Cagliari v AC Milan result

Full-time · Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan

Serie A · · Unipol Domus

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cagliari · AC Milan · Head-to-head

Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan — AC Milan won this Serie A match.

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said AC Milan: 0.89 to 0.31 in expected goals, from 11 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 16th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

AC Milan won 1–0 at Unipol Domus in Serie A on Friday 2 January.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — AC Milan: Rafael Leão (50’, assisted by A. Rabiot).

Discipline

Rosario Abisso, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cagliari: Riyad Idrissi (83’) and M. Palestra (90+1’); AC Milan: Alexis Saelemaekers (90+1’).

What it changes

Cagliari stay 14th after this result (18 league matches played).

AC Milan stay first after this result (17 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rafael Leão (AC Milan) 6.0, A. Rabiot (AC Milan) 5.1 and Luka Modrić (AC Milan) 4.6 led the match.

Next up

Cagliari next travel to Monza on 19 October 2026.

AC Milan next travel to Bournemouth on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cagliari: Monza v Cagliari, Monday 19 October — the preview. Next for AC Milan: Bournemouth v AC Milan, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan · Serie A
  • Venue: Unipol Domus · Cagliari
  • Referee: Rosario Abisso, Italy
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cagliari 0 · draws 2 · AC Milan 4 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cagliari 2W 2D 1L · AC Milan 2W 1D 2L

Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3.63
Corners
against 4.63 / 4.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.63
Cards
against 2 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.2 yellows
Referee · Rosario Abisso, Italy
2 home / 2.2 away
over 5 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 December 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 December 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCagliari for / againstLineAC Milan for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
9.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.88 for · 15.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Rosario Abisso, Italy — 4.2 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 24.4 fouls over 5 matches (2 to the home side, 2.2 to the away side).

Cagliari
Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Liteta n 347.7
3.82/2
00/0
—
G. Borrelli n 846.5
3.47/4
4.17/5
—
L. Pavoletti n 820.8
3.35/1
0.51/0
—
L. Mazzitelli n 830
36/2
1.13/0
A. Rabiot
Zito Luvumbo n 850.9
2.45/3
2.76/3
—
Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Esposito n 866.6
1.75/3
0.84/1
G. Gaetano n 842.5
1.65/1
1.14/0
M. Prati n 854.3
1.54/2
0.21/0
G. Borrelli n 846.5
1.54/2
0.51/1
S. Kılıçsoy n 837.3
1.52/2
0.92/1
Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Esposito n 866.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
G. Gaetano n 842.5
0.52/0
0.31/0
S. Kılıçsoy n 837.3
0.62/0
00/0
M. Felici n 837
0.31/0
0.31/0
N. Cavuoti n 528
0.61/0
00/0
Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Rodríguez n 476.8
2.93/3
M. Prati n 854.3
2.55/3
J. Liteta n 347.7
2.51/1
A. Deiola n 887.6
2.38/5
G. Zappa n 876.5
2.27/6
Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Caprile n 890
4.47/6
AC Milan
AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. De Winter n 879.5
2.16/4
0.42/1
—
A. Rabiot n 887.5
1.76/3
1.77/4
L. Mazzitelli
R. Loftus-Cheek n 860.8
1.75/2
1.95/3
—
L. Modrić n 858.3
1.43/2
14/1
—
Zachary Athekame n 815.9
1.42/0
0.71/0
—
AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Nkunku n 867.8
2.25/5
0.84/1
R. Loftus-Cheek n 860.8
1.76/1
0.63/0
Rafael Leão n 869.9
1.66/2
1.14/2
C. Pulišić n 850
1.65/2
1.14/1
A. Rabiot n 887.5
1.56/4
0.54/0
AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Pulišić n 850
0.93/1
00/0
Zachary Athekame n 815.9
0.71/0
00/0
Rafael Leão n 869.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
C. Nkunku n 867.8
0.31/1
0.21/0
A. Rabiot n 887.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Tomori n 878.4
3.27/6
D. Odogu n 542.6
2.53/2
Zachary Athekame n 815.9
2.12/1
A. Saelemaekers n 878.3
26/4
D. Bartesaghi n 867.9
1.84/4
AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 December 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 890
2.55/4

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CagliariAC Milan
46%Possession54%
0.38Expected goals (xG)0.70
6Shots11
1Shots on target4
4Shots off target4
1Blocked shots3
4Shots inside the box7
6Corners7
0Offsides2
10Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves1
447Passes538
87%Pass accuracy87%

Cagliari player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Caprile9000000006.9
G. Zappa9000000206.2
S. Luperto9000000106.3
J. Rodríguez9000000406.9
M. Palestra90001012Y6.9
M. Adopo9000111206.6
L. Mazzitelli8300100306.9
S. Kılıçsoy8300000006.2
S. Esposito6600001307.2
M. Prati6100201006.3
A. Obert6100000307.3
Riyad Idrissi sub29000002Y6.9
G. Borrelli sub2900000006.3
G. Gaetano sub2400000007
N. Cavuoti sub1200000006.3
L. Pavoletti sub1200000006.3

AC Milan player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maignan9000000006.9
F. Tomori9000000207.2
K. De Winter9000000107.7
D. Bartesaghi9000110207.3
A. Saelemaekers90001021Y6.9
L. Modrić9000113207.6
A. Rabiot9001101006.6
P. Estupiñán7900000106.7
R. Loftus-Cheek7900200306.9
Y. Fofana6900000006.3
Rafael Leão6910111107.7
S. Ricci sub2100000107
N. Füllkrug sub2100001006.3
M. Gabbia sub1100000006.9
C. Pulišić sub1100110006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Cagliari v AC Milan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CagliariDWLDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
AC MilanLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cagliari 0 · 2 draws · AC Milan 4 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-01-11 AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari
  • 2024-11-09 Cagliari 3–3 AC Milan
  • 2024-05-11 AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari
  • 2024-01-02 AC Milan 4–1 Cagliari
  • 2023-09-27 Cagliari 1–3 AC Milan
  • 2022-03-19 Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan
League standing · 2025/26
Cagliari#14 pos43 pts38 pl-13 GD
AC Milan#5 pos70 pts38 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Cagliari scored1.05
AC Milan scored1.39
Cagliari conceded1.39
AC Milan conceded0.92

Shot map and expected goals

Cagliari 0.31 xG from 6 shots, AC Milan 0.89 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ruben Loftus-Cheek 48' · 0.12 xGRafael Leão 3' · 0.10 xGChristian Pulisic 86' · 0.10 xGMarco Palestra 1' · 0.09 xGSemih Kiliçsoy 69' · 0.08 xGRuben Loftus-Cheek 16' · 0.08 xGLuca Mazzitelli 40' · 0.07 xGKoni de Winter 27' · 0.05 xGAdrien Rabiot 46' · 0.04 xGLuka Modric 89' · 0.04 xGDavide Bartesaghi 58' · 0.03 xGNdary Adopo 31' · 0.03 xGYoussouf Fofana 41' · 0.03 xGMatteo Prati 0' · 0.02 xGAlexis Saelemaekers 28' · 0.02 xGMatteo Prati 2' · 0.01 xGRafael Leão 49' · 0.29 xG · goal
Cagliari (attacking right)AC Milan (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Cagliari600.31
AC Milan1110.89

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and AC Milan?
In their last 6 meetings, Cagliari won 0, AC Milan won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cagliari and AC Milan?
Recent form — Cagliari 2W 2D 1L; AC Milan 2W 1D 2L.

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