.6 4/0	—
Kenneth Taylor n 8	77.1	0.6 3/1	0.7 4/1	—
C. Mandas n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
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Lazio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Zaccagni n 8	70.8	1.7 6/4
Kenneth Taylor n 8	77.1	0.7 4/1
O. Provstgaard n 8	69.8	0.5 1/1
A. Marušić n 8	80.6	0.1 1/0
N. Rovella n 8	51.9	2.6 6/4
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Lazio Attacking

Lazio — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Zaccagni	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	44 /90	22 /90
M. Cancellieri	1	7979 min	00 /90	00 /90	44.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
B. Dia	1	7171 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
P. Ratkov	1	1919 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	14.7 /90	00 /90
Kenneth Taylor	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	33 /90	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Lazio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Zaccagni n 8	70.8	1 4/2	0.6 3/1
Kenneth Taylor n 8	77.1	0.9 4/1	0.1 1/0
O. Provstgaard n 8	69.8	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
A. Marušić n 8	80.6	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
C. Mandas n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Lazio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Kenneth Taylor n 8	77.1	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
C. Mandas n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Marušić n 8	80.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Zaccagni n 8	70.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Provstgaard n 8	69.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bologna		Lazio
59%	Possession	41%
1.78	Expected goals (xG)	0.63
14	Shots	10
5	Shots on target	3
6	Shots off target	5
3	Blocked shots	2
11	Shots inside the box	5
8	Corners	6
2	Offsides	3
18	Fouls	19
4	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	3
447	Passes	315
90%	Pass accuracy	84%

Bologna Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Ł. Skorupski	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
E. Helland	90	2	1	0	2	0	6.7
T. Heggem	90	0	0	1	0	Y	7
Juan Miranda	90	0	0	2	2	0	6.6
L. Ferguson	90	1	1	2	2	0	7.2
J. Odgaard	90	3	1	0	0	Y	6.3
O. El Azzouzi	79	0	0	1	1	Y	6.9
N. Zortea	69	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
R. Orsolini	60	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
Nicolo Cambiaghi	60	1	0	0	3	Y	6.3
R. Piccoli	60	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
F. Bernardeschi sub	30	2	1	1	0	0	7.5
J. Rowe sub	30	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
A. Dovbyk sub	30	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Emil Holm sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Mikel Amondarain sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Lazio Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Mandas	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.5
D. Doekhi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
O. Provstgaard	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
N. Rovella	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	7.3
Kenneth Taylor	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
M. Zaccagni	90	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	7
B. Dia	79	0	1	0	0	4	0	Y	6.7
Pedraza	78	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
F. Dele-Bashiru	54	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
M. Cancellieri	45	0	0	2	1	1	1	Y	6.2
A. Marušić	19	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
R. Floriani Mussolini sub	71	0	0	1	0	0	1	Y	7.3
G. Isaksen sub	45	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
D. Frattesi sub	36	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	8.2
Nuno Tavares sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7
T. Noslin sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bologna v Lazio — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BolognaLDWWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

LazioLLLWL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Bologna 2 · 2 draws · Lazio 2 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-03-22 Bologna 0–2 Lazio
2026-02-11 Bologna 1–1 Lazio
2025-12-07 Lazio 1–1 Bologna
2025-03-16 Bologna 5–0 Lazio
2024-11-24 Lazio 3–0 Bologna
2024-02-18 Lazio 1–2 Bologna

League standing · 2026/27

Bologna#9 pos14 pts10 pl+1 GD

Lazio#1 pos28 pts10 pl+16 GD

Goals per game

Bologna scored1.4

Lazio scored2.4

Bologna conceded1.3

Lazio conceded0.8

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bologna 2.13 xG from 14 shots, Lazio 0.81 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Bologna (attacking right)Lazio (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Bologna	14	0	2.13
Lazio	10	1	0.81

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Bologna 0.22, Lazio 0.13. At full time, Bologna led on xG, 2.13 to 0.81. The widest gap was 1.32 xG to Bologna, in the 95th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Bologna 2.13 xGLazio 0.81 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bologna v Lazio?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bologna v Lazio was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Lazio?: In their last 6 meetings, Bologna won 2, Lazio won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bologna and Lazio?: Recent form — Bologna 2W 2D 1L; Lazio 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.