FiorentinaLazio

Fiorentina v Lazio result

Full-time · Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fiorentina · Lazio · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio — Fiorentina won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,967 of 2,632 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lazio: 1.29 to 0.43 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Fiorentina beat Lazio 1–0 in Serie A on Monday 13 April.

The goals

Fiorentina led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Fiorentina: Robin Gosens (28’, assisted by J. Harrison).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Robin Gosens’s goal on 28 minutes.

Discipline

M. Fabbri showed five yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fiorentina: Daniele Rugani (31’), Dodô (80’) and Roberto Piccoli (90+1’); Lazio: Tijjani Noslin (63’) and Pedro (90+4’).

What it changes

Fiorentina stay 15th after this result (32 league matches played). Fiorentina have scored 41 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Fiorentina have conceded 50 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Lazio move down from eighth to ninth (32 league matches played). Lazio have scored 41 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Lazio have conceded 40 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Harrison (Fiorentina) 6.3, Robin Gosens (Fiorentina) 5.7 and David de Gea (Fiorentina) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Fiorentina are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Lazio.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fiorentina or Lazio (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Fiorentina next host Juventus on 8 November 2026.

Lazio next travel to Napoli on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fiorentina: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lazio: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio · Serie A
  • Referee: M. Fabbri
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fiorentina 3 · draws 2 · Lazio 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fiorentina 3W 1D 1L · Lazio 3W 2D 0L

Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.88
Corners
against 4 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.89 yellows
Referee · M. Fabbri
21.89 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFiorentina for / againstLineLazio for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
10.25 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
8.63 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: M. Fabbri — 3.89 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 21.89 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Fiorentina

Fiorentina Goalkeeper

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David de Gea38903421 min1163.1 /90511.3 /9010 /90
O. Christensen390270 min82.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
T. Martinelli290180 min63 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David de Gea n 890
2.96/4

Fiorentina Defensive

Fiorentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Pongračić38853226 min411.1 /90431.2 /90280.8 /901454 /90732 /90110.3 /90
Dodô37853138 min260.7 /90260.7 /9040.1 /901484.2 /90220.6 /9080.2 /90
L. Ranieri35782725 min351.2 /90210.7 /90120.4 /901234.1 /90270.9 /9080.3 /90
P. Comuzzo30772302 min471.8 /90341.3 /90190.7 /901013.9 /90311.2 /9040.2 /90
R. Gosens27711919 min311.5 /90170.8 /9060.3 /90884.1 /90200.9 /9030.1 /90
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Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David de Gea n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Pongračić n 874.4
25/3
0.64/0
—
Dodô n 879.8
1.36/2
1.46/2
A. Romagnoli
Rolando Mandragora n 873.8
1.45/3
1.76/4
—
A. Guðmundsson n 874.6
0.64/0
1.25/2
—
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Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Pongračić n 874.4
1.25/3
Dodô n 879.8
0.42/1
Rolando Mandragora n 873.8
26/5
A. Guðmundsson n 874.6
0.83/2
L. Ranieri n 889.9
16/1
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Fiorentina Attacking

Fiorentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Guðmundsson36662368 min80.3 /9060.2 /90321.2 /90170.6 /90331.3 /90230.9 /90
M. Kean31742308 min80.3 /9010 /90863.4 /90351.4 /9060.2 /90281.1 /90
R. Piccoli30641905 min70.3 /9020.1 /90492.3 /90211 /90200.9 /9070.3 /90
J. Harrison1465906 min00 /9020.2 /9030.3 /9000 /90111.1 /90141.4 /90
E. Džeko1352680 min20.3 /9000 /90121.6 /9081.1 /90101.3 /9040.5 /90
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Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Pongračić n 874.4
00/0
00/0
Dodô n 879.8
0.74/1
0.43/0
Rolando Mandragora n 873.8
2.17/5
0.64/0
A. Guðmundsson n 874.6
1.46/2
0.64/0
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Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Pongračić n 874.4
00/0
00/0
Dodô n 879.8
0.11/0
00/0
Rolando Mandragora n 873.8
0.21/0
0.53/0
A. Guðmundsson n 874.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Lazio

Lazio Goalkeeper

Lazio — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Provedel28902520 min913.3 /90291 /9010 /90
E. Motta490360 min123 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
Lazio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Provedel n 890
2.67/3

Lazio Defensive

Lazio — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Marušić31852627 min381.3 /90291 /90120.4 /90923.2 /90200.7 /9010 /90
Mario Gila29832410 min461.7 /90240.9 /90150.6 /901324.9 /90170.6 /9030.1 /90
A. Romagnoli27862325 min261 /90271 /90160.6 /90873.4 /90140.5 /9050.2 /90
L. Pellegrini22591291 min282 /90151 /9080.6 /90523.6 /90221.5 /9060.4 /90
Nuno Tavares19641219 min231.7 /90171.3 /9020.1 /90715.2 /90131 /9030.2 /90
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Lazio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Marušić n 885.9
0.54/0
0.84/2
—
Mario Gila n 871.5
0.53/0
0.95/1
—
I. Provedel n 890
00/0
00/0
—
A. Romagnoli n 884.4
0.74/1
0.54/0
Dodô
D. Cataldi n 873.1
0.93/2
1.15/2
—
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Lazio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Marušić n 885.9
0.85/1
Mario Gila n 871.5
1.97/3
A. Romagnoli n 884.4
0.84/1
D. Cataldi n 873.1
1.85/3
M. Zaccagni n 884.1
27/5
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Lazio Attacking

Lazio — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Zaccagni25842107 min40.2 /9000 /90241 /90120.5 /90301.3 /90231 /90
G. Isaksen24641535 min40.2 /9010.1 /90281.6 /90150.9 /90160.9 /90251.5 /90
M. Cancellieri23581323 min30.2 /9000 /90261.8 /9090.6 /90130.9 /90120.8 /90
B. Dia1756958 min00 /9010.1 /9060.6 /9050.5 /9070.7 /9040.4 /90
Pedro1643685 min30.4 /9010.1 /90101.3 /9060.8 /90101.3 /9091.2 /90
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Lazio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Marušić n 885.9
0.54/0
0.32/0
Mario Gila n 871.5
00/0
00/0
I. Provedel n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Romagnoli n 884.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
D. Cataldi n 873.1
0.95/1
0.53/0
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Lazio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lazio before kick-off, to 9 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Marušić n 885.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Mario Gila n 871.5
00/0
00/0
I. Provedel n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Romagnoli n 884.4
00/0
00/0
D. Cataldi n 873.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FiorentinaLazio
34%Possession66%
0.61Expected goals (xG)1.33
8Shots13
2Shots on target6
4Shots off target3
2Blocked shots4
4Shots inside the box8
5Corners6
10Fouls10
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
6Saves1
350Passes674
83%Pass accuracy92%

Fiorentina Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David de Gea9000000009.2
Dodô90001012Y7.3
L. Ranieri9000000107.2
G. Fabbian9000101006.3
Rolando Mandragora9000001207.3
C. Ndour9000100207.9
J. Harrison9001111207.2
R. Piccoli90001000Y6.2
J. Fazzini8400002107.7
R. Gosens8010110107.6
D. Rugani71000001Y6.9
M. Pongračić sub1900000006.6
M. Solomon sub1400000006.9
L. Balbo sub1000000107

Lazio Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Motta9000000006.6
M. Lazzari9000000106.3
A. Romagnoli9000000107.3
O. Provstgaard9000000007.3
Nuno Tavares9000102207.2
Patric9000001006.6
Kenneth Taylor7900001106.5
M. Cancellieri6700220006.3
B. Dia6700002006.3
T. Bašić4500000006.2
M. Zaccagni4500221107.6
T. Noslin sub45002011Y6.2
F. Dele-Bashiru sub4500000306.9
G. Isaksen sub2300002106.6
Pedro sub23001100Y6.3
P. Ratkov sub1100110006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fiorentina v Lazio — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FiorentinaWWDWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
LazioDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fiorentina 3 · 2 draws · Lazio 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-07 Lazio 2–2 Fiorentina
  • 2025-01-26 Lazio 1–2 Fiorentina
  • 2024-09-22 Fiorentina 2–1 Lazio
  • 2024-02-26 Fiorentina 2–1 Lazio
  • 2023-10-30 Lazio 1–0 Fiorentina
  • 2023-01-29 Lazio 1–1 Fiorentina
League standing · 2025/26
Fiorentina#15 pos42 pts38 pl-9 GD
Lazio#9 pos54 pts38 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Fiorentina scored1.08
Lazio scored1.08
Fiorentina conceded1.32
Lazio conceded1.05

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Fiorentina 0.43 xG from 8 shots, Lazio 1.29 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Mattia Zaccagni 2' · 0.32 xGMatteo Cancellieri 9' · 0.29 xGMatteo Cancellieri 3' · 0.13 xGGiovanni Fabbian 91' · 0.11 xGPatric 51' · 0.10 xGTijjani Noslin 75' · 0.10 xGJack Harrison 57' · 0.07 xGGustav Isaksen 85' · 0.07 xGPetar Ratkov 80' · 0.07 xGJack Harrison 57' · 0.06 xGPedro 96' · 0.05 xGNuno Tavares 73' · 0.05 xGJack Harrison 12' · 0.05 xGTijjani Noslin 56' · 0.05 xGCher Ndour 95' · 0.04 xGRoberto Piccoli 9' · 0.03 xGNuno Tavares 3' · 0.02 xGMattia Zaccagni 43' · 0.02 xGNuno Tavares 53' · 0.02 xGDodô 18' · 0.01 xGRobin Gosens 27' · 0.05 xG · goal
Fiorentina (attacking right)Lazio (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Fiorentina810.43
Lazio1301.29

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Lazio led on xG, 0.79 to 0.14. At full time, Lazio led on xG, 1.29 to 0.43. The widest gap was 0.96 xG to Lazio, in the 85th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.30.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Fiorentina 27 min
Fiorentina 0.43 xGLazio 1.29 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fiorentina v Lazio?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fiorentina v Lazio was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Lazio?
In their last 6 meetings, Fiorentina won 3, Lazio won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fiorentina and Lazio?
Recent form — Fiorentina 3W 1D 1L; Lazio 3W 2D 0L.

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