Bologna v Monza prediction

Serie A · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 10:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bologna · Monza · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Bologna v Monza, Serie A on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.80 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 495 of 755 times (65.6%), against an average rating of 68%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bologna host Monza in Serie A on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Bologna have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Monza have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Bologna are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Monza.

Form and the table

Six of Bologna’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Bologna’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Bologna have no wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71. Bologna have scored 12 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bologna have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

11 of Monza’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Monza’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Monza have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 2.00. Monza have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Monza have conceded 22 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Bologna (11th) and Monza (16th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bologna the stronger side, 308 rating points above Monza (Bologna 1755, Monza 1447, after at least 123 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 January 2025, finished Bologna 3–1 Monza.

Team news

Bologna have four names on the availability list: E. Holm (out, Thigh Injury), J. Enem (out, Achilles Tendon Injury), L. De Silvestri (out, Muscle Injury) and R. Piccoli (out, Hamstring Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Bologna XI (3-4-2-1): Ł. Skorupski, A. Theate, N. Casale, M. Darmian, L. Ferguson, T. Pobega, N. Zortea, J. Miranda, R. Alhassane, N. Cambiaghi, F. Bernardeschi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Juan Miranda (3.9 per match over eight appearances, four assists) and Nicolò Casale (3.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Bologna’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bologna (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Juan Miranda averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 592 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances. Nicolò Casale averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 349 minutes.

Monza have four names on the availability list: J. Ziolkowski (out, Foot Injury), M. Pessina (out, Knee Injury), M. Folorunsho (doubtful, Coach's decision) and Y. Maye (doubtful, Muscle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Monza XI (3-4-2-1): N. Törnqvist, A. Carboni, L. Lucchesi, E. Kouadio, R. Mangas, E. Akinsanmiro, S. Birindelli, M. Ondoa, A. Bakoune, L. Colombo, G. Varela — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Gustavo Varela (6.4 per match over nine appearances, 10 goals and one assist) and Eddy Kouadio (4.4 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) have been Monza’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monza (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gustavo Varela averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 770 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last nine appearances. Eddy Kouadio averages 3.4 tackles per 90 over 819 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT · Serie A · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Referee: Andrea Zanotti
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Bologna 3 · draws 2 · Monza 1 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Bologna 3W 1D 1L · Monza 2W 0D 3L

Bologna v Monza (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

3.38 / 4.75

Corners

against 5.38 / 5.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 6.38

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Bologna for / against	Line	Monza for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.38 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.5 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.63 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.75 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.38 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.5 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Bologna

Bologna Goalkeeper

Bologna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ł. Skorupski	7	90630 min	162.3 /90	81.1 /90	00 /90
M. Pessina	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Bologna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ł. Skorupski n 8	90	2.3 5/2
M. Pessina n 6	88.7	2.4 4/3

Bologna Defensive

Bologna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Juan Miranda	8	74592 min	142.1 /90	71.1 /90	20.3 /90	243.6 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
T. Heggem	7	75525 min	20.3 /90	81.4 /90	61 /90	172.9 /90	71.2 /90	30.5 /90
A. Theate	6	82493 min	71.3 /90	101.8 /90	20.4 /90	142.6 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90
E. Helland	5	60300 min	92.7 /90	51.5 /90	20.6 /90	154.5 /90	41.2 /90	00 /90
N. Casale	4	87349 min	61.5 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	194.9 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
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Bologna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Ferguson n 8	90	2.5 8/6	1.4 6/5	—
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 8	71.8	1.3 6/1	3.9 7/5	—
F. Bernardeschi n 8	75.1	1.3 5/3	1.6 6/3	—
Juan Miranda n 8	74	0.5 3/0	0.5 2/1	—
T. Pobega n 8	71.3	1.4 6/1	0.8 4/1	—
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Bologna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Ferguson n 8	90	2.5 7/7
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 8	71.8	1.3 5/2
F. Bernardeschi n 8	75.1	0.4 2/1
Juan Miranda n 8	74	2.1 6/5
T. Pobega n 8	71.3	2.7 7/4
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Bologna Attacking

Bologna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Nicolo Cambiaghi	9	70634 min	00 /90	20.3 /90	60.9 /90	10.1 /90	101.4 /90	81.1 /90
F. Bernardeschi	8	75601 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	142.1 /90	91.3 /90	101.5 /90	111.6 /90
R. Piccoli	7	64450 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	81.6 /90	20.4 /90	40.8 /90	40.8 /90
J. Odgaard	7	61424 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	81.7 /90	30.6 /90	40.8 /90	51.1 /90
R. Orsolini	3	54163 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	31.7 /90	00 /90
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Bologna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Ferguson n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 8	71.8	0.8 4/1	0.2 1/0
F. Bernardeschi n 8	75.1	2.1 7/5	1.3 6/3
Juan Miranda n 8	74	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
T. Pobega n 8	71.3	1.6 7/2	0.5 3/0
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Bologna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Ferguson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 8	71.8	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
F. Bernardeschi n 8	75.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Juan Miranda n 8	74	0 0/0	0.6 4/0
T. Pobega n 8	71.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Monza

Monza Goalkeeper

Monza — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
D. Thiam	5	90450 min	51 /90	71.4 /90
N. Törnqvist	5	90450 min	234.6 /90	71.4 /90
S. Pizzignacco	1	9090 min	11 /90	44 /90

Monza — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Törnqvist n 5	90	4.6 5/5
D. Thiam n 8	91.1	1.5 3/1

Monza Defensive

Monza — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Kouadio	10	82819 min	313.4 /90	252.7 /90	70.8 /90	414.5 /90	111.2 /90	20.2 /90
A. Carboni	10	80796 min	151.7 /90	80.9 /90	30.3 /90	374.2 /90	121.4 /90	10.1 /90
L. Lucchesi	9	76681 min	91.2 /90	283.7 /90	70.9 /90	354.6 /90	152 /90	20.3 /90
A. Bakoune	7	53369 min	153.7 /90	71.7 /90	20.5 /90	266.3 /90	92.2 /90	00 /90
S. Goglichidze	4	70279 min	51.6 /90	82.6 /90	10.3 /90	144.5 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90
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Monza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ricardo Mangas n 8	77.6	1.2 4/3	1 5/2	—
S. Birindelli n 8	89.1	0.6 3/2	0.9 5/2	—
E. Kouadio n 8	79.9	1.3 5/4	0 0/0	—
A. Carboni n 8	77	1.3 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
Gustavo Varela n 8	86.1	0.7 4/1	0.8 5/1	—
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Monza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Ricardo Mangas n 8	77.6	1.4 5/3
S. Birindelli n 8	89.1	1.1 7/2
E. Kouadio n 8	79.9	3.4 7/5
A. Carboni n 8	77	2.2 7/6
Gustavo Varela n 8	86.1	0.3 2/0
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Monza Attacking

Monza — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Gustavo Varela	9	86770 min	101.2 /90	10.1 /90	212.5 /90	131.5 /90	91.1 /90	101.2 /90
Jay Robinson	7	77538 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	122 /90	71.2 /90	81.3 /90	91.5 /90
Dany Mota	6	59354 min	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	143.6 /90	82 /90	82 /90	41 /90
P. Cutrone	6	50302 min	00 /90	20.6 /90	113.3 /90	41.2 /90	92.7 /90	30.9 /90
O. Forson	5	46229 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	93.5 /90	31.2 /90
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Monza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ricardo Mangas n 8	77.6	1.2 5/1	0.6 3/1
S. Birindelli n 8	89.1	1.3 8/2	0.5 4/0
E. Kouadio n 8	79.9	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
A. Carboni n 8	77	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
Gustavo Varela n 8	86.1	2.4 7/6	1.4 7/3
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Monza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ricardo Mangas n 8	77.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
S. Birindelli n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
E. Kouadio n 8	79.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Carboni n 8	77	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gustavo Varela n 8	86.1	1 6/2	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bologna v Monza — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BolognaDWLWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

MonzaWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Bologna 3 · 2 draws · Monza 1 · 2 goals/game

2025-01-18 Bologna 3–1 Monza
2024-12-03 Bologna 4–0 Monza
2024-09-22 Monza 1–2 Bologna
2024-04-13 Bologna 0–0 Monza
2023-09-28 Monza 0–0 Bologna
2023-02-12 Bologna 0–1 Monza

League standing · 2026/27

Bologna#11 pos11 pts9 pl0 GD

Monza#16 pos7 pts9 pl-6 GD

Goals per game

Bologna scored1.33

Monza scored1.78

Bologna conceded1.33

Monza conceded2.44

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Bologna v Monza?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bologna v Monza is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.80 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Monza?: In their last 6 meetings, Bologna won 3, Monza won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bologna and Monza?: Recent form — Bologna 3W 1D 1L; Monza 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 10:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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