This Matchweek

FiorentinaNapoli

Fiorentina v Napoli result

Full-time · Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli

Serie A · · Stadio Artemio Franchi

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fiorentina · Napoli · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at Betfair
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,974 of 2,640 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Napoli: 2.19 to 1.06 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 17, ahead on xG from the 21st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Fiorentina and Napoli drew 1–1 at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A on Sunday 20 September.

The goals

Napoli led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Napoli: Billy Gilmour (23’, assisted by Matteo Politano); Fiorentina: Álex Jiménez (51’, assisted by Cher Ndour).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Álex Jiménez’s goal on 51 minutes.

Discipline

Daniele Doveri, Italy showed three yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fiorentina: Franco Mastantuono (42’), Luca Ranieri (62’) and David de Gea (83’).

What it changes

Fiorentina move down from 15th to 16th (five league matches played). Fiorentina have scored six goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Fiorentina have conceded 12 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Napoli stay ninth after this result (five league matches played). Napoli have scored seven goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Napoli have conceded six goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Billy Gilmour (Napoli) 6.3, Álex Jiménez (Fiorentina) 5.7 and Rafa Marín (Napoli) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Napoli are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Fiorentina, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fiorentina or Napoli (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Fiorentina next host Juventus on 8 November 2026.

Napoli next host Lazio on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fiorentina: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Napoli: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi · Florence
  • Referee: Daniele Doveri, Italy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fiorentina 0 · draws 1 · Napoli 5 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fiorentina 2W 0D 3L · Napoli 2W 0D 3L

Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.75
Corners
against 3.5 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.75 yellows
Referee · Daniele Doveri, Italy
24.13 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFiorentina for / againstLineNapoli for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 14.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.38 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Daniele Doveri, Italy — 3.75 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 24.13 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Fiorentina

Fiorentina Goalkeeper

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David de Gea690540 min132.2 /90122 /9000 /90
Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David de Gea n 890
3.16/5

Fiorentina Defensive

Fiorentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Drăgușin682492 min61.1 /90173.1 /9061.1 /90234.2 /9071.3 /9010.2 /90
Valde486342 min71.8 /9010.3 /9000 /90195 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
João Mário476305 min72.1 /9020.6 /9000 /90144.1 /9041.2 /9000 /90
Viery464254 min103.5 /9041.4 /9010.4 /90145 /9051.8 /9000 /90
Álex Jiménez455220 min72.9 /9010.4 /9000 /90135.3 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
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Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David de Gea n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
R. Drăgușin n 682
1.35/2
0.73/1
Rafa Marín
C. Ndour n 875.1
1.55/3
0.43/0
S. Lobotka
Franco Mastantuono n 663.2
0.93/1
3.15/5
—
Mateo Pellegrino n 573.8
0.52/0
2.24/2
—
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Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Drăgușin n 682
1.15/1
C. Ndour n 875.1
2.47/4
Franco Mastantuono n 663.2
1.43/1
Mateo Pellegrino n 573.8
0.52/0
A. Atta n 566.8
0.31/0
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Fiorentina Attacking

Fiorentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Franco Mastantuono663379 min30.7 /9000 /90174 /9081.9 /9081.9 /9081.9 /90
Mateo Pellegrino574369 min30.7 /9000 /9092.2 /9051.2 /9051.2 /9030.7 /90
A. Njie363189 min00 /9010.5 /9052.4 /9031.4 /9094.3 /9083.8 /90
W. Gnonto355165 min10.5 /9000 /9031.6 /9021.1 /9000 /9021.1 /90
A. Guðmundsson265129 min10.7 /9000 /9042.8 /9021.4 /9074.9 /9010.7 /90
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Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Drăgușin n 682
0.74/0
0.21/0
C. Ndour n 875.1
1.36/2
0.63/1
Franco Mastantuono n 663.2
46/3
1.94/1
Mateo Pellegrino n 573.8
2.24/2
1.23/1
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Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Drăgușin n 682
00/0
0.42/0
C. Ndour n 875.1
0.32/0
00/0
Franco Mastantuono n 663.2
0.71/1
00/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 573.8
0.73/0
00/0
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Napoli

Napoli Goalkeeper

Napoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Meret479315 min144 /9051.4 /9000 /90
V. Milinković-Savić268135 min53.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Napoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Meret n 883.1
2.76/3
V. Milinković-Savić n 884.4
2.95/4

Napoli Defensive

Napoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Amir Rrahmani590450 min91.8 /9030.6 /9030.6 /90397.8 /9071.4 /9000 /90
Giovanni Di Lorenzo590450 min112.2 /9020.4 /9020.4 /90204 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
Rafa Marín588441 min112.2 /9040.8 /9040.8 /90163.3 /90122.4 /9010.2 /90
L. Spinazzola476304 min20.6 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9041.2 /9020.6 /9000 /90
M. Olivera273146 min42.5 /9021.2 /9000 /9074.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Napoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Amir Rrahmani n 890
14/2
0.64/1
—
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 889.8
0.85/1
0.65/0
—
Rafa Marín n 871.9
2.26/5
0.84/1
R. Drăgușin
S. Lobotka n 878.6
0.11/0
1.77/3
C. Ndour
R. Højlund n 881.4
14/3
1.14/3
—
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Napoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 889.8
1.67/3
Amir Rrahmani n 890
1.14/2
Rafa Marín n 871.9
1.96/4
S. Lobotka n 878.6
1.46/3
R. Højlund n 881.4
00/0
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Napoli Attacking

Napoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Højlund576381 min20.5 /9000 /9071.7 /9040.9 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
M. Politano564322 min10.3 /9000 /9041.1 /9041.1 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90
Alisson Santos460238 min00 /9000 /9051.9 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9031.1 /90
N. Lang342125 min00 /9000 /9021.4 /9000 /9021.4 /9021.4 /90
L. Lucca21733 min00 /9000 /9012.7 /9000 /9025.5 /9000 /90
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Napoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Amir Rrahmani n 890
0.85/1
0.43/0
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 889.8
0.31/1
0.11/0
Rafa Marín n 871.9
0.52/1
0.21/0
S. Lobotka n 878.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
R. Højlund n 881.4
1.56/5
15/2
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Napoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Amir Rrahmani n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 889.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
Rafa Marín n 871.9
00/0
00/0
S. Lobotka n 878.6
0.11/0
00/0
R. Højlund n 881.4
0.64/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FiorentinaNapoli
42%Possession58%
1.14Expected goals (xG)1.40
17Shots13
4Shots on target5
10Shots off target7
3Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box11
4Corners5
0Offsides1
11Fouls9
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves3
401Passes549
83%Pass accuracy88%

Fiorentina Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David de Gea90000000Y8.3
Álex Jiménez9010112008
R. Drăgușin9000100007.2
N. Fagioli9000310106.9
C. Ndour9001001107
Franco Mastantuono90003141Y6.9
L. Ranieri85000002Y6.5
A. Njie8000102106.6
A. Atta6600201006.2
Mateo Pellegrino6600001006.6
Viery4500000106.2
Valde sub4500111007.5
Pote sub2400101006.7
Beto sub2400100006.2
M. Pongračić sub1000000006.7
W. Gnonto sub1000000106.6

Napoli Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Milinković-Savić9000000007.3
Giovanni Di Lorenzo9000001406.6
Amir Rrahmani9000000207.2
Rafa Marín9000100307
M. Olivera9000412407.2
Billy Gilmour9010110107.9
K. De Bruyne9000002006.3
S. Lobotka8900000007.2
M. Politano7301002107
N. Lang5800200106.6
R. Højlund5800000006.3
L. Lucca sub3200100206.3
David Neres sub3200112007
C. Favasuli sub1700220206.7
A. Zambo Anguissa sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fiorentina v Napoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FiorentinaLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
NapoliWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fiorentina 0 · 1 draw · Napoli 5 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-01-31 Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina
  • 2025-09-13 Fiorentina 1–3 Napoli
  • 2025-03-09 Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina
  • 2025-01-04 Fiorentina 0–3 Napoli
  • 2024-05-17 Fiorentina 2–2 Napoli
  • 2024-01-18 Napoli 3–0 Fiorentina
League standing · 2026/27
Fiorentina#15 pos8 pts10 pl-8 GD
Napoli#10 pos14 pts10 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Fiorentina scored1.5
Napoli scored1.7
Fiorentina conceded2.3
Napoli conceded1.3

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Fiorentina 1.06 xG from 17 shots, Napoli 2.19 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Mathías Olivera 21' · 0.62 xGCostantino Favasuli 78' · 0.52 xGBeto 93' · 0.35 xGRasmus Højlund 38' · 0.33 xGDavid Neres 75' · 0.31 xGValde 63' · 0.12 xGMathías Olivera 21' · 0.10 xGArthur Atta 16' · 0.10 xGRadu Dragusin 47' · 0.09 xGMathías Olivera 34' · 0.09 xGPote 71' · 0.07 xGLorenzo Lucca 79' · 0.05 xGNoa Lang 43' · 0.05 xGNicolo Fagioli 56' · 0.05 xGFranco Mastantuono 30' · 0.05 xGNicolo Fagioli 38' · 0.03 xGAlieu Njie 14' · 0.03 xGArthur Atta 30' · 0.03 xGCostantino Favasuli 93' · 0.03 xGAlieu Njie 58' · 0.03 xGFranco Mastantuono 52' · 0.02 xGPote 70' · 0.02 xGFranco Mastantuono 50' · 0.02 xGNoa Lang 46' · 0.02 xGNicolo Fagioli 18' · 0.02 xGRafa Marín 55' · 0.01 xGFranco Mastantuono 86' · 0.01 xGMathías Olivera 82' · 0.01 xGBilly Gilmour 22' · 0.05 xG · goalAlejandro Jiménez 50' · 0.02 xG · goal
Fiorentina (attacking right)Napoli (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Fiorentina1711.06
Napoli1312.19

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Napoli led on xG, 1.23 to 0.25. At full time, Napoli led on xG, 2.19 to 1.06. The widest gap was 1.47 xG to Napoli, in the 82nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.21.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Napoli 22 minGoal - Fiorentina 50 min
Fiorentina 1.06 xGNapoli 2.19 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fiorentina v Napoli?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fiorentina v Napoli was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Napoli?
In their last 6 meetings, Fiorentina won 0, Napoli won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fiorentina and Napoli?
Recent form — Fiorentina 2W 0D 3L; Napoli 2W 0D 3L.

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