Como v Sassuolo prediction

The match

Como host Sassuolo in Serie A on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Sassuolo have scored in nine consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Como are winless in their last three matches. Eight of Como’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Como’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Como have three wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 5 home matches — 2.20 points per game, scoring 1.40 and conceding 0.40. Como have scored nine goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Como have conceded six goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Sassuolo are winless in their last three matches. 10 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results (73%). Away from home, Sassuolo have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.86. Sassuolo have scored 12 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sassuolo have conceded 14 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Como (eighth) and Sassuolo (11th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Como the stronger side, 255 rating points above Sassuolo (Como 1802, Sassuolo 1547, after at least 82 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Sassuolo 2–1 Como.

Team news

Predicted Como XI (4-2-3-1): J. Butez, J. Naveros, Y. Couto, T. Chalobah, Á. Valle, N. Paz, L. Da Cunha, M. Perrone, L. Milla, M. Baturina, T. Douvikas — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, N. Paz (6.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) and Assane Diao (5.7 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Como’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Como (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Paz averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 965 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Assane Diao averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 602 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Sassuolo have five names on the availability list: D. Boloca (out, Muscle Bruise), E. Pieragnolo (out, Jumpers Knee), Fali Candé (out, Jumpers Knee), I. Koné (out, Broken Leg) and Y. Paz (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-18. Predicted Sassuolo XI (4-3-3): A. Murić, J. Doig, S. Cinquegrano, F. Leysen, D. Ćaleta-Car, N. Matić, D. Bakola, K. Thorstvedt, A. Laurienté, K. Bowie, S. Esposito — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Darryl Bakola (5.4 per match over eight appearances, three assists) and Vasilije Adžić (4.5 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Sassuolo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sassuolo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darryl Bakola averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 577 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Vasilije Adžić averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.