This Matchweek

InterNapoli

Inter v Napoli result

Full-time · Inter 3–2 Napoli

Serie A · · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter 3–2 Napoli — Inter won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.67 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Inter: 3.88 to 2.41 in expected goals, from 29 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the 55th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Inter beat Napoli 3–2 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on Saturday 5 September. Inter are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Napoli: Matteo Politano (50’) and Rasmus Højlund (53’, assisted by Giovanni Di Lorenzo); Inter: Lautaro Martínez (56’, assisted by Federico Dimarco; 90’, assisted by Manuel Akanji) and M. Thuram (82’, assisted by Carlos Augusto).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lautaro Martínez’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

S. Sozza showed three yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Inter: Lautaro Martínez (68’); Napoli: Antonio Vergara (35’) and Rafa Marín (77’).

What it changes

Inter stay first after this result (three league matches played). Inter have scored 26 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Inter have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Napoli move down from ninth to 10th (three league matches played). Napoli have scored 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Napoli have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

It is Inter’s first win over Napoli since 22 January 2024, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Inter have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Napoli have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lautaro Martínez (Inter) 10.2, Manuel Akanji (Inter) 8.2 and Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli) 7.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Napoli are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Inter.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Inter to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Inter next host Como on 8 November 2026.

Napoli next host Lazio on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Inter: Inter v Como, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Napoli: Napoli v Lazio, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Inter 3–2 Napoli · Serie A
  • Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan
  • Referee: S. Sozza
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 1 · draws 4 · Napoli 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter 3W 2D 0L · Napoli 3W 0D 2L

Inter 3–2 Napoli (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5.5
Corners
against 3.5 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 0.88
Cards
against 1.63 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.33 yellows
Referee · S. Sozza
24.11 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameInter for / againstLineNapoli for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
15.38 for · 9.63 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 2.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
8.25 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
0.88 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: S. Sozza — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 24.11 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Josep Martínez290180 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Josep Martínez n 890
2.14/2

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bastoni290180 min52.5 /9000 /9000 /9094.5 /9021 /9000 /90
M. Akanji272143 min10.6 /9042.5 /9000 /9074.4 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
J. Stones21937 min24.9 /9000 /9000 /90921.9 /9012.4 /9000 /90
B. Pavard19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
Y. Bisseck19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
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Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bastoni n 869.8
2.17/3
0.32/0
Amir Rrahmani
N. Barella n 879.8
0.75/0
0.42/1
S. Lobotka
F. Dimarco n 872.5
0.53/0
0.84/1
S. Lobotka
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
—
F. Esposito n 856.4
14/1
2.85/3
—
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Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bastoni n 869.8
2.46/3
N. Barella n 879.8
1.47/3
F. Dimarco n 872.5
0.32/0
F. Esposito n 856.4
0.63/0
Lautaro Martínez n 861.8
1.35/2
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Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Esposito278155 min10.6 /9010.6 /9063.5 /9031.7 /9042.3 /9000 /90
Lautaro Martínez272144 min00 /9000 /9074.4 /9010.6 /9021.3 /9010.6 /90
M. Thuram12525 min00 /9000 /9027.2 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Dimarco290180 min00 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /9094.5 /9010.5 /90
N. Barella290180 min00 /9010.5 /9042 /9021 /9042 /9063 /90
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Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Barella n 879.8
1.46/4
0.31/1
F. Dimarco n 872.5
1.15/2
0.95/1
A. Bastoni n 869.8
0.52/1
0.21/0
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Esposito n 856.4
24/4
14/1
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Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Dimarco n 872.5
0.21/0
0.31/1
N. Barella n 879.8
00/0
0.11/0
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Bastoni n 869.8
00/0
00/0
F. Esposito n 856.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
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Napoli

Napoli Goalkeeper

Napoli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Meret290180 min63 /9021 /9000 /90
Napoli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Meret n 888.8
2.25/2

Napoli Defensive

Napoli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Amir Rrahmani290180 min73.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90199.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Giovanni Di Lorenzo290180 min52.5 /9000 /9021 /9094.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
Rafa Marín286171 min31.6 /9031.6 /9031.6 /9063.2 /9042.1 /9000 /90
L. Spinazzola262124 min00 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Olivera15656 min23.2 /9000 /9000 /9023.2 /9000 /9000 /90
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Napoli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Amir Rrahmani n 886.3
1.25/2
0.74/1
A. Bastoni
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 882.3
0.75/0
0.75/0
—
S. Lobotka n 873.8
0.32/0
1.87/3
F. Dimarco
A. Meret n 888.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
Rafa Marín n 561
1.83/2
1.23/1
—
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Napoli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 882.3
1.66/4
Amir Rrahmani n 886.3
1.35/2
S. Lobotka n 873.8
0.94/2
Rafa Marín n 561
1.23/1
R. Højlund n 883.6
00/0
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Napoli Attacking

Napoli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Højlund279158 min10.6 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
M. Politano279157 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.6 /90
Alisson Santos250100 min00 /9000 /9032.7 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /90
N. Lang24080 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /90
S. Lobotka290180 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
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Napoli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Amir Rrahmani n 886.3
0.95/2
0.43/0
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 882.3
0.42/1
0.32/0
S. Lobotka n 873.8
0.21/0
00/0
A. Meret n 888.8
00/0
00/0
Rafa Marín n 561
0.61/1
0.31/0
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Napoli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Napoli before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Amir Rrahmani n 886.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Meret n 888.8
00/0
0.11/0
Giovanni Di Lorenzo n 882.3
0.11/0
00/0
S. Lobotka n 873.8
00/0
00/0
Rafa Marín n 561
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
InterNapoli
63%Possession37%
3.86Expected goals (xG)2.43
29Shots16
8Shots on target7
14Shots off target4
7Blocked shots5
20Shots inside the box13
10Corners5
1Offsides2
7Fouls7
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
6Saves5
544Passes340
89%Pass accuracy78%

Inter Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Akanji9001201407.6
Josep Martínez9000000007.5
N. Barella9000112206.3
Y. Bisseck9000201307
Andy Diouf9000217308.2
Lautaro Martínez90204322Y8.9
A. Bastoni7900000307
P. Zieliński7200111207.5
F. Dimarco6201403207.9
F. Esposito4500210006.7
P. Sučić4500000007
M. Thuram sub4510411007.3
C. Jones sub4500001206.6
Carlos Augusto sub2801001107
H. Çalhanoğlu sub1800002107.2
A. Bonny sub1100000306.7

Napoli Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Spinazzola9000002005.6
Amir Rrahmani9000000106.3
Rafa Marín90001012Y6.3
Giovanni Di Lorenzo9001002406.2
A. Zambo Anguissa9000210006.6
A. Meret9000000007
Alisson Santos8000112207.2
S. Lobotka7900110306.9
R. Højlund7210220007.3
A. Vergara62000012Y6.5
M. Politano6210221007.3
K. De Bruyne sub2800001006.2
David Neres sub2800100006.3
L. Lucca sub1800101006.5
Billy Gilmour sub1100000006.2
B. Badiashile sub1000000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Inter v Napoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
InterWDDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
NapoliLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter 1 · 4 draws · Napoli 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-11 Inter 2–2 Napoli
  • 2025-10-25 Napoli 3–1 Inter
  • 2025-03-01 Napoli 1–1 Inter
  • 2024-11-10 Inter 1–1 Napoli
  • 2024-03-17 Inter 1–1 Napoli
  • 2024-01-22 Napoli 0–1 Inter
League standing · 2026/27
Inter#2 pos25 pts10 pl+13 GD
Napoli#8 pos14 pts10 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Inter scored2.6
Napoli scored1.7
Inter conceded1.3
Napoli conceded1.3

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Inter 3.88 xG from 29 shots, Napoli 2.41 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Franck Zambo 88' · 0.93 xGMarcus Thuram 72' · 0.54 xGDavid Neres 87' · 0.37 xGMarcus Thuram 87' · 0.32 xGLautaro Martínez 60' · 0.14 xGManuel Akanji 90' · 0.13 xGFranck Zambo 52' · 0.11 xGFranck Zambo 5' · 0.10 xGRasmus Højlund 45' · 0.10 xGFranck Zambo 28' · 0.09 xGMatteo Politano 49' · 0.09 xGLautaro Martínez 54' · 0.08 xGFederico Dimarco 48' · 0.07 xGLautaro Martínez 58' · 0.07 xGMarcus Thuram 64' · 0.07 xGMatteo Politano 5' · 0.06 xGAndy Diouf 1' · 0.06 xGYann Bisseck 35' · 0.06 xGLorenzo Lucca 88' · 0.06 xGManuel Akanji 73' · 0.05 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 24' · 0.05 xGLautaro Martínez 46' · 0.05 xGMarcus Thuram 77' · 0.05 xGAndy Diouf 66' · 0.04 xGFrancesco Pio Esposito 11' · 0.04 xGAlisson Santos 75' · 0.04 xGAlisson Santos 52' · 0.04 xGNicolò Barella 89' · 0.04 xGPiotr Zielinski 10' · 0.04 xGRafa Marín 45' · 0.04 xGPiotr Zielinski 51' · 0.03 xGPiotr Zielinski 8' · 0.03 xGYann Bisseck 62' · 0.02 xGAlisson Santos 21' · 0.02 xGStanislav Lobotka 49' · 0.02 xGFederico Dimarco 59' · 0.02 xGFederico Dimarco 22' · 0.02 xGFederico Dimarco 54' · 0.02 xGPiotr Zielinski 1' · 0.01 xGCurtis Jones 55' · 0.01 xGLautaro Martínez 55' · 0.79 xG · goalLautaro Martínez 90' · 0.73 xG · goalMatteo Politano 49' · 0.32 xG · goalMarcus Thuram 81' · 0.31 xG · goalRasmus Højlund 52' · 0.04 xG · goal
Inter (attacking right)Napoli (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Inter2933.88
Napoli1622.41

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Inter 0.31, Napoli 0.41. At full time, Inter led on xG, 3.88 to 2.41. The widest gap was 1.92 xG to Inter, in the 87th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.91.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Napoli 49 minGoal - Napoli 52 minGoal - Inter 55 minGoal - Inter 81 minGoal - Inter 90 min
Inter 3.88 xGNapoli 2.41 xGdots = goals · 45 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter v Napoli?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v Napoli was Home win (best price 1.67 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Napoli?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 1, Napoli won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter and Napoli?
Recent form — Inter 3W 2D 0L; Napoli 3W 0D 2L.

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