Inter v Napoli result
Team pages: Inter · Napoli · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Inter 3–2 Napoli — Inter won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.
What xG said
xG said Inter: 3.88 to 2.41 in expected goals, from 29 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the 55th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Inter beat Napoli 3–2 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Saturday 5 September. Inter are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Napoli: Matteo Politano (50’) and Rasmus Højlund (53’, assisted by Giovanni Di Lorenzo); Inter: Lautaro Martínez (56’, assisted by Federico Dimarco; 90’, assisted by Manuel Akanji) and M. Thuram (82’, assisted by Carlos Augusto).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lautaro Martínez’s goal on 90 minutes.
Discipline
S. Sozza showed three yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Inter: Lautaro Martínez (68’); Napoli: Antonio Vergara (35’) and Rafa Marín (77’).
What it changes
Inter stay first after this result (three league matches played). Inter have scored 26 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Inter have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Napoli move down from ninth to 10th (three league matches played). Napoli have scored 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Napoli have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
It is Inter’s first win over Napoli since 22 January 2024, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Inter have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Napoli have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lautaro Martínez (Inter) 10.2, Manuel Akanji (Inter) 8.2 and Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli) 7.7 led the match.
Head-to-head
Napoli are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Inter.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Inter to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.
Napoli next host Lazio on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Inter: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Napoli: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Inter 3–2 Napoli · Serie A
- Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
- Referee: S. Sozza
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 1 · draws 4 · Napoli 1 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Inter 3W 2D 0L · Napoli 3W 0D 2L
Inter 3–2 Napoli (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Inter for / against | Line | Napoli for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.38 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.63 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.63 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.25 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Sozza — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 24.11 fouls over 9 matches.
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Inter
Inter Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josep Martínez | 2 | 90180 min | 21 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Josep Martínez n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
Inter Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bastoni | 2 | 90180 min | 52.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 94.5 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Akanji | 2 | 72143 min | 10.6 /90 | 42.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 74.4 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 10.6 /90 |
| J. Stones | 2 | 1937 min | 24.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 921.9 /90 | 12.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| B. Pavard | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Y. Bisseck | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bastoni n 8 | 69.8 | 2.1 | 0.3 | Amir Rrahmani |
| N. Barella n 8 | 79.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | S. Lobotka |
| F. Dimarco n 8 | 72.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | S. Lobotka |
| Josep Martínez n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| F. Esposito n 8 | 56.4 | 1 | 2.8 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Bastoni n 8 | 69.8 | 2.4 |
| N. Barella n 8 | 79.8 | 1.4 |
| F. Dimarco n 8 | 72.5 | 0.3 |
| F. Esposito n 8 | 56.4 | 0.6 |
| Lautaro Martínez n 8 | 61.8 | 1.3 |
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Inter Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Esposito | 2 | 78155 min | 10.6 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 63.5 /90 | 31.7 /90 | 42.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Lautaro Martínez | 2 | 72144 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 74.4 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 21.3 /90 | 10.6 /90 |
| M. Thuram | 1 | 2525 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 27.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| F. Dimarco | 2 | 90180 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 21 /90 | 94.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| N. Barella | 2 | 90180 min | 00 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 42 /90 | 21 /90 | 42 /90 | 63 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Barella n 8 | 79.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| F. Dimarco n 8 | 72.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| A. Bastoni n 8 | 69.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Josep Martínez n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Esposito n 8 | 56.4 | 2 | 1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Dimarco n 8 | 72.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| N. Barella n 8 | 79.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Josep Martínez n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Bastoni n 8 | 69.8 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Esposito n 8 | 56.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
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Napoli
Napoli Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Meret | 2 | 90180 min | 63 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Meret n 8 | 88.8 | 2.2 |
Napoli Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Rrahmani | 2 | 90180 min | 73.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 199.5 /90 | 42 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | 2 | 90180 min | 52.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 21 /90 | 94.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| Rafa Marín | 2 | 86171 min | 31.6 /90 | 31.6 /90 | 31.6 /90 | 63.2 /90 | 42.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. Spinazzola | 2 | 62124 min | 00 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Olivera | 1 | 5656 min | 23.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 23.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Rrahmani n 8 | 86.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | A. Bastoni |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 8 | 82.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | — |
| S. Lobotka n 8 | 73.8 | 0.3 | 1.8 | F. Dimarco |
| A. Meret n 8 | 88.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | — |
| Rafa Marín n 5 | 61 | 1.8 | 1.2 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 8 | 82.3 | 1.6 |
| Amir Rrahmani n 8 | 86.3 | 1.3 |
| S. Lobotka n 8 | 73.8 | 0.9 |
| Rafa Marín n 5 | 61 | 1.2 |
| R. Højlund n 8 | 83.6 | 0 |
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Napoli Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Højlund | 2 | 79158 min | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.1 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 10.6 /90 |
| M. Politano | 2 | 79157 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.1 /90 | 10.6 /90 |
| Alisson Santos | 2 | 50100 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 32.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.9 /90 |
| N. Lang | 2 | 4080 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 11.1 /90 |
| S. Lobotka | 2 | 90180 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Rrahmani n 8 | 86.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 8 | 82.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| S. Lobotka n 8 | 73.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| A. Meret n 8 | 88.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Rafa Marín n 5 | 61 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Rrahmani n 8 | 86.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| A. Meret n 8 | 88.8 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 8 | 82.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| S. Lobotka n 8 | 73.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Rafa Marín n 5 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Inter | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% | Possession | 37% |
| 3.86 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.43 |
| 29 | Shots | 16 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 14 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 20 | Shots inside the box | 13 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 6 | Saves | 5 |
| 544 | Passes | 340 |
| 89% | Pass accuracy | 78% |
Inter Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Akanji | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Josep Martínez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| N. Barella | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Y. Bisseck | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| Andy Diouf | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Lautaro Martínez | 90 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | Y | 8.9 |
| A. Bastoni | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| P. Zieliński | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| F. Dimarco | 62 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| F. Esposito | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| P. Sučić | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Thuram sub | 45 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| C. Jones sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Carlos Augusto sub | 28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Bonny sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
Napoli Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Spinazzola | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| Amir Rrahmani | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Rafa Marín | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Zambo Anguissa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Meret | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Alisson Santos | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Lobotka | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Højlund | 72 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Vergara | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.5 |
| M. Politano | 62 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| K. De Bruyne sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| David Neres sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Lucca sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Billy Gilmour sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| B. Badiashile sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Inter v Napoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-11 Inter 2–2 Napoli
- 2025-10-25 Napoli 3–1 Inter
- 2025-03-01 Napoli 1–1 Inter
- 2024-11-10 Inter 1–1 Napoli
- 2024-03-17 Inter 1–1 Napoli
- 2024-01-22 Napoli 0–1 Inter
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Inter 3.88 xG from 29 shots, Napoli 2.41 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 29 | 3 | 3.88 |
| Napoli | 16 | 2 | 2.41 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, xG was level: Inter 0.31, Napoli 0.41. At full time, Inter led on xG, 3.88 to 2.41. The widest gap was 1.92 xG to Inter, in the 87th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Inter v Napoli?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v Napoli was Home win (best price 1.67 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Napoli?
- In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 1, Napoli won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Inter and Napoli?
- Recent form — Inter 3W 2D 0L; Napoli 3W 0D 2L.
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