Cagliari v Torino result

Full-time · Cagliari 2–1 Torino

Serie A · Sun, 17 May 2026 19:45 BST · Unipol Domus

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cagliari · Torino · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Cagliari 2–1 Torino — Cagliari won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 848 of 1,310 times (64.7%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Cagliari: 1.76 to 1.33 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 46th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Cagliari beat Torino 2–1 at Unipol Domus in Serie A on Sunday 17 May.

The goals

Cagliari led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Torino: Rafael Obrador (37’, assisted by Matteo Prati); Cagliari: Sebastiano Esposito (39’, assisted by Gianluca Gaetano) and Y. Mina (45’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Y. Mina’s goal on 45 minutes.

Discipline

A. Arena showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cagliari: P. Mendy (82’); Torino: G. Maripán (82’).

What it changes

Cagliari have scored five goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Cagliari have conceded five goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.

Torino have scored five goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Torino have conceded seven goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sebastiano Esposito (Cagliari) 8.2, Rafael Obrador (Torino) 7.9 and Y. Mina (Cagliari) 7.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Torino, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Cagliari next travel to Como on 22 November 2026.

Torino next travel to Napoli on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cagliari: Como v Cagliari, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Torino: Napoli v Torino, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Cagliari 2–1 Torino · Serie A
Venue: Unipol Domus · Cagliari
Referee: A. Arena
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Cagliari 3 · draws 1 · Torino 2 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Cagliari 2W 1D 2L · Torino 2W 2D 1L

Cagliari 2–1 Torino (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4.75 / 3.5

Corners

against 4.5 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 1.5

Cards

against 1.13 / 2 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.6 yellows

Referee · A. Arena

21.4 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Cagliari for / against	Line	Torino for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.88 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.5 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.13 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: A. Arena — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cagliari

Cagliari Goalkeeper

Cagliari — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
E. Caprile	36	903240 min	1183.3 /90	511.4 /90	00 /90

Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Caprile n 8	90	2.9 6/5

Cagliari Defensive

Cagliari — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Obert	32	812596 min	632.2 /90	401.4 /90	180.6 /90	1214.2 /90	391.4 /90	100.3 /90
Y. Mina	24	821973 min	301.4 /90	231 /90	211 /90	1215.5 /90	251.1 /90	50.2 /90
G. Zappa	23	621424 min	261.6 /90	150.9 /90	10.1 /90	483 /90	140.9 /90	20.1 /90
Zé Pedro	22	791730 min	321.7 /90	201 /90	120.6 /90	703.6 /90	291.5 /90	50.3 /90
S. Luperto	20	901797 min	150.8 /90	201 /90	100.5 /90	502.5 /90	231.2 /90	30.2 /90
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Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Adopo n 8	77.9	0.9 4/2	0.7 4/1	—
E. Caprile n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
M. Palestra n 8	79.5	1.3 6/2	3.1 6/5	N. Vlašić
S. Esposito n 8	81	1 6/1	1.9 7/5	G. Simeone
A. Obert n 8	86.9	0.8 4/2	0.6 5/0	Saúl Coco
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Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Adopo n 8	77.9	1.9 5/4
M. Palestra n 8	79.5	1.1 5/3
S. Esposito n 8	81	1.3 7/1
A. Obert n 8	86.9	2.3 7/6
G. Gaetano n 8	80.8	2 8/4
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Cagliari Attacking

Cagliari — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Esposito	34	742528 min	60.2 /90	50.2 /90	391.4 /90	150.5 /90	652.3 /90	160.6 /90
G. Borrelli	25	511268 min	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	181.3 /90	90.6 /90	120.9 /90	70.5 /90
S. Kılıçsoy	18	55985 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	111 /90	80.7 /90	100.9 /90	151.4 /90
M. Felici	11	40441 min	20.4 /90	20.4 /90	91.8 /90	71.4 /90	132.7 /90	91.8 /90
Zito Luvumbo	10	32316 min	00 /90	00 /90	102.8 /90	51.4 /90	30.9 /90	30.9 /90
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Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Adopo n 8	77.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
E. Caprile n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Palestra n 8	79.5	0.7 3/2	0.3 2/0
S. Esposito n 8	81	1.8 8/3	0.8 6/0
A. Obert n 8	86.9	0.6 3/1	0.3 1/1
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Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cagliari before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Adopo n 8	77.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
E. Caprile n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Palestra n 8	79.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Esposito n 8	81	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
A. Obert n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Torino

Torino Goalkeeper

Torino — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Paleari	30	902707 min	852.8 /90	451.5 /90	00 /90
F. Israel	10	90900 min	282.8 /90	181.8 /90	00 /90

Torino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Paleari n 8	90	3.4 7/6
F. Israel n 8	90	2.5 5/4

Torino Defensive

Torino — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Saúl Coco	37	893277 min	591.6 /90	441.2 /90	441.2 /90	1624.4 /90	491.3 /90	40.1 /90
G. Maripán	27	792143 min	522.2 /90	291.2 /90	261.1 /90	1245.2 /90	291.2 /90	40.2 /90
A. Ismajli	25	791978 min	341.5 /90	381.7 /90	170.8 /90	1064.8 /90	261.2 /90	50.2 /90
A. Tamèze	20	671347 min	201.3 /90	251.7 /90	50.3 /90	483.2 /90	191.3 /90	20.1 /90
E. Ebosse	11	85937 min	111.1 /90	90.9 /90	90.9 /90	343.3 /90	151.4 /90	20.2 /90
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Torino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Vlašić n 8	88.1	1.1 6/2	0.6 4/1	M. Palestra
Saúl Coco n 8	82.5	1.4 4/3	0.5 3/1	A. Obert
V. Lazaro n 8	73.4	1.7 5/3	0 0/0	—
G. Simeone n 8	80.4	0.4 3/0	1.4 7/2	S. Esposito
C. Casadei n 8	43	2.1 6/2	0.5 2/0	—
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Torino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Vlašić n 8	88.1	2 7/6
Saúl Coco n 8	82.5	1.5 5/5
V. Lazaro n 8	73.4	1.8 7/4
G. Simeone n 8	80.4	0.4 2/1
C. Casadei n 8	43	2.4 6/2
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Torino Attacking

Torino — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
G. Simeone	33	672198 min	110.5 /90	00 /90	572.3 /90	291.2 /90	210.9 /90	241 /90
C. Adams	33	622031 min	70.3 /90	20.1 /90	341.5 /90	170.8 /90	281.2 /90	120.5 /90
D. Zapata	22	44967 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	222 /90	151.4 /90	100.9 /90	60.6 /90
C. Ngonge	19	591129 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	181.4 /90	110.9 /90	131 /90	191.5 /90
Z. Aboukhlal	14	46644 min	00 /90	00 /90	91.3 /90	30.4 /90	40.6 /90	60.8 /90
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Torino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Vlašić n 8	88.1	1.3 4/3	0.5 3/1
Saúl Coco n 8	82.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
V. Lazaro n 8	73.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
G. Simeone n 8	80.4	2.8 6/6	1 6/1
C. Casadei n 8	43	1 3/1	0.5 2/0
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Torino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Torino before kick-off, to 9 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Vlašić n 8	88.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Saúl Coco n 8	82.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Lazaro n 8	73.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Simeone n 8	80.4	0.7 5/0	0 0/0
C. Casadei n 8	43	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Cagliari		Torino
45%	Possession	55%
1.32	Expected goals (xG)	0.99
13	Shots	10
4	Shots on target	3
6	Shots off target	2
3	Blocked shots	5
8	Shots inside the box	6
5	Corners	1
1	Offsides	1
8	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	1
413	Passes	510
83%	Pass accuracy	85%

Cagliari Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
E. Caprile	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
G. Zappa	90	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.9
Y. Mina	90	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.7
A. Dossena	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
A. Obert	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
G. Gaetano	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	7.2
M. Palestra	90	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	6.6
S. Esposito	82	1	0	1	1	2	3	0	8.3
P. Mendy	82	0	0	4	0	2	0	Y	5.6
M. Adopo	72	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
A. Deiola	72	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	6.7
I. Sulemana sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
M. Folorunsho sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Rodríguez sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
A. Belotti sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Torino Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Paleari	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
Saúl Coco	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7.3
E. Ebosse	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Rafael Obrador	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.9
G. Simeone	90	0	0	2	0	3	1	0	6.2
N. Vlašić	90	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	7.2
E. İlkhan	85	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Pedersen	77	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
M. Prati	59	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	6.7
D. Zapata	59	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Luca Marianucci	45	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.3
G. Maripán sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	7
C. Casadei sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
C. Adams sub	31	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	6.7
A. Njie sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
S. Kulenović sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cagliari v Torino — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CagliariWLWDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

TorinoWDDLW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Cagliari 3 · 1 draw · Torino 2 · 2.67 goals/game

2025-12-27 Torino 1–2 Cagliari
2025-01-24 Torino 2–0 Cagliari
2024-10-20 Cagliari 3–2 Torino
2024-01-26 Cagliari 1–2 Torino
2023-08-21 Torino 0–0 Cagliari
2022-02-27 Torino 1–2 Cagliari

League standing · 2025/26

Cagliari#14 pos43 pts38 pl-13 GD

Torino#12 pos45 pts38 pl-19 GD

Goals per game

Cagliari scored1.05

Torino scored1.16

Cagliari conceded1.39

Torino conceded1.66

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Cagliari 1.76 xG from 13 shots, Torino 1.33 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Cagliari (attacking right)Torino (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Cagliari	13	2	1.76
Torino	10	1	1.33

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Cagliari 0.42, Torino 0.66. At full time, Cagliari led on xG, 1.76 to 1.33. The widest gap was 1.09 xG to Cagliari, in the 62nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Cagliari 1.76 xGTorino 1.33 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cagliari v Torino?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Cagliari v Torino was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Torino?: In their last 6 meetings, Cagliari won 3, Torino won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cagliari and Torino?: Recent form — Cagliari 2W 1D 2L; Torino 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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