Cagliari v Frosinone prediction

Serie A · · Unipol Domus

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Cagliari v Frosinone, Serie A on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 14:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 529 of 822 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cagliari host Frosinone in Serie A on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Cagliari are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Frosinone are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Cagliari’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Cagliari’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Cagliari have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.13. Cagliari have scored nine goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Cagliari have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Frosinone’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Frosinone’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Frosinone have two wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.50. Frosinone have scored 24 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Frosinone have conceded 14 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Cagliari (12th) and Frosinone (sixth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Frosinone the stronger side, 240 rating points above Cagliari (Frosinone 1739, Cagliari 1499, after at least 85 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 September 2025, finished Cagliari 4–1 Frosinone.

Team news

Cagliari have one name on the availability list: Riyad Idrissi (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-11-01. Predicted Cagliari XI (4-3-2-1): E. Caprile, J. Rodríguez, Z. Pedro, A. Obert, A. Deiola, A. Romano, M. Adopo, D. Maldini, H. Winks, J. Fazzini, P. Mendy — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Elia Caprile (3.6 per match over 11 appearances) and Adam Obert (3.5 per match over 12 appearances, one assist) have been Cagliari’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cagliari (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Elia Caprile averages 3.8 saves per 90 over 1000 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Adam Obert averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1299 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Frosinone XI (4-2-3-1): L. Palmisani, G. Calvani, A. Oyono, G. Bracaglia, I. Monterisi, G. Calò, G. Kvernadze, R. Schmid, F. Ghedjemis, P. Masini, A. Raimondo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Giorgi Kvernadze (6.7 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and five assists) and Giacomo Calò (5.1 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Frosinone’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Frosinone (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Giorgi Kvernadze averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1053 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Giacomo Calò averages 3.8 key passes per 90 over 933 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Unipol Domus
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cagliari 3 · draws 2 · Frosinone 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cagliari 0W 1D 4L · Frosinone 3W 1D 1L

Cagliari v Frosinone (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 7
Corners
against 6.25 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 7.13
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.13 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCagliari for / againstLineFrosinone for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
10.25 for · 16.88 against n 8
19.5standard
21 for · 17.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
7.13 for · 6.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
14 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8

Cagliari

Cagliari Goalkeeper

Cagliari — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Caprile11911000 min423.8 /9080.7 /9000 /90
B. Radunović19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Caprile n 890
48/6
B. Radunović n 890
2.45/4

Cagliari Defensive

Cagliari — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Obert12861037 min282.4 /90181.6 /9040.3 /90474.1 /90100.9 /9000 /90
J. Rodríguez1283990 min242.2 /90191.7 /90121.1 /90544.9 /90141.3 /9020.2 /90
Zé Pedro1181886 min202 /90101 /9010.1 /90333.4 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90
A. Deiola1080797 min141.6 /9091 /9060.7 /90232.6 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90
Y. Sugawara639231 min31.2 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9083.1 /9020.8 /9000 /90
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Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Obert n 889.4
14/1
0.64/1
—
M. Adopo n 889.9
0.93/2
0.64/1
—
A. Romano n 886.4
1.46/3
0.95/2
—
J. Rodríguez n 877.5
1.75/3
0.32/0
—
P. Mendy n 869.8
2.78/7
1.56/3
—
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Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Obert n 889.4
2.57/5
M. Adopo n 889.9
1.15/2
A. Romano n 886.4
1.76/4
J. Rodríguez n 877.5
2.88/5
P. Mendy n 869.8
1.15/1
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Cagliari Attacking

Cagliari — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Mendy1268816 min20.2 /9010.1 /90182 /9070.8 /9060.7 /9080.9 /90
A. Fadera941370 min00 /9020.5 /9081.9 /9020.5 /90102.4 /9051.2 /90
M'Bala Nzola446183 min21 /9000 /9073.4 /9031.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Kevin Carlos428110 min00 /9000 /9021.6 /9021.6 /9000 /9010.8 /90
M. Felici340120 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9043 /90
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Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Obert n 889.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
M. Adopo n 889.9
0.93/2
0.63/2
A. Romano n 886.4
1.27/2
0.54/0
J. Rodríguez n 877.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
P. Mendy n 869.8
2.16/4
0.85/0
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Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Obert n 889.4
00/0
0.11/0
M. Adopo n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
A. Romano n 886.4
00/0
00/0
J. Rodríguez n 877.5
00/0
00/0
P. Mendy n 869.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Frosinone

Frosinone Goalkeeper

Frosinone — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Palmisani1190990 min474.3 /90111 /9000 /90
Frosinone — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Palmisani n 890
4.18/7

Frosinone Defensive

Frosinone — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Calvani1087874 min222.3 /90181.9 /9070.7 /90676.9 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90
A. Oyono1082822 min262.8 /90101.1 /9020.2 /90596.5 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
G. Bracaglia1074744 min222.7 /90101.2 /9091.1 /90425.1 /90101.2 /9040.5 /90
I. Monterisi968615 min121.8 /90172.5 /9030.4 /90324.7 /90182.6 /9000 /90
G. Cittadini865521 min223.8 /90284.8 /9020.3 /90539.2 /90142.4 /9010.2 /90
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Frosinone — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Palmisani n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
G. Calò n 885.5
0.85/1
27/4
—
G. Kvernadze n 882
1.25/2
1.67/3
—
A. Raimondo n 872.8
2.27/5
1.56/3
—
R. Schmid n 877.9
0.43/0
0.64/0
—
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Frosinone — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Calò n 885.5
0.75/0
G. Kvernadze n 882
1.46/4
A. Raimondo n 872.8
0.52/1
R. Schmid n 877.9
1.25/2
G. Calvani n 886.8
2.77/7
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Frosinone Attacking

Frosinone — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Raimondo1177851 min91 /9010.1 /90303.2 /90121.3 /9070.7 /9000 /90
S. Fini638226 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9072.8 /90
A. Zerbin532162 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.6 /9021.1 /9031.7 /90
D. Bîrligea24080 min22.3 /9000 /9055.6 /9044.5 /9022.3 /9000 /90
T. Bobcek22346 min00 /9000 /9047.8 /9012 /9012 /9000 /90
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Frosinone — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Palmisani n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Calò n 885.5
2.88/6
1.27/2
G. Kvernadze n 882
2.67/6
15/2
A. Raimondo n 872.8
3.97/6
1.44/3
R. Schmid n 877.9
1.45/3
0.73/1
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Frosinone — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Frosinone before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Palmisani n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Calò n 885.5
0.54/0
00/0
G. Kvernadze n 882
0.43/0
0.42/1
A. Raimondo n 872.8
0.93/2
00/0
R. Schmid n 877.9
0.31/1
0.63/1
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cagliari v Frosinone — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CagliariDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
FrosinoneLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cagliari 3 · 2 draws · Frosinone 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-09-23 Cagliari 4–1 Frosinone
  • 2024-01-21 Frosinone 3–1 Cagliari
  • 2023-10-29 Cagliari 4–3 Frosinone
  • 2023-04-15 Cagliari 0–0 Frosinone
  • 2022-11-27 Frosinone 2–2 Cagliari
  • 2019-04-20 Cagliari 1–0 Frosinone
League standing · 2026/27
Cagliari#12 pos13 pts10 pl-6 GD
Frosinone#6 pos20 pts10 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Cagliari scored0.9
Frosinone scored2.4
Cagliari conceded1.5
Frosinone conceded1.4

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Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Cagliari v Frosinone?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cagliari v Frosinone is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Frosinone?
In their last 6 meetings, Cagliari won 3, Frosinone won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cagliari and Frosinone?
Recent form — Cagliari 0W 1D 4L; Frosinone 3W 1D 1L.

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