CagliariCremonese

Cagliari v Cremonese result

Full-time · Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese

Serie A · · Unipol Domus

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cagliari · Cremonese

The model’s pre-match pick

Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese — Cagliari won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,939 of 2,592 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Cagliari: 1.43 to 0.27 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 56th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Cagliari beat Cremonese 1–0 at Unipol Domus in Serie A on Saturday 11 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Cagliari: Sebastiano Esposito (63’, assisted by Zé Pedro).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sebastiano Esposito’s goal on 63 minutes.

Discipline

D. Doveri showed two yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cagliari: Michel Adopo (62’); Cremonese: Filippo Terracciano (4’).

What it changes

Cagliari stay 15th after this result (32 league matches played). Cagliari have scored 40 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Cagliari have conceded 53 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Cremonese move up from 18th to 17th (32 league matches played). Cremonese have scored 32 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Cremonese have conceded 57 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sebastiano Esposito (Cagliari) 6.6, M. Palestra (Cagliari) 4.4 and S. Luperto (Cremonese) 4.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Cagliari are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Cremonese, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cagliari or Cremonese (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Cagliari next travel to Como on 22 November 2026.

Cremonese next travel to Vicenza Virtus on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cagliari: Como v Cagliari, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Cremonese: Vicenza Virtus v Cremonese, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese · Serie A
  • Venue: Unipol Domus · Cagliari
  • Referee: D. Doveri
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Cagliari 2 · draws 1 · Cremonese 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cagliari 0W 1D 4L · Cremonese 1W 0D 4L

Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 3.25
Corners
against 4.25 / 7.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.56 yellows
Referee · D. Doveri
22.56 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCagliari for / againstLineCremonese for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 7.13 against n 8
Shots
9.5 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 16.88 against n 8
Shots on target
2.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 15.38 against n 8
21.5standard
15 for · 14.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: D. Doveri — 2.56 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.56 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cagliari

Cagliari Goalkeeper

Cagliari — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Caprile31902790 min1023.3 /90441.4 /9000 /90
Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Caprile n 890
2.36/5

Cagliari Defensive

Cagliari — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Obert27802162 min502.1 /90361.5 /90160.7 /90974 /90371.5 /90100.4 /90
G. Zappa22631396 min261.7 /90151 /9010.1 /90483.1 /90140.9 /9020.1 /90
S. Luperto20901797 min150.8 /90201 /90100.5 /90502.5 /90231.2 /9030.2 /90
Y. Mina20811613 min251.4 /90181 /90170.9 /901055.9 /90241.3 /9050.3 /90
Zé Pedro17811372 min261.7 /90140.9 /90110.7 /90603.9 /90241.6 /9040.3 /90
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Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Adopo n 882.1
14/2
1.56/5
—
E. Caprile n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Palestra n 890
16/2
3.68/7
F. Baschirotto
S. Esposito n 882.6
0.84/2
1.16/2
F. Bonazzoli
A. Obert n 886.1
15/3
0.43/0
F. Terracciano
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Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Adopo n 882.1
1.46/3
M. Palestra n 890
15/3
S. Esposito n 882.6
1.47/2
A. Obert n 886.1
1.86/5
G. Gaetano n 876.8
1.57/3
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Cagliari Attacking

Cagliari — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Esposito29732131 min50.2 /9050.2 /90321.4 /90110.5 /90522.2 /90140.6 /90
G. Borrelli22511118 min40.3 /9010.1 /90151.2 /9070.6 /90100.8 /9070.6 /90
S. Kılıçsoy1855985 min40.4 /9000 /90111 /9080.7 /90100.9 /90151.4 /90
M. Felici1140441 min20.4 /9020.4 /9091.8 /9071.4 /90132.7 /9091.8 /90
Zito Luvumbo1032316 min00 /9000 /90102.8 /9051.4 /9030.9 /9030.9 /90
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Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Adopo n 882.1
0.74/1
0.42/1
E. Caprile n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Palestra n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
S. Esposito n 882.6
1.46/3
0.43/0
A. Obert n 886.1
0.84/1
0.31/1
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Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Adopo n 882.1
00/0
00/0
E. Caprile n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Palestra n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Esposito n 882.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
A. Obert n 886.1
00/0
0.32/0
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Cremonese

Cremonese Goalkeeper

Cremonese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Audero27902430 min1094 /90391.4 /9010 /90
M. Silvestri490360 min153.8 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Cremonese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Audero n 890
3.56/4

Cremonese Defensive

Cremonese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Terracciano28862396 min250.9 /90451.7 /90200.8 /90883.3 /90130.5 /9050.2 /90
F. Baschirotto25902250 min261 /90220.9 /90301.2 /90873.5 /90401.6 /9020.1 /90
M. Bianchetti23811858 min412 /90120.6 /90180.9 /90974.7 /90231.1 /9030.1 /90
R. Floriani Mussolini1458805 min192.1 /9040.4 /9050.6 /90414.6 /90141.6 /9020.2 /90
F. Folino971643 min81.1 /9010.1 /9081.1 /90253.5 /90101.4 /9010.1 /90
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Cremonese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Terracciano n 875.8
0.74/1
0.94/1
A. Obert
E. Audero n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
F. Bonazzoli n 874.3
1.16/1
3.68/6
S. Esposito
F. Baschirotto n 890
2.37/6
0.94/2
M. Palestra
J. Vardy n 857.8
1.23/2
14/1
—
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Cremonese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Terracciano n 875.8
1.66/3
F. Bonazzoli n 874.3
1.26/2
F. Baschirotto n 890
1.15/4
J. Vardy n 857.8
0.63/0
J. Vandeputte n 859
2.15/4
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Cremonese Attacking

Cremonese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Bonazzoli26731903 min70.3 /9010 /90391.8 /90211 /90110.5 /90100.5 /90
J. Vardy25731828 min50.2 /9020.1 /90190.9 /90120.6 /90150.7 /9050.2 /90
A. Sanabria1644702 min10.1 /9010.1 /9060.8 /9020.3 /9030.4 /9050.6 /90
Franco Vázquez1241496 min10.2 /9020.4 /9091.6 /9040.7 /90101.8 /9030.5 /90
M. Đurić845361 min00 /9010.2 /9082 /9041 /9041 /9010.2 /90
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Cremonese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Terracciano n 875.8
00/0
00/0
E. Audero n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Bonazzoli n 874.3
1.87/4
1.15/2
F. Baschirotto n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Vardy n 857.8
1.64/3
0.84/0
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Cremonese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Terracciano n 875.8
00/0
00/0
E. Audero n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Bonazzoli n 874.3
0.32/0
00/0
F. Baschirotto n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Vardy n 857.8
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CagliariCremonese
35%Possession65%
1.17Expected goals (xG)0.28
17Shots5
5Shots on target2
7Shots off target2
5Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box4
6Corners5
1Offsides1
9Fouls17
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves4
253Passes504
74%Pass accuracy85%

Cagliari Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Caprile9000000007.2
M. Palestra9000210007.5
Y. Mina9000201207.5
A. Obert9000003107.7
G. Gaetano9000000206.9
A. Deiola9000410306.3
J. Rodríguez8900000307.3
S. Esposito8810114108.2
M. Folorunsho6100110006.3
G. Borrelli6100111006.9
L. Mazzitelli3100000107
M. Adopo sub59000012Y6.7
P. Mendy sub2900101006.7
Zé Pedro sub2901001107.2
A. Belotti sub20000000–
A. Dossena sub10000000–

Cremonese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Audero9000000007.2
F. Baschirotto9000001006.3
S. Luperto9000000207
G. Pezzella9000102206.6
A. Grassi9000000107.2
F. Bonazzoli9000100006.3
W. Bondo7800000206.9
D. Okereke7800110106.3
F. Terracciano73000000Y6.3
R. Floriani Mussolini6800110106.5
J. Vandeputte6800001106.2
M. Payero sub2200000006.7
A. Sanabria sub2200000006.3
T. Barbieri sub1700000106.9
M. Đurić sub1200000006.3
A. Zerbin sub1200000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cagliari v Cremonese — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CagliariDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
CremoneseLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Cagliari 2 · 1 draw · Cremonese 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-01-08 Cremonese 2–2 Cagliari
  • 2024-09-24 Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese
  • 2020-10-28 Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese
League standing · 2025/26
Cagliari#14 pos43 pts38 pl-13 GD
Cremonese#18 pos34 pts38 pl-25 GD
Goals per game
Cagliari scored1.05
Cremonese scored0.84
Cagliari conceded1.39
Cremonese conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Cagliari 1.43 xG from 17 shots, Cremonese 0.27 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Alessandro Deiola 74' · 0.44 xGGianluca Gaetano 39' · 0.12 xGDavid Okereke 20' · 0.11 xGFederico Bonazzoli 53' · 0.07 xGAlessandro Deiola 75' · 0.06 xGSebastiano Esposito 56' · 0.06 xGMarco Palestra 81' · 0.06 xGRomano Floriani 22' · 0.05 xGAlessandro Deiola 56' · 0.05 xGYerry Mina 59' · 0.05 xGMarco Palestra 2' · 0.04 xGMichael Folorunsho 39' · 0.03 xGSebastiano Esposito 75' · 0.02 xGFederico Bonazzoli 25' · 0.02 xGMichael Folorunsho 33' · 0.02 xGAlessandro Deiola 72' · 0.02 xGGennaro Borrelli 53' · 0.02 xGAlessandro Deiola 48' · 0.01 xGPaul Mendy 60' · 0.01 xGYerry Mina 56' · 0.01 xGGiuseppe Pezzella 8' · 0.01 xGSebastiano Esposito 62' · 0.41 xG · goal
Cagliari (attacking right)Cremonese (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Cagliari1711.43
Cremonese500.27

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Cagliari 0.20, Cremonese 0.20. At full time, Cagliari led on xG, 1.43 to 0.27. The widest gap was 1.16 xG to Cagliari, in the 81st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.40.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Cagliari 62 min
Cagliari 1.43 xGCremonese 0.27 xGdots = goals · 22 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cagliari v Cremonese?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cagliari v Cremonese was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Cremonese?
In their last 3 meetings, Cagliari won 2, Cremonese won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cagliari and Cremonese?
Recent form — Cagliari 0W 1D 4L; Cremonese 1W 0D 4L.

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