Hellas VeronaFiorentina

Hellas Verona v Fiorentina result

Full-time · Hellas Verona 0–1 Fiorentina

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hellas Verona · Fiorentina · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hellas Verona 0–1 Fiorentina — Fiorentina won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.4% of 128 landed (95% range 77.1–89.7%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Hellas Verona: 0.92 to 0.31 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 28th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Fiorentina won 1–0 at Hellas Verona in Serie A on Saturday 4 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Fiorentina: Nicolò Fagioli (82’, assisted by J. Harrison). T. Suslov (85’) and Albert Guðmundsson (85’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nicolò Fagioli’s goal on 82 minutes.

Discipline

M. Guida showed four yellow cards and two reds — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hellas Verona: Roberto Gagliardini (17’), Victor Nelsson (79’) and Rafik Belghali (88’); Fiorentina: Nicolò Fagioli (84’).

What it changes

Hellas Verona move down from 19th to 20th (31 league matches played). Hellas Verona have scored 24 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Hellas Verona have conceded 58 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Fiorentina move up from 16th to 15th (31 league matches played). Fiorentina have scored 40 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 37 games, ranked per game). Fiorentina have conceded 50 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.

Hellas Verona have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Fiorentina have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Hellas Verona have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Roberto Gagliardini (Hellas Verona) 8.0, David de Gea (Fiorentina) 6.5 and Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Fiorentina to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Hellas Verona next host Cesena on 21 November 2026.

Fiorentina next host Juventus on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hellas Verona: Hellas Verona v Cesena, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Fiorentina: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Hellas Verona 0–1 Fiorentina · Serie A
  • Referee: M. Guida
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hellas Verona 3 · draws 0 · Fiorentina 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hellas Verona 1W 0D 4L · Fiorentina 3W 2D 0L

Hellas Verona 0–1 Fiorentina (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 5
Corners
against 5.25 / 3.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 2.71 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.5 / 2.57
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.43 yellows
Referee · M. Guida
20.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHellas Verona for / againstLineFiorentina for / against
Goals scored
0.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 3.29 against n 7
Shots
8.88 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
15 for · 10 against n 7
Shots on target
2 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.43 for · 2.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.5 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.43 for · 14.57 against n 7
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.57 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: M. Guida — 3.43 yellow cards a game, 0.43 red cards, 20.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona Goalkeeper

Hellas Verona — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Montipò27902430 min692.6 /90451.7 /9020.1 /90
S. Perilli390270 min82.7 /9072.3 /9000 /90
Hellas Verona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Montipò n 890
2.14/3

Hellas Verona Defensive

Hellas Verona — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. Nelsson29892584 min511.8 /90511.8 /90170.6 /901675.8 /90341.2 /9030.1 /90
A. Bella-Kotchap16791258 min171.2 /90322.3 /90151.1 /90674.8 /90211.5 /9030.2 /90
Unai Núñez16781251 min241.7 /90231.7 /90130.9 /90705 /90271.9 /9050.4 /90
N. Valentini13781008 min201.8 /90100.9 /9090.8 /90605.4 /90161.4 /9030.3 /90
A. Edmundsson790630 min111.6 /90131.9 /9040.6 /90415.9 /9091.3 /9020.3 /90
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Hellas Verona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Nelsson n 890
14/3
0.95/2
M. Pongračić
L. Montipò n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
G. Orban n 888.4
0.84/2
1.15/4
A. Guðmundsson
M. Frese n 870.6
2.25/4
1.35/3
M. Pongračić
A. Bernede n 877.6
1.66/4
0.74/1
—
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Hellas Verona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Nelsson n 890
2.46/4
G. Orban n 888.4
0.32/0
M. Frese n 870.6
1.96/4
A. Bernede n 877.6
2.37/3
D. Bradarić n 881.5
1.25/3
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Hellas Verona Attacking

Hellas Verona — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Orban24771838 min70.3 /9020.1 /90582.8 /90261.3 /90190.9 /90180.9 /90
Giovane21731541 min30.2 /9040.2 /90352 /90251.5 /90281.6 /90301.8 /90
A. Sarr2142892 min00 /9010.1 /90101 /9040.4 /90101 /9080.8 /90
D. Mosquera1341532 min00 /9020.3 /9091.5 /9030.5 /9050.8 /9071.2 /90
Kieron Bowie782574 min10.2 /9000 /9071.1 /9030.5 /9040.6 /9030.5 /90
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Hellas Verona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Nelsson n 890
0.11/0
00/0
L. Montipò n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Orban n 888.4
2.26/6
14/3
M. Frese n 870.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
A. Bernede n 877.6
0.63/1
0.11/0
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Hellas Verona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hellas Verona before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Nelsson n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Montipò n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Orban n 888.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Frese n 870.6
0.21/0
00/0
A. Bernede n 877.6
00/0
0.11/0
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Fiorentina

Fiorentina Goalkeeper

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David de Gea36903241 min1062.9 /90481.3 /9010 /90
O. Christensen390270 min82.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
T. Martinelli290180 min63 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David de Gea n 890
2.46/4

Fiorentina Defensive

Fiorentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Pongračić36853054 min381.1 /90421.2 /90260.8 /901384.1 /90722.1 /90110.3 /90
Dodô36853048 min260.8 /90260.8 /9030.1 /901454.3 /90190.6 /9070.2 /90
L. Ranieri33772545 min331.2 /90200.7 /90100.4 /901184.2 /90260.9 /9080.3 /90
P. Comuzzo29762213 min451.8 /90331.3 /90190.8 /90984 /90301.2 /9040.2 /90
R. Gosens25711765 min301.5 /90150.8 /9060.3 /90864.4 /90201 /9030.2 /90
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Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
—
M. Pongračić n 875.4
2.16/3
0.64/0
M. Frese
Dodô n 879.8
0.85/1
1.86/3
—
Rolando Mandragora n 873.8
1.45/3
1.76/4
—
A. Guðmundsson n 865.8
1.45/2
1.26/1
G. Orban
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Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Pongračić n 875.4
0.73/2
Dodô n 879.8
0.42/1
Rolando Mandragora n 873.8
26/5
A. Guðmundsson n 865.8
0.52/1
L. Ranieri n 887.1
0.95/1
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Fiorentina Attacking

Fiorentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Guðmundsson34652194 min80.3 /9060.2 /90291.2 /90160.7 /90321.3 /90230.9 /90
M. Kean30742232 min80.3 /9010 /90863.5 /90351.4 /9060.2 /90271.1 /90
R. Piccoli28641784 min70.4 /9020.1 /90472.4 /90201 /90201 /9070.4 /90
E. Džeko1352680 min20.3 /9000 /90121.6 /9081.1 /90101.3 /9040.5 /90
J. Harrison1262738 min00 /9010.1 /9030.4 /9000 /9081 /90131.6 /90
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Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Pongračić n 875.4
00/0
00/0
Dodô n 879.8
0.74/1
0.43/0
Rolando Mandragora n 873.8
2.17/5
0.64/0
A. Guðmundsson n 865.8
1.25/1
0.74/0
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Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Pongračić n 875.4
00/0
00/0
Dodô n 879.8
0.11/0
00/0
Rolando Mandragora n 873.8
0.21/0
0.53/0
A. Guðmundsson n 865.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hellas VeronaFiorentina
49%Possession51%
0.99Expected goals (xG)0.36
21Shots5
8Shots on target1
10Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box2
9Corners1
1Offsides0
15Fouls7
3Yellow cards1
1Red cards1
0Saves8
397Passes431
82%Pass accuracy81%

Hellas Verona Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Montipò9000000006.3
A. Edmundsson9000210306.3
M. Frese9000322207
J. Akpa Akpro9000001106.3
R. Gagliardini90001044Y7.3
R. Belghali90003131Y7.5
Kieron Bowie9000414007
V. Nelsson89000002Y6.9
D. Oyegoke7500210006.9
A. Bernede7500112307
G. Orban6700211006
A. Sarr sub2300000006.7
D. Bradarić sub1500001006.5
T. Suslov sub10000000R5.5
D. Mosquera sub10000000–

Fiorentina Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David de Gea9000000009.3
M. Pongračić9000001207.5
L. Ranieri9000000106.9
C. Ndour9000000206.3
J. Harrison9001002006.2
P. Comuzzo8900000207.2
N. Fagioli89102102Y7.7
A. Guðmundsson85001002R6.2
R. Gosens7600000107.3
M. Kean7600000006.7
G. Fabbian5900000207
R. Piccoli sub3100000006.3
J. Fazzini sub1400000006.6
L. Balbo sub1400000006.9
M. Brescianini sub10000000–
D. Rugani sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hellas Verona v Fiorentina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hellas VeronaLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
FiorentinaDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hellas Verona 3 · 0 draws · Fiorentina 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-12-14 Fiorentina 1–2 Hellas Verona
  • 2025-02-23 Hellas Verona 1–0 Fiorentina
  • 2024-11-10 Fiorentina 3–1 Hellas Verona
  • 2024-05-05 Hellas Verona 2–1 Fiorentina
  • 2023-12-17 Fiorentina 1–0 Hellas Verona
  • 2023-02-27 Hellas Verona 0–3 Fiorentina
League standing · 2025/26
Hellas Verona#19 pos21 pts38 pl-36 GD
Fiorentina#15 pos42 pts38 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Hellas Verona scored0.66
Fiorentina scored1.08
Hellas Verona conceded1.61
Fiorentina conceded1.32

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Hellas Verona 0.92 xG from 21 shots, Fiorentina 0.31 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kieron Bowie 28' · 0.14 xGAlbert Gudmundsson 17' · 0.10 xGGift Orban 31' · 0.09 xGAntoine Bernede 10' · 0.08 xGRafik Belghali 87' · 0.07 xGGift Orban 36' · 0.07 xGAndrias Edmundsson 31' · 0.07 xGKieron Bowie 9' · 0.06 xGAndrias Edmundsson 94' · 0.05 xGNicolo Fagioli 3' · 0.05 xGAlbert Gudmundsson 44' · 0.05 xGKieron Bowie 53' · 0.04 xGRoberto Gagliardini 91' · 0.03 xGRafik Belghali 74' · 0.03 xGKieron Bowie 64' · 0.03 xGDaniel Oyegoke 35' · 0.03 xGMartin Frese 45' · 0.02 xGMoise Kean 21' · 0.02 xGJean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro 56' · 0.02 xGRafik Belghali 29' · 0.02 xGDaniel Oyegoke 37' · 0.02 xGMartin Frese 30' · 0.02 xGTomás Suslov 76' · 0.01 xGRafik Belghali 47' · 0.01 xGMartin Frese 72' · 0.01 xGNicolo Fagioli 81' · 0.09 xG · goal
Hellas Verona (attacking right)Fiorentina (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Hellas Verona2100.92
Fiorentina510.31

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Hellas Verona led on xG, 0.61 to 0.22. At full time, Hellas Verona led on xG, 0.92 to 0.31. The widest gap was 0.61 xG to Hellas Verona, in the 94th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
0.90.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Fiorentina 81 min
Hellas Verona 0.92 xGFiorentina 0.31 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hellas Verona v Fiorentina?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hellas Verona v Fiorentina was Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Hellas Verona and Fiorentina?
In their last 6 meetings, Hellas Verona won 3, Fiorentina won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hellas Verona and Fiorentina?
Recent form — Hellas Verona 1W 0D 4L; Fiorentina 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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