LecceAtalanta

Lecce v Atalanta prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Via del Mare

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lecce v Atalanta, Serie A on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lecce host Atalanta in Serie A on Sunday 29 November (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Atalanta are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Lecce, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Lecce have two wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.86. Lecce have scored 11 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Lecce have conceded 21 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Atalanta have one win, one draw and four defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.67 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.83. Atalanta have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Atalanta have conceded 20 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.

Lecce have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Atalanta are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Lecce (14th) and Atalanta (13th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atalanta the stronger side, 18 rating points above Lecce (Atalanta 1460, Lecce 1442, after at least 200 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Lecce 0–3 Atalanta.

Team news

Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, T. Gabriel, A. Gallo, D. Veiga, J. Siebert, O. Ngom, Y. Maleh, M. Kaba, K. N’Dri, A. Ahmed Fatah, N. Štulić — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lassana Coulibaly (3.9 per match over eight appearances, two goals and one assist) and Danilo Veiga (3.7 per match over 11 appearances, two assists) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lassana Coulibaly averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 669 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Danilo Veiga averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 990 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Atalanta XI (4-3-3): M. Carnesecchi, R. Obrić, L. Bernasconi, D. Zappacosta, G. Scalvini, Éderson, E. Elmas, M. Pašalić, N. Krstović, G. Scamacca, N. Zalewski — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Charles De Ketelaere (3.9 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and four assists) and Nikola Krstović (3.7 per match over 14 appearances, seven goals and two assists) have been Atalanta’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atalanta (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Charles De Ketelaere averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 1806 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Nikola Krstović averages 3.9 shots per 90 over 1104 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Via del Mare
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lecce 0 · draws 1 · Atalanta 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lecce 1W 0D 4L · Atalanta 0W 3D 2L

Lecce v Atalanta (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.13 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 6.5
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 5.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.5
Cards
against 0.63 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLecce for / againstLineAtalanta for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
17.25 for · 15.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 8.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2 against n 8

Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Falcone1190990 min403.6 /90161.5 /9000 /90
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
3.45/4

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Danilo Veiga1190990 min282.5 /90131.2 /9030.3 /90575.2 /90141.3 /9030.3 /90
A. Gallo1086855 min181.9 /9090.9 /9040.4 /90293.1 /9010.1 /9000 /90
Tiago Gabriel1075751 min151.8 /90151.8 /9020.2 /90536.4 /90101.2 /9010.1 /90
J. Siebert978699 min222.8 /90111.4 /9030.4 /90465.9 /90121.5 /9030.4 /90
Kialonda Gaspar787606 min213.1 /9060.9 /9040.6 /90405.9 /9081.2 /9030.4 /90
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Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Danilo Veiga n 890
1.56/3
1.47/2
—
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
O. Ngom n 862.9
1.86/4
0.53/0
—
Y. Maleh n 870.3
1.66/4
0.85/0
—
A. Gallo n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 890
2.87/5
O. Ngom n 862.9
2.77/4
Y. Maleh n 870.3
1.96/4
A. Gallo n 890
2.37/6
Tiago Gabriel n 880.6
2.17/5
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Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. N’Dri1058581 min10.2 /9000 /90142.2 /9071.1 /9081.2 /90132 /90
A. Ahmed Fatah941368 min10.2 /9000 /9092.2 /9041 /9030.7 /90163.9 /90
S. Pierotti866527 min00 /9000 /9030.5 /9020.3 /9040.7 /9061 /90
N. Štulić852414 min00 /9000 /90112.4 /9040.9 /9020.4 /9000 /90
Paco Esteban733234 min00 /9000 /9072.7 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9031.2 /90
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Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
Danilo Veiga n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Ngom n 862.9
1.45/2
0.74/0
Y. Maleh n 870.3
1.15/1
0.21/0
A. Gallo n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 890
00/0
0.32/0
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Ngom n 862.9
00/0
00/0
Y. Maleh n 870.3
0.21/0
00/0
A. Gallo n 890
00/0
0.11/0
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Atalanta

Atalanta Goalkeeper

Atalanta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Carnesecchi15901350 min583.9 /90191.3 /9010.1 /90
Atalanta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
3.27/5

Atalanta Defensive

Atalanta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Bernasconi1266795 min151.7 /9091 /9000 /90202.3 /9020.2 /9000 /90
G. Scalvini1182899 min121.2 /9080.8 /9070.7 /90363.6 /90111.1 /9000 /90
D. Zappacosta1169754 min202.4 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90313.7 /9040.5 /9000 /90
R. Bellanova981726 min60.7 /90141.7 /9030.4 /90182.2 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
S. Kolašinac855442 min51 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90112.2 /9030.6 /9000 /90
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Atalanta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Éderson n 872.5
2.26/5
0.84/1
—
C. De Ketelaere n 871.3
0.83/2
0.64/0
—
N. Krstović n 868.8
1.84/3
1.65/3
—
L. Bernasconi n 874.1
0.21/0
00/0
—
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Atalanta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Éderson n 872.5
1.96/4
C. De Ketelaere n 871.3
0.94/2
N. Krstović n 868.8
0.83/2
L. Bernasconi n 874.1
1.76/3
N. Zalewski n 854
2.35/2
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Atalanta Attacking

Atalanta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. De Ketelaere1468955 min10.1 /9040.4 /90141.3 /9050.5 /90343.2 /90212 /90
N. Krstović1455767 min70.8 /9020.2 /90333.9 /90151.8 /9080.9 /9070.8 /90
Gianluca Scamacca1153585 min30.5 /9000 /90152.3 /9091.4 /9071.1 /9020.3 /90
G. Raspadori656336 min20.5 /9010.3 /9071.9 /9051.3 /9041.1 /9020.5 /90
Éderson15781177 min20.2 /9000 /90120.9 /9080.6 /9060.5 /9040.3 /90
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Atalanta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
Éderson n 872.5
1.14/2
0.83/2
C. De Ketelaere n 871.3
2.26/4
0.84/1
N. Krstović n 868.8
3.96/6
1.86/3
L. Bernasconi n 874.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Atalanta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atalanta before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Carnesecchi n 890
00/0
00/0
Éderson n 872.5
0.21/0
00/0
C. De Ketelaere n 871.3
0.21/0
0.53/0
N. Krstović n 868.8
14/2
0.32/0
L. Bernasconi n 874.1
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lecce v Atalanta — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LecceLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
AtalantaLDDLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lecce 0 · 1 draw · Atalanta 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-06 Lecce 0–3 Atalanta
  • 2025-09-14 Atalanta 4–1 Lecce
  • 2025-04-27 Atalanta 1–1 Lecce
  • 2024-08-19 Lecce 0–4 Atalanta
  • 2024-05-18 Lecce 0–2 Atalanta
  • 2023-12-30 Atalanta 1–0 Lecce
League standing · 2026/27
Lecce#14 pos9 pts10 pl-10 GD
Atalanta#13 pos11 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Lecce scored1.1
Atalanta scored1.6
Lecce conceded2.1
Atalanta conceded2

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Atalanta?
In their last 6 meetings, Lecce won 0, Atalanta won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lecce and Atalanta?
Recent form — Lecce 1W 0D 4L; Atalanta 0W 3D 2L.

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