Coritiba v Vitoria prediction

Serie A – Brazil · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT · Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 03:06 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Coritiba v Vitoria, Serie A – Brazil on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.33 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Predicted on 22 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,747 of 2,357 times (74.1%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Coritiba host Vitoria in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Coritiba or Vitoria (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Coritiba are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Vitoria are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Vitoria have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Coritiba’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Coritiba’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Coritiba have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.63. Coritiba have scored 38 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Coritiba have conceded 50 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Six of Vitoria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Vitoria’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Vitoria have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.71. Vitoria have scored 35 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Vitoria have conceded 46 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Coritiba (12th) and Vitoria (14th) are one point apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Vitoria the stronger side, 104 rating points above Coritiba (Vitoria 1498, Coritiba 1394, after at least 184 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Vitoria 4–1 Coritiba.

Team news

Predicted Coritiba XI (4-2-3-1): P. Luccas, T. Cóser, B. Melo, Jacy, F. Bustos, S. Gomez, Josué, J. Lavega, T. Santos, P. Rocha, P. Roberto — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Ronier (4.4 per match over 20 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Rodrigo Moledo (3.6 per match over eight appearances, three goals) have been Coritiba’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Coritiba (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Ronier averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1585 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Rodrigo Moledo averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 504 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Vitoria XI (4-1-4-1): L. Arcanjo, L. Candido, Jamerson, Mateusinho, E. Brítez, Erick, C. Goncalves, Matheuzinho, E. Martinez, D. Tarzia, Rene — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ze Vitor (3.8 per match over 27 appearances, one goal) and Gabriel Baralhas (3.5 per match over 21 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Vitoria’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Vitoria (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Ze Vitor averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1764 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Gabriel Baralhas averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1858 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT · Serie A – Brazil · Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Coritiba 1 · draws 0 · Vitoria 2 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Coritiba 0W 1D 4L · Vitoria 1W 2D 2L

Coritiba v Vitoria (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.38

Goals

against 2.38 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 3.5

Corners

against 7.63 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 5

Shots on target

against 7.63 / 4.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.75 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Coritiba for / against	Line	Vitoria for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 7.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.63 for · 22.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 7.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.13 for · 16.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5

Coritiba

Coritiba Goalkeeper

Coritiba — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Pedro Rangel	20	881759 min	603.1 /90	281.4 /90	00 /90
Pedro Luccas	14	891244 min	624.5 /90	181.3 /90	10.1 /90

Coritiba — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coritiba before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Pedro Rangel n 8	90	2.9 6/5
Pedro Luccas n 8	91.3	4.4 7/6

Coritiba Defensive

Coritiba — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Bruno Melo	29	802320 min	271 /90	140.5 /90	80.3 /90	893.5 /90	140.5 /90	40.2 /90
Jacy	29	762193 min	522.1 /90	241 /90	251 /90	1536.3 /90	241 /90	20.1 /90
Tiago Cóser	27	772071 min	100.4 /90	241 /90	321.4 /90	723.1 /90	341.5 /90	50.2 /90
Tinga	20	741470 min	171 /90	281.7 /90	140.9 /90	764.7 /90	50.3 /90	10.1 /90
Felipe Jonatan	18	571034 min	171.5 /90	60.5 /90	30.3 /90	423.7 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
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Coritiba — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coritiba before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Pedro Rocha n 8	73.9	1.5 5/3	1.7 7/2	—
Josué n 8	79.9	0.3 2/0	3.7 8/6	—
Sebastian Gomez n 8	87.3	1.3 5/2	0.4 3/0	—
Bruno Melo n 8	85.6	0.7 3/2	0.5 2/1	—
Jacy n 8	73.3	1.1 6/1	0.9 4/1	—
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Coritiba — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coritiba before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Pedro Rocha n 8	73.9	2 6/4
Josué n 8	79.9	0.8 4/1
Sebastian Gomez n 8	87.3	1.2 5/3
Bruno Melo n 8	85.6	0.9 5/2
Jacy n 8	73.3	2.2 5/4
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Coritiba Attacking

Coritiba — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Pedro Rocha	32	762426 min	80.3 /90	10 /90	542 /90	261 /90	140.5 /90	281 /90
Vini Paulista	21	47977 min	00 /90	00 /90	70.6 /90	10.1 /90	80.7 /90	50.5 /90
Fabinho	7	35243 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	41.5 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	31.1 /90
Renato Marques	4	45179 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Keno	4	2390 min	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90	11 /90	11 /90	22 /90
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Coritiba — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coritiba before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Pedro Rocha n 8	73.9	2.3 6/3	1.4 5/2
Josué n 8	79.9	2 6/6	0.6 4/0
Sebastian Gomez n 8	87.3	0.9 5/1	0 0/0
Bruno Melo n 8	85.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Jacy n 8	73.3	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
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Coritiba — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coritiba before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Pedro Rocha n 8	73.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Josué n 8	79.9	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
Sebastian Gomez n 8	87.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Bruno Melo n 8	85.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jacy n 8	73.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Vitoria

Vitoria Goalkeeper

Vitoria — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Lucas Arcanjo	34	923142 min	1323.8 /90	341 /90	20.1 /90
Gabriel Vasconcelos	4	90360 min	41 /90	102.5 /90	00 /90

Vitoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitoria before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Lucas Arcanjo n 8	90	3.4 7/6

Vitoria Defensive

Vitoria — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Luan Candido	30	862569 min	281 /90	281 /90	200.7 /90	963.4 /90	240.8 /90	40.1 /90
Caca	29	892572 min	260.9 /90	90.3 /90	311.1 /90	782.7 /90	180.6 /90	70.2 /90
Ramon	26	872263 min	391.6 /90	241 /90	60.2 /90	873.5 /90	321.3 /90	50.2 /90
Jamerson	20	731467 min	392.4 /90	201.2 /90	50.3 /90	1056.4 /90	80.5 /90	10.1 /90
Nathan Mendes	15	841260 min	282 /90	191.4 /90	40.3 /90	584.1 /90	161.1 /90	30.2 /90
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Vitoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitoria before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Erick n 8	80.5	1.1 5/3	1.1 5/3	—
Lucas Arcanjo n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
Matheuzinho n 8	73.8	0.9 3/1	2.9 7/4	—
Caique Goncalves n 8	77.1	1.3 3/3	1.6 6/3	—
Luan Candido n 8	90	1.3 4/3	0.3 2/0	—
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Vitoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitoria before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Erick n 8	80.5	0.6 3/1
Matheuzinho n 8	73.8	1.2 6/2
Caique Goncalves n 8	77.1	2 8/5
Luan Candido n 8	90	1.4 7/3
Rene n 8	68.4	0.7 3/1
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Vitoria Attacking

Vitoria — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Rene	30	702092 min	120.5 /90	10 /90	532.3 /90	311.3 /90	160.7 /90	170.7 /90
Renato Kayzer	21	551148 min	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	221.7 /90	110.9 /90	131 /90	40.3 /90
Marinho	17	35595 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	91.4 /90	30.5 /90	30.5 /90	40.6 /90
Fabricio	11	26284 min	00 /90	20.6 /90	51.6 /90	31 /90	20.6 /90	31 /90
Lucas Silva	5	32162 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.8 /90	21.1 /90	31.7 /90	21.1 /90
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Vitoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitoria before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Erick n 8	80.5	1.3 5/3	0.4 2/1
Lucas Arcanjo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Matheuzinho n 8	73.8	1.4 5/3	0.8 4/1
Caique Goncalves n 8	77.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Luan Candido n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.5 3/1
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Vitoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitoria before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Erick n 8	80.5	0.3 1/1	0.3 2/0
Lucas Arcanjo n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Matheuzinho n 8	73.8	0.3 1/1	0.5 2/1
Caique Goncalves n 8	77.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Luan Candido n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Coritiba v Vitoria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CoritibaLLDLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

VitoriaLWLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Coritiba 1 · 0 draws · Vitoria 2 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-05-02 Vitoria 4–1 Coritiba
2017-08-28 Coritiba 0–1 Vitoria
2017-05-28 Vitoria 0–1 Coritiba

League standing · 2026

Coritiba#12 pos39 pts32 pl-12 GD

Vitoria#14 pos38 pts32 pl-11 GD

Goals per game

Coritiba scored1.19

Vitoria scored1.09

Coritiba conceded1.56

Vitoria conceded1.44

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Coritiba v Vitoria?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Coritiba v Vitoria is Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Coritiba and Vitoria?: In their last 3 meetings, Coritiba won 1, Vitoria won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Coritiba and Vitoria?: Recent form — Coritiba 0W 1D 4L; Vitoria 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 03:06 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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