CremoneseLazio

Cremonese v Lazio result

Full-time · Cremonese 1–2 Lazio

Serie A · · Stadio Giovanni Zini

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cremonese · Lazio

The model’s pre-match pick

Cremonese 1–2 Lazio — Lazio won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 834 of 1,292 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lazio: 0.99 to 0.55 in expected goals, from 8 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lazio won 2–1 at Stadio Giovanni Zini in Serie A on Monday 4 May. Cremonese are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Lazio are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Lazio came from behind: Cremonese led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Cremonese: F. Bonazzoli (29’, assisted by Romano Floriani Mussolini); Lazio: Gustav Isaksen (53’, assisted by Tijjani Noslin) and Tijjani Noslin (90’, assisted by Boulaye Dia).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tijjani Noslin’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

D. Chiffi showed three yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cremonese: T. Barbieri (76’); Lazio: O. Provstgaard (40’) and Nuno Tavares (88’).

What it changes

Cremonese stay 18th after this result (35 league matches played).

Lazio stay eighth after this result (35 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, F. Bonazzoli (Cremonese) 7.7, Tijjani Noslin (Lazio) 7.2 and Gustav Isaksen (Lazio) 5.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Lazio are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Cremonese, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Lazio, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Cremonese next travel to Vicenza Virtus on 8 November 2026.

Lazio next travel to Napoli on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cremonese: Vicenza Virtus v Cremonese, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lazio: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cremonese 1–2 Lazio · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Giovanni Zini · Cremona
  • Referee: D. Chiffi
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Cremonese 0 · draws 1 · Lazio 3 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cremonese 1W 1D 3L · Lazio 1W 3D 1L

Cremonese 1–2 Lazio (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
4.13 / 2.86
Corners
against 4.75 / 5.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.5 / 4.71
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 3.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.88 / 2
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.5 yellows
Referee · D. Chiffi
21.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCremonese for / againstLineLazio for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.25our book
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
2.86 for · 5.86 against n 7
Shots
10 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
10.86 for · 11.71 against n 7
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.71 for · 3.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.88 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 11.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: D. Chiffi — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 21.75 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cremonese

Cremonese Goalkeeper

Cremonese — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Audero30902700 min1204 /90441.5 /9020.1 /90
M. Silvestri490360 min153.8 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Cremonese — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Audero n 890
35/4

Cremonese Defensive

Cremonese — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Terracciano31852649 min281 /90491.7 /90230.8 /90953.2 /90160.5 /9060.2 /90
F. Baschirotto28902520 min260.9 /90260.9 /90331.2 /90933.3 /90441.6 /9020.1 /90
M. Bianchetti23811858 min412 /90120.6 /90180.9 /90974.7 /90231.1 /9030.1 /90
S. Luperto1187955 min161.5 /9090.8 /9080.8 /90434.1 /9080.8 /9010.1 /90
F. Folino1067672 min81.1 /9020.3 /9081.1 /90283.8 /90101.3 /9010.1 /90
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Cremonese — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Terracciano n 879.6
16/1
0.64/0
A. Romagnoli
E. Audero n 890
00/0
00/0
—
F. Bonazzoli n 887.1
1.27/2
3.18/6
—
F. Baschirotto n 890
1.97/5
0.83/2
A. Romagnoli
J. Vandeputte n 856.5
2.25/3
13/2
—
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Cremonese — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Terracciano n 879.6
1.46/3
F. Bonazzoli n 887.1
16/2
F. Baschirotto n 890
0.63/2
J. Vandeputte n 856.5
25/3
G. Pezzella n 886
2.47/6
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Cremonese Attacking

Cremonese — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Bonazzoli29752173 min70.3 /9010 /90492 /90251 /90120.5 /90100.4 /90
J. Vardy25731828 min50.2 /9020.1 /90190.9 /90120.6 /90150.7 /9050.2 /90
A. Sanabria1845808 min10.1 /9010.1 /9060.7 /9020.2 /9030.3 /9050.6 /90
Franco Vázquez1241496 min10.2 /9020.4 /9091.6 /9040.7 /90101.8 /9030.5 /90
M. Đurić845361 min00 /9010.2 /9082 /9041 /9041 /9010.2 /90
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Cremonese — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Terracciano n 879.6
00/0
00/0
E. Audero n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Bonazzoli n 887.1
2.58/5
1.36/4
F. Baschirotto n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Vandeputte n 856.5
14/1
0.41/1
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Cremonese — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cremonese before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Terracciano n 879.6
00/0
00/0
E. Audero n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Bonazzoli n 887.1
0.32/0
00/0
F. Baschirotto n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Vandeputte n 856.5
0.21/0
00/0
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Lazio

Lazio Goalkeeper

Lazio — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Provedel28902520 min913.3 /90291 /9010 /90
E. Motta790630 min172.4 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
Lazio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Provedel n 890
2.67/3

Lazio Defensive

Lazio — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Marušić31852627 min381.3 /90291 /90120.4 /90923.2 /90200.7 /9010 /90
A. Romagnoli30872595 min270.9 /90311.1 /90180.6 /901003.5 /90160.6 /9050.2 /90
Mario Gila30822471 min471.7 /90240.9 /90150.5 /901354.9 /90170.6 /9030.1 /90
L. Pellegrini23601375 min291.9 /90161 /9090.6 /90543.5 /90241.6 /9070.5 /90
Nuno Tavares21671399 min291.9 /90181.2 /9020.1 /90775 /90140.9 /9030.2 /90
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Lazio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Marušić n 885.9
0.54/0
0.84/2
—
A. Romagnoli n 884.4
0.54/0
0.43/0
F. Baschirotto
Mario Gila n 871.1
0.32/0
0.64/0
—
I. Provedel n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Cataldi n 869.5
1.14/2
14/2
—
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Lazio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Marušić n 885.9
0.85/1
A. Romagnoli n 884.4
0.73/1
Mario Gila n 871.1
1.77/2
D. Cataldi n 869.5
1.84/3
M. Zaccagni n 874.9
1.87/4
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Lazio Attacking

Lazio — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Zaccagni27822213 min40.2 /9000 /90281.1 /90150.6 /90331.3 /90241 /90
G. Isaksen26611583 min40.2 /9010.1 /90291.6 /90160.9 /90191.1 /90261.5 /90
M. Cancellieri26591545 min40.2 /9010.1 /90301.7 /90130.8 /90160.9 /90120.7 /90
B. Dia20551099 min00 /9010.1 /9060.5 /9050.4 /9090.7 /9040.3 /90
T. Noslin1944840 min20.2 /9000 /90232.5 /9080.9 /90111.2 /90131.4 /90
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Lazio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Marušić n 885.9
0.54/0
0.32/0
A. Romagnoli n 884.4
0.54/0
0.11/0
Mario Gila n 871.1
00/0
00/0
I. Provedel n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Cataldi n 869.5
0.84/1
0.32/0
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Lazio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Marušić n 885.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Romagnoli n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Mario Gila n 871.1
00/0
00/0
I. Provedel n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Cataldi n 869.5
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CremoneseLazio
42%Possession58%
0.55Expected goals (xG)0.80
13Shots8
5Shots on target3
4Shots off target4
4Blocked shots1
5Shots inside the box6
3Corners3
1Offsides4
16Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves4
444Passes630
84%Pass accuracy90%

Cremonese Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Audero9000000006.2
F. Terracciano9000000006.2
S. Luperto9000000106.5
G. Pezzella9000002206.3
Y. Maleh9000100106
F. Bonazzoli9010331208.5
R. Floriani Mussolini6801001106.3
A. Grassi6100001206.9
A. Zerbin6100100006.2
A. Sanabria6100000006.7
F. Baschirotto2100000006.7
M. Bianchetti sub6900000206.7
M. Payero sub2900102106.3
W. Bondo sub2900220006.6
J. Vardy sub2900100006.2
T. Barbieri sub22000001Y6.2

Lazio Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Motta9000000006.7
A. Marušić9000000006.9
A. Romagnoli9000110007.2
O. Provstgaard90002000Y7.3
Nuno Tavares90000020Y6.7
T. Bašić9000000106.5
G. Isaksen8110210007.7
Kenneth Taylor7100001006.2
M. Zaccagni6000004007.2
Patric4500100006.3
D. Maldini4500000206.5
N. Rovella sub4500000007
T. Noslin sub4511111008
Pedro sub3000000006.2
F. Dele-Bashiru sub1900000106.9
B. Dia sub901001006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cremonese v Lazio — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CremoneseWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
LazioDLWDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Cremonese 0 · 1 draw · Lazio 3 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2025-12-20 Lazio 0–0 Cremonese
  • 2023-05-28 Lazio 3–2 Cremonese
  • 2022-09-18 Cremonese 0–4 Lazio
  • 2020-01-14 Lazio 4–0 Cremonese
League standing · 2025/26
Cremonese#18 pos34 pts38 pl-25 GD
Lazio#9 pos54 pts38 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Cremonese scored0.84
Lazio scored1.08
Cremonese conceded1.5
Lazio conceded1.05

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Cremonese 0.55 xG from 13 shots, Lazio 0.99 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Oliver Provstgaard 5' · 0.13 xGAntonio Sanabria 51' · 0.11 xGAlessio Zerbin 38' · 0.09 xGWarren Bondo 89' · 0.07 xGGustav Isaksen 14' · 0.06 xGAlessio Romagnoli 49' · 0.06 xGJamie Vardy 65' · 0.06 xGFederico Bonazzoli 40' · 0.05 xGTommaso Barbieri 96' · 0.04 xGYoussef Maleh 45' · 0.04 xGPatric 21' · 0.03 xGOliver Provstgaard 32' · 0.03 xGJamie Vardy 65' · 0.03 xGFederico Bonazzoli 63' · 0.02 xGWarren Bondo 81' · 0.02 xGMartín Payero 77' · 0.02 xGGustav Isaksen 2' · 0.01 xGGiuseppe Pezzella 72' · 0.01 xGGustav Isaksen 52' · 0.60 xG · goalTijjani Noslin 91' · 0.06 xG · goalFederico Bonazzoli 28' · 0.02 xG · goal
Cremonese (attacking right)Lazio (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Cremonese1310.55
Lazio820.99

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Cremonese 0.19, Lazio 0.27. At full time, Lazio led on xG, 0.99 to 0.55. The widest gap was 0.63 xG to Lazio, in the 52nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.00.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Cremonese 28 minGoal - Lazio 52 minGoal - Lazio 91 min
Cremonese 0.55 xGLazio 0.99 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cremonese v Lazio?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cremonese v Lazio was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cremonese and Lazio?
In their last 4 meetings, Cremonese won 0, Lazio won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cremonese and Lazio?
Recent form — Cremonese 1W 1D 3L; Lazio 1W 3D 1L.

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