This Matchweek

InterComo

Inter v Como prediction

Serie A ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Inter v Como, Serie A on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.52 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Inter host Como in Serie A on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Inter have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Como have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Como have won their last six matches in all competitions. Inter are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Como, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

12 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 10 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Inter have six wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.57 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.57. Inter have scored 26 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Inter have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

10 of Como’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Como’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Como have six wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 2.11 points per game, scoring 3.11 and conceding 1.33. Como have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Como have conceded eight goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Inter (second) and Como (fourth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Inter the stronger side, 19 rating points above Como (Inter 1911, Como 1892, after at least 86 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Inter 3–2 Como.

Team news

Predicted Inter XI (3-5-2): J. Martínez, M. Akanji, Y. Bisseck, A. Bastoni, N. Barella, H. Çalhanoğlu, F. Dimarco, A. Diouf, P. Zieliński, M. Thuram, F. Esposito — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lautaro Martínez (5.8 per match over seven appearances, six goals and one assist) and Carlos Augusto (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Inter’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Inter (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lautaro Martínez averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 1203 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Carlos Augusto averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 798 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Como XI (4-2-3-1): J. Butez, J. Naveros, M. Kempf, Y. Couto, Á. Valle, L. Da Cunha, L. Milla, M. Perrone, N. Paz, M. Caqueret, T. Douvikas — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Paz (8.4 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and eight assists) and Assane Diao (5.7 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Como’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Como (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Paz averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1327 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Assane Diao averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 602 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter 5 · draws 1 · Como 0 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter 4W 0D 1L · Como 5W 0D 0L

Inter v Como (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 3
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.75
Corners
against 2.88 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7.25 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.5
Cards
against 2 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameInter for / againstLineComo for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
3 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
19.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
7.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
6.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 9.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8

Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Josep Martínez12901080 min342.8 /90151.3 /9000 /90
I. Provedel290180 min52.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Josep Martínez n 890
2.57/3

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Akanji1283993 min171.5 /90252.3 /9050.5 /90524.7 /9080.7 /9040.4 /90
A. Bastoni1282978 min211.9 /9070.6 /9060.6 /90403.7 /90121.1 /9040.4 /90
Y. Bisseck1281968 min191.8 /90141.3 /9060.6 /90444.1 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
Carlos Augusto1173798 min121.4 /90131.5 /9010.1 /90485.4 /9070.8 /9020.2 /90
B. Pavard463253 min72.5 /9031.1 /9000 /90134.6 /9031.1 /9000 /90
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Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Barella n 879.8
1.76/2
0.85/1
—
M. Thuram n 877.5
2.28/4
1.55/3
—
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
—
M. Akanji n 883.8
0.75/0
0.85/1
—
A. Bastoni n 878.6
1.37/2
0.32/0
—
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Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Barella n 879.8
1.44/3
M. Thuram n 877.5
1.54/4
M. Akanji n 883.8
1.55/3
A. Bastoni n 878.6
1.66/3
Y. Bisseck n 876
1.24/3
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Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Thuram1370909 min50.5 /9020.2 /90363.6 /90171.7 /90141.4 /90111.1 /90
F. Esposito1061611 min30.4 /9010.1 /90152.2 /90101.5 /9081.2 /9010.1 /90
A. Bonny938346 min20.5 /9000 /90123.1 /9092.3 /9041 /9071.8 /90
Lautaro Martínez776532 min61 /9010.2 /90305.1 /90122 /90122 /9050.8 /90
Luis Henrique638226 min00 /9000 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9052 /90
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Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Barella n 879.8
1.46/3
0.32/0
M. Thuram n 877.5
38/6
1.67/2
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Akanji n 883.8
0.84/1
0.11/0
A. Bastoni n 878.6
0.74/1
0.32/0
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Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Barella n 879.8
00/0
0.32/0
M. Thuram n 877.5
0.43/0
00/0
Josep Martínez n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Akanji n 883.8
00/0
00/0
A. Bastoni n 878.6
0.11/0
00/0
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Como

Como Goalkeeper

Como — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jean Butez1190990 min242.2 /9060.5 /9000 /90
Robert Sánchez390270 min103.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Como — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jean Butez n 890
2.56/4
Robert Sánchez n 390
3.33/3

Como Defensive

Como — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jacobo Ramón Naveros14861201 min322.4 /90120.9 /9040.3 /90765.7 /90100.7 /9020.1 /90
Yan Couto13781018 min151.3 /90100.9 /9010.1 /90312.7 /90111 /9020.2 /90
Álex Valle1082818 min171.9 /90121.3 /9050.6 /90323.5 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
M. Kempf973661 min60.8 /9040.5 /9030.4 /90233.1 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
Kaiki958523 min142.4 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90406.9 /90101.7 /9010.2 /90
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Como — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 882.6
0.72/1
0.11/0
—
T. Douvikas n 878.9
0.32/0
1.35/3
—
Lucas Da Cunha n 871.3
0.84/1
0.63/1
—
M. Perrone n 867.6
14/2
0.83/2
—
N. Paz n 879
1.75/4
1.66/4
—
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Como — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 882.6
2.56/4
T. Douvikas n 878.9
00/0
Lucas Da Cunha n 871.3
0.83/2
M. Perrone n 867.6
1.75/3
N. Paz n 879
1.96/5
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Como Attacking

Como — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Douvikas14721013 min111 /9010.1 /90322.8 /90201.8 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90
Jesús Rodríguez548242 min00 /9000 /9062.2 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9093.3 /90
M. Kean440158 min00 /9010.6 /9042.3 /9031.7 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90
J. Addai23365 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /9011.4 /90
Lucas Da Cunha1468951 min20.2 /9010.1 /90181.7 /9080.8 /90171.6 /90111 /90
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Como — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 882.6
1.14/3
0.42/1
T. Douvikas n 878.9
38/8
1.65/4
Lucas Da Cunha n 871.3
1.97/4
0.94/2
M. Perrone n 867.6
0.52/1
0.21/0
N. Paz n 879
4.88/8
2.16/5
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Como — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 882.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
T. Douvikas n 878.9
1.15/2
0.11/0
Lucas Da Cunha n 871.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Perrone n 867.6
00/0
0.21/0
N. Paz n 879
0.74/1
0.74/1
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The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Inter v Como — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
InterWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
ComoWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter 5 · 1 draw · Como 0 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-21 Inter 3–2 Como
  • 2026-04-12 Como 3–4 Inter
  • 2026-03-03 Como 0–0 Inter
  • 2025-12-06 Inter 4–0 Como
  • 2025-05-23 Como 0–2 Inter
  • 2024-12-23 Inter 2–0 Como
League standing · 2026/27
Inter#2 pos25 pts10 pl+13 GD
Como#4 pos23 pts10 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Inter scored2.6
Como scored1.8
Inter conceded1.3
Como conceded0.8

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Inter v Como?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter v Como is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.52 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Como?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter won 5, Como won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter and Como?
Recent form — Inter 4W 0D 1L; Como 5W 0D 0L.

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