Ceara v Flamengo result

Full-time · Ceara 1–1 Flamengo

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ceara · Flamengo · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Ceara 1–1 Flamengo — this Serie A – Brazil match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1302 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ceara and Flamengo drew 1–1 at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 3 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Flamengo out-shot Ceara 14 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.05 xG to 0.65 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

Flamengo led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Flamengo: G. de Arrascaeta (37’, assisted by G. Plata); Ceara: Pedro Raul (67’, assisted by Lucas Mugni).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pedro Raul’s goal on 67 minutes.

Discipline

Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil showed five yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 27 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ceara: Marllon (33’), Richardson (40’) and Fernando Sobral (90+4’); Flamengo: Jorginho (72’) and Bruno Henrique (75’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, G. Plata (Flamengo) 7.1, Pedro Raul (Ceara) 5.4 and Samuel Lino (Flamengo) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Flamengo, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (872 of 1302).

Next up

Flamengo next travel to Bahia on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Flamengo: Bahia v Flamengo, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Ceara 1–1 Flamengo · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo · Fortaleza, Ceará
  • Referee: Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ceara 2 · draws 3 · Flamengo 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ceara 2W 0D 3L · Flamengo 3W 0D 2L

Ceara 1–1 Flamengo (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.5 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.63
Corners
against 6.38 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.26 yellows
Referee · Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil
2.04 home / 2.22 away
over 27 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCeara for / againstLineFlamengo for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.38 for · 8.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 2.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil — 4.26 yellow cards a game, 0.26 red cards, 26.3 fouls over 27 matches (2.04 to the home side, 2.22 to the away side).

Ceara
Ceara — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Romulo n 816.9
45/1
1.32/0
—
Richardson n 851.5
3.36/5
1.15/0
—
Lele n 817.5
3.25/0
1.93/0
—
Aylon n 840.6
2.85/4
2.23/3
—
Lourenço n 830.6
2.24/1
1.53/1
—
Ceara — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lele n 817.5
3.94/2
1.92/1
Pedro Raul n 882.4
2.75/4
1.24/2
Fernandinho n 843.5
2.16/2
0.83/0
Romulo n 816.9
23/0
23/0
Bruno Tubarão n 817.8
1.92/1
1.31/1
Ceara — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Galeano n 883.9
0.42/1
00/0
Lucas Mugni n 865.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Lourenço n 830.6
00/0
0.41/0
Pedro Raul n 882.4
0.31/1
00/0
Fernandinho n 843.5
00/0
0.31/0
Ceara — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lucas Lima n 620.2
3.72/2
Richardson n 851.5
3.56/5
Rafael Ramos n 835.1
2.94/2
Bruno Tubarão n 817.8
2.53/1
Lucas Mugni n 865.3
2.26/4
Ceara — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Fernando Miguel n 890.8
3.67/7
Bruno Ferreira n 887.9
1.53/3
Flamengo
Flamengo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bruno Henrique n 856.9
3.47/5
1.44/3
—
Juninho n 814.9
33/1
2.33/0
—
Ayrton Lucas n 847.3
2.64/4
1.75/1
—
M. Vina n 829.9
2.65/2
0.41/0
—
Allan n 865.9
2.47/5
1.44/2
—
Flamengo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pedro n 857.3
2.97/5
1.87/2
Wallace Yan n 825.8
2.24/1
1.33/0
Everton n 841.5
1.95/1
1.13/1
Bruno Henrique n 856.9
1.86/2
14/1
Luiz Araujo n 869.3
1.66/3
0.84/1
Flamengo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Wallace Yan n 825.8
0.92/0
0.41/0
Everton n 841.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Luiz Araujo n 869.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Pedro n 857.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Bruno Henrique n 856.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Flamengo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Wesley n 882.6
3.78/6
Juninho n 814.9
34/0
Matheus Goncalves n 827.4
2.53/1
Luiz Araujo n 869.3
2.47/6
M. Vina n 829.9
2.35/1
Flamengo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Rossi n 890.8
1.64/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CearaFlamengo
31%Possession69%
0.65Expected goals (xG)1.05
9Shots14
4Shots on target4
5Shots off target7
0Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box9
3Corners7
4Offsides2
14Fouls12
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves3
274Passes627
76%Pass accuracy87%

Ceara player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Bruno Ferreira9000000007.3
Fabiano9000001106.7
Marllon90000001Y6.6
Willian Machado9000000306.6
A. Galeano9000100206.9
Pedro Raul9010320007.3
Diego8700000007
Matheus Bahia8300000006.7
Richardson55000001Y6.5
Lourenço4500001006.7
Pedro Henrique4500210106.9
Lucas Mugni sub4501102107.3
Aylon sub4500110206.5
Fernando Sobral sub36001021Y6.9
Lucas Lima sub900000106.7
Nicolas sub800000006.7

Flamengo player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Rossi9000000006.2
Leo Ortiz9000000207.2
Leo Pereira9000101207.5
Alex Sandro9000001106.9
Evertton Araujo9000000006.7
Samuel Lino9000212207.3
Emerson Royal8500000106.5
G. Plata8501222207.9
Jorginho76000022Y7.2
Bruno Henrique76001011Y6.9
G. de Arrascaeta4510311007.9
S. Niguez sub4500101106.9
Allan sub1500000006.3
Juninho sub1500101006.9
G. Varela sub1100000006.6
Victor Hugo sub1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Ceara v Flamengo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CearaWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
FlamengoLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ceara 2 · 3 draws · Flamengo 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2022-09-04 Flamengo 1–1 Ceara
  • 2022-05-14 Ceara 2–2 Flamengo
  • 2021-11-30 Flamengo 2–1 Ceara
  • 2021-08-22 Ceara 1–1 Flamengo
  • 2021-01-10 Flamengo 0–2 Ceara
  • 2020-09-13 Ceara 2–0 Flamengo
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Ceara#17 pos43 pts38 pl-6 GD
Flamengo#1 pos79 pts38 pl+51 GD
Goals per game
Ceara scored0.89
Flamengo scored2.05
Ceara conceded1.05
Flamengo conceded0.71

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Ceara vs Flamengo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ceara v Flamengo was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Ceara and Flamengo?
In their last 6 meetings, Ceara won 2, Flamengo won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ceara and Flamengo?
Recent form — Ceara 2W 0D 3L; Flamengo 3W 0D 2L.

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