LecceFiorentina

Lecce v Fiorentina result

Full-time · Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lecce · Fiorentina · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 834 of 1,292 times (64.6%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lecce: 1.81 to 1.26 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 80th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Lecce and Fiorentina drew 1–1 in Serie A on Monday 20 April.

The goals

Fiorentina led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Fiorentina: J. Harrison (30’, assisted by Rolando Mandragora); Lecce: Tiago Gabriel (71’, assisted by Antonino Gallo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tiago Gabriel’s goal on 71 minutes.

Discipline

F. Maresca showed six yellow cards — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lecce: Santiago Pierotti (62’) and Tiago Gabriel (72’); Fiorentina: David de Gea (76’), Marin Pongračić (79’), Jacopo Fazzini (82’) and Manor Solomon (90+1’).

What it changes

Lecce stay 18th after this result (33 league matches played).

Fiorentina stay 15th after this result (33 league matches played).

Lecce are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Y. Ramadani (Lecce) 6.4, Antonino Gallo (Lecce) 6.0 and Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Fiorentina, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Lecce next travel to Lazio on 22 November 2026.

Fiorentina next host Juventus on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lecce: Lazio v Lecce, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Fiorentina: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina · Serie A
  • Referee: F. Maresca
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lecce 2 · draws 1 · Fiorentina 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lecce 1W 0D 4L · Fiorentina 3W 1D 1L

Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4.38
Corners
against 7.13 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.56 yellows
Referee · F. Maresca
27.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLecce for / againstLineFiorentina for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.25 for · 7.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
8.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
1.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 15.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: F. Maresca — 5.56 yellow cards a game, 0.78 red cards, 27.67 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Falcone33902970 min932.8 /90451.4 /9020.1 /90
Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 890
2.66/4

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Tiago Gabriel33892939 min621.9 /90431.3 /90170.5 /902156.6 /90240.7 /9040.1 /90
A. Gallo33802646 min551.9 /90140.5 /9070.2 /90983.3 /9070.2 /9020.1 /90
Danilo Veiga32822631 min852.9 /90260.9 /90140.5 /901816.2 /90401.4 /9060.2 /90
Kialonda Gaspar23861983 min251.1 /90211 /90221 /901014.6 /90130.6 /9060.3 /90
J. Siebert14841173 min171.3 /90100.8 /90201.5 /90463.5 /90191.5 /9030.2 /90
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Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Tiago Gabriel n 889.3
0.43/0
1.15/2
L. Ranieri
A. Gallo n 883
0.11/0
0.53/1
Dodô
S. Pierotti n 878.8
2.16/5
1.13/3
—
Y. Ramadani n 886.8
0.85/1
1.98/4
Rolando Mandragora
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Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tiago Gabriel n 889.3
2.37/4
A. Gallo n 883
0.96/1
S. Pierotti n 878.8
3.17/7
Y. Ramadani n 886.8
2.37/6
Danilo Veiga n 887.1
2.68/5
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Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Štulić26601564 min30.2 /9000 /90181 /9080.5 /90171 /9040.2 /90
R. Sottil19551047 min10.1 /9020.2 /9090.8 /9020.2 /90242.1 /90121 /90
Tete Morente1756950 min00 /9000 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90100.9 /90111 /90
F. Camarda1743728 min10.1 /9010.1 /9081 /9040.5 /9040.5 /9030.4 /90
W. Cheddira1155610 min00 /9000 /9050.7 /9020.3 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90
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Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Gabriel n 889.3
0.42/1
00/0
A. Gallo n 883
00/0
00/0
S. Pierotti n 878.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
Y. Ramadani n 886.8
18/0
0.32/0
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Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Falcone n 890
00/0
00/0
Tiago Gabriel n 889.3
00/0
00/0
A. Gallo n 883
00/0
0.32/0
S. Pierotti n 878.8
0.11/0
00/0
Y. Ramadani n 886.8
0.11/0
00/0
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Fiorentina

Fiorentina Goalkeeper

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David de Gea40903601 min1243.1 /90521.3 /9010 /90
O. Christensen390270 min82.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
T. Martinelli290180 min63 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David de Gea n 890
3.47/4

Fiorentina Defensive

Fiorentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Pongračić40833335 min421.1 /90441.2 /90280.8 /901494 /90752 /90120.3 /90
Dodô38853228 min280.8 /90270.8 /9040.1 /901504.2 /90230.6 /9090.3 /90
L. Ranieri37792905 min391.2 /90260.8 /90120.4 /901314.1 /90270.8 /9090.3 /90
P. Comuzzo31772372 min471.8 /90341.3 /90190.7 /901033.9 /90321.2 /9050.2 /90
R. Gosens29712069 min331.4 /90180.8 /9060.3 /90984.3 /90221 /9030.1 /90
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Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David de Gea n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Pongračić n 874
2.36/4
0.64/0
—
Dodô n 879.8
1.47/2
0.85/1
A. Gallo
Rolando Mandragora n 881.5
1.25/3
2.37/5
Y. Ramadani
L. Ranieri n 889.9
0.43/0
15/3
Tiago Gabriel
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Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Pongračić n 874
1.46/3
Dodô n 879.8
0.73/2
Rolando Mandragora n 881.5
1.86/5
L. Ranieri n 889.9
1.17/1
A. Guðmundsson n 878
0.94/2
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Fiorentina Attacking

Fiorentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Guðmundsson37662443 min90.3 /9060.2 /90341.3 /90190.7 /90331.2 /90261 /90
R. Piccoli32652085 min70.3 /9020.1 /90522.2 /90210.9 /90210.9 /9070.3 /90
M. Kean31742308 min80.3 /9010 /90863.4 /90351.4 /9060.2 /90281.1 /90
J. Harrison16681086 min00 /9030.2 /9050.4 /9020.2 /90141.2 /90171.4 /90
E. Džeko1352680 min20.3 /9000 /90121.6 /9081.1 /90101.3 /9040.5 /90
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Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Pongračić n 874
00/0
00/0
Dodô n 879.8
0.85/1
0.43/0
Rolando Mandragora n 881.5
1.25/3
0.43/0
L. Ranieri n 889.9
00/0
00/0
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Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 16 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Pongračić n 874
00/0
00/0
Dodô n 879.8
0.11/0
00/0
Rolando Mandragora n 881.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
L. Ranieri n 889.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LecceFiorentina
55%Possession45%
1.26Expected goals (xG)1.14
14Shots5
4Shots on target3
7Shots off target2
3Blocked shots0
9Shots inside the box4
5Corners2
2Offsides1
8Fouls13
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves2
373Passes327
79%Pass accuracy77%

Lecce Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Falcone9000000006.3
Danilo Veiga9000001207.2
J. Siebert9000000106.3
Tiago Gabriel90101110Y7.2
Y. Ramadani9000100408
S. Pierotti90002004Y6.6
L. Coulibaly9000101206.7
A. Gallo8501004107
O. Ngom5700110307
W. Cheddira5700210006.3
K. N’Dri5600100206.9
L. Banda sub3400110207.3
O. Gandelman sub3300001006.9
N. Štulić sub3300101006.7
C. Ndaba sub1000000006.9

Fiorentina Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David de Gea90000000Y6.2
Dodô9000001207.5
M. Pongračić90000000Y6.9
L. Ranieri9000000306.9
Rolando Mandragora9001221206.6
R. Piccoli9000100005.9
N. Fagioli8000001307.9
C. Ndour8000100105.6
J. Harrison8010111107.3
A. Guðmundsson6000000006.2
R. Gosens1100000006.6
L. Balbo sub7900001406.3
M. Solomon sub30000000Y6.2
M. Brescianini sub1000000006.7
G. Fabbian sub1000000006.7
J. Fazzini sub10000002Y6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lecce v Fiorentina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LecceWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
FiorentinaDWLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lecce 2 · 1 draw · Fiorentina 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-11-02 Fiorentina 0–1 Lecce
  • 2025-02-28 Fiorentina 1–0 Lecce
  • 2024-10-20 Lecce 0–6 Fiorentina
  • 2024-02-02 Lecce 3–2 Fiorentina
  • 2023-08-27 Fiorentina 2–2 Lecce
  • 2023-03-19 Fiorentina 1–0 Lecce
League standing · 2025/26
Lecce#17 pos38 pts38 pl-22 GD
Fiorentina#15 pos42 pts38 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Lecce scored0.74
Fiorentina scored1.08
Lecce conceded1.32
Fiorentina conceded1.32

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lecce 1.81 xG from 14 shots, Fiorentina 1.26 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Roberto Piccoli 37' · 0.76 xGNikola Stulic 80' · 0.54 xGCher Ndour 72' · 0.37 xGSantiago Pierotti 86' · 0.13 xGSantiago Pierotti 74' · 0.11 xGLassana Coulibaly 53' · 0.10 xGWalid Cheddira 17' · 0.06 xGOumar Ngom 44' · 0.06 xGRolando Mandragora 43' · 0.06 xGLassana Coulibaly 7' · 0.05 xGLameck Banda 69' · 0.03 xGYlber Ramadani 67' · 0.03 xGYlber Ramadani 64' · 0.03 xGRolando Mandragora 28' · 0.02 xGKonan N’Dri 46' · 0.01 xGKonan N’Dri 12' · 0.01 xGWalid Cheddira 49' · 0.01 xGTiago Gabriel 70' · 0.64 xG · goalJack Harrison 29' · 0.06 xG · goal
Lecce (attacking right)Fiorentina (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lecce1411.81
Fiorentina511.26

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Fiorentina led on xG, 0.90 to 0.18. At full time, Lecce led on xG, 1.81 to 1.26. The widest gap was 0.78 xG to Fiorentina, in the 43rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.80.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Fiorentina 29 minGoal - Lecce 70 min
Lecce 1.81 xGFiorentina 1.26 xGdots = goals · 19 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lecce v Fiorentina?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lecce v Fiorentina was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Fiorentina?
In their last 6 meetings, Lecce won 2, Fiorentina won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lecce and Fiorentina?
Recent form — Lecce 1W 0D 4L; Fiorentina 3W 1D 1L.

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