Lazio v Monza result

Full-time · Lazio 3–1 Monza

Serie A · · Stadio Olimpico

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lazio · Monza · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lazio 3–1 Monza — Lazio won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.82 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 188 landed (95% range 71.2–83%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Lazio beat Monza 3–1 at Stadio Olimpico in Serie A on Sunday 11 October.

Monza have scored in eight consecutive matches.

The goals

Lazio led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Lazio: Nuno Tavares (3’, assisted by Tijjani Noslin), Gustav Isaksen (23’, assisted by Tijjani Noslin) and Andrea Pinamonti (88’, assisted by Pedraza); Monza: Saba Goglichidze (46’, assisted by Dany Mota). Lorenzo Lucchesi (35’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nuno Tavares’s goal on 3 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Lazio 1.59, Monza 1.91, from 17 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

What it changes

Lazio move up from third to second (six league matches played). Lazio are unbeaten in their last six matches. Lazio have scored in six consecutive matches.

Monza move down from 14th to 15th (six league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dany Mota (Monza) 7.8, Tijjani Noslin (Lazio) 7.6 and Nuno Tavares (Lazio) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lazio to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (146 of 188).

Next up

Lazio next travel to Juventus on 18 October 2026.

Monza next host Cagliari on 19 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lazio: Juventus v Lazio, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Monza: Monza v Cagliari, Monday 19 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Lazio 3–1 Monza · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico · Roma
  • Referee: Guiseppe Collu
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lazio 4 · draws 2 · Monza 0 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lazio 4W 1D 0L · Monza 2W 1D 2L

Lazio 3–1 Monza (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 1 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.75
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.75
Cards
against 3.13 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLazio for / againstLineMonza for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 12 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Lazio
Lazio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Cancellieri n 864.3
2.17/4
2.15/4
—
L. Pellegrini n 872.5
27/4
0.52/1
—
G. Isaksen n 841.6
1.95/2
3.87/3
—
A. Pinamonti n 838.9
1.75/1
1.44/1
—
R. Floriani Mussolini n 868.3
1.56/2
0.21/0
L. Lucchesi
Lazio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Isaksen n 841.6
2.44/2
0.52/0
M. Cancellieri n 864.3
2.38/3
1.15/1
T. Noslin n 856.6
27/3
13/2
A. Pinamonti n 838.9
23/2
1.22/1
M. Zaccagni n 883.5
1.96/4
0.94/2
Lazio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Noslin n 856.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
D. Frattesi n 868.3
0.53/0
00/0
M. Zaccagni n 883.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
F. Dele-Bashiru n 856.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Nuno Tavares n 855.3
00/0
0.42/0
Lazio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Belahyane n 855.6
2.65/4
M. Cancellieri n 864.3
2.37/4
Nuno Tavares n 855.3
2.25/4
R. Floriani Mussolini n 868.3
26/4
N. Rovella n 860.3
1.96/3
Lazio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Mandas n 880
4.16/5
Monza
Monza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bakoune n 854
2.55/3
13/2
—
L. Lucchesi n 868.4
27/3
0.82/2
R. Floriani Mussolini
P. Cutrone n 855.6
26/3
1.84/3
—
E. Akinsanmiro n 866.5
1.96/2
16/0
—
L. Colombo n 849.3
1.85/2
1.13/1
—
Monza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Cutrone n 855.6
3.27/5
1.65/2
Y. Maye n 328.7
3.12/1
11/0
A. Colpani n 849.5
2.56/4
1.66/1
Gustavo Varela n 873.5
2.17/5
1.26/2
Jay Robinson n 844
24/3
13/1
Monza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gustavo Varela n 873.5
0.94/2
0.21/0
Ricardo Mangas n 866.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
P. Cutrone n 855.6
00/0
0.41/1
M. Mout n 639.5
00/0
0.41/0
S. Birindelli n 879.6
00/0
0.32/0
Monza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bakoune n 854
55/4
M. Mout n 639.5
3.44/3
E. Kouadio n 880.1
3.17/5
Jay Robinson n 844
3.17/3
Y. Maye n 328.7
3.11/1
Monza — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Törnqvist n 890
2.55/3
S. Pizzignacco n 889.1
2.14/3
D. Thiam n 891.1
1.53/1

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LazioMonza
66%Possession34%
1.59Expected goals (xG)1.91
17Shots14
7Shots on target6
8Shots off target3
2Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box10
7Corners6
0Offsides2
10Fouls9
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
5Saves4
596Passes300

Lazio player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Belahyane9000111207.2
R. Floriani Mussolini9000202307.2
G. Isaksen9010410007.6
Kenneth Taylor9000210006.6
M. Zaccagni9000211106.3
C. Mandas9000000007.9
T. Noslin7502113008.1
Nuno Tavares7510211107.4
D. Frattesi6000201206.7
O. Provstgaard60000001Y6.4
D. Doekhi53000002Y6.7
Diogo Leite37000001Y6.6
J. Šutalo3000000006.9
F. Dele-Bashiru3000001006.5
A. Pinamonti1510111007.4
Pedraza1501001006.9

Monza player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gustavo Varela9000100106.2
E. Kouadio9000000506.2
S. Birindelli9000402106.5
E. Akinsanmiro9000101106.3
N. Törnqvist9000000006
Ricardo Mangas7000002005.7
S. Goglichidze5410110107.2
E. Zeballos4500100005.8
M. Folorunsho4500000006.4
A. Carboni45000011Y5.4
Y. Maye4500110106.6
Dany Mota4501542207.6
Manga Foe Ondoa4500000005.8
C. Ngonge3600002005.9
L. Lucchesi35000000R5
A. Bakoune2000001005.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lazio v Monza — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LazioWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
MonzaLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lazio 4 · 2 draws · Monza 0 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-02-09 Lazio 5–1 Monza
  • 2024-11-10 Monza 0–1 Lazio
  • 2024-05-04 Monza 2–2 Lazio
  • 2023-09-23 Lazio 1–1 Monza
  • 2023-04-02 Monza 0–2 Lazio
  • 2022-11-10 Lazio 1–0 Monza
League standing · 2026/27
Lazio#2 pos16 pts6 pl+7 GD
Monza#16 pos4 pts6 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Lazio scored1.83
Monza scored1.5
Lazio conceded0.67
Monza conceded2.5

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Lazio vs Monza?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lazio v Monza was Home win (best price 1.82 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Lazio and Monza?
In their last 6 meetings, Lazio won 4, Monza won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lazio and Monza?
Recent form — Lazio 4W 1D 0L; Monza 2W 1D 2L.

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