Mirassol v Vitoria result

Full-time · Mirassol 2–2 Vitoria

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Mirassol · Vitoria

The model’s pre-match pick

Mirassol 2–2 Vitoria — this Serie A – Brazil match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.98 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.4% of 185 landed (95% range 45.3–59.5%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Mirassol and Vitoria drew 2–2 at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 13 September.

The goals

Vitoria led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Vitoria: Rene (3’, assisted by Lucas Arcanjo; 12’, assisted by Erick); Mirassol: Bruno Santos (68’) and Edson Carioca (90’, assisted by Shaylon).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Edson Carioca’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Mirassol 1.46, Vitoria 1.64, from 27 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil showed 10 yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Mirassol: Alesson (29’), Wallisson (57’), Willian Machado (64’), Edson Carioca (90+1’) and Fernandinho (90+10’); Vitoria: E. Brítez (18’), Caique Goncalves (45’), Marinho (89’), Mateusinho (90+2’) and Edenilson (90+10’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rene (Vitoria) 9.8, Igor Formiga (Mirassol) 8.1 and Edson Carioca (Mirassol) 7.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Mirassol next host Internacional on 16 October 2026.

Vitoria next travel to Corinthians on 19 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Mirassol: Mirassol v Internacional, Saturday 17 October — the preview. Next for Vitoria: Corinthians v Vitoria, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Mirassol 2–2 Vitoria · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia · Mirassol
  • Referee: Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Mirassol 0 · draws 1 · Vitoria 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Mirassol 1W 3D 1L · Vitoria 1W 0D 4L

Mirassol 2–2 Vitoria (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.88
Corners
against 5.88 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.8 yellows
Referee · Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil
1.87 home / 2.93 away
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMirassol for / againstLineVitoria for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
14.63 for · 16.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
13.25 for · 15 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil — 4.8 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 30.33 fouls over 15 matches (1.87 to the home side, 2.93 to the away side).

Mirassol
Mirassol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Wallisson n 841.4
36/4
2.45/3
D. Tarzia
Denilson n 866.5
2.98/5
0.53/0
—
Elias n 469.5
2.32/2
0.61/1
—
Shaylon n 835.1
1.95/1
13/0
—
Gustavo Cazonatti n 845.5
1.75/2
1.74/2
—
Mirassol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Eduardo n 869
2.17/3
0.85/0
Bruno Santos n 865.8
1.96/3
0.94/1
Edson Carioca n 859.8
1.74/4
0.83/1
Japa n 846.8
1.74/2
0.72/1
Reinaldo n 892.6
1.36/4
0.53/1
Mirassol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Eduardo n 869
0.53/0
00/0
Igor Formiga n 879.6
00/0
0.42/1
Edson Carioca n 859.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Reinaldo n 892.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Bruno Santos n 865.8
0.21/0
00/0
Mirassol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Igor Formiga n 879.6
3.18/5
Alesson n 857.4
2.57/3
Gustavo Silva n 846.4
2.44/3
Wallisson n 841.4
2.44/2
Neto Moura n 855.9
2.27/3
Mirassol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alex Muralha n 883.8
34/4
Walter n 880.9
2.86/3
Vitoria
Vitoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fabricio n 814.3
3.24/0
00/0
—
Ze Vitor n 873.8
2.67/5
26/5
—
Renato Kayzer n 847.8
2.66/4
1.63/2
—
Marinho n 834.6
2.63/2
5.27/4
—
D. Tarzia n 855.8
1.85/3
2.86/4
Wallisson
Vitoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Marinho n 834.6
2.65/2
13/0
Osvaldo n 813
2.63/0
00/0
Rene n 864.1
2.56/4
1.23/3
Fabricio n 814.3
2.43/0
0.81/0
Ze Vitor n 873.8
1.75/3
0.21/0
Vitoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fabricio n 814.3
00/0
0.81/0
Rene n 864.1
0.52/1
00/0
Erick n 862.8
0.42/0
00/0
Marinho n 834.6
0.31/0
00/0
Matheuzinho n 870.4
0.21/0
00/0
Vitoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Marinho n 834.6
4.57/3
Ze Vitor n 873.8
4.37/7
Edenilson n 828.5
3.65/2
Fabricio n 814.3
3.24/0
T. Pochettino n 835.9
3.17/2
Vitoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Arcanjo n 892.5
4.18/8

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MirassolVitoria
76%Possession24%
1.46Expected goals (xG)1.64
27Shots8
6Shots on target6
10Shots off target1
11Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box3
12Corners5
1Offsides2
14Fouls17
5Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
4Saves4
593Passes187
91%Pass accuracy71%

Mirassol player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Alex Muralha9000000006.9
Igor Formiga9000115406.9
Gabriel9000100006.3
Reinaldo9000105007.3
Chico Kim9000313007.5
Bruno Santos9010310207.3
Willian Machado69000002Y6.2
Eduardo6900102006.3
Wallisson63000005Y7.3
Alesson63001101Y6.2
Gustavo Silva4200110306.2
Edson Carioca sub48103122Y8.2
Shaylon sub2701003007.3
Fernandinho sub27000011Y6.2
Lucas Oliveira sub2100100007.3
Andre Luis sub2100001106.9

Vitoria player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Arcanjo9001001006.7
E. Brítez90000001Y6.2
Caca9000001106.5
Luan Candido9000000206.3
Jamerson9000220706.6
Ze Vitor9000110306.9
Mateusinho90000004Y7.3
Rene8120430108.3
Caique Goncalves77000001Y6.3
Erick7001003006.7
D. Tarzia7000001006.3
T. Pochettino sub2000000106.2
Marinho sub20000001Y6.6
Edenilson sub13000000Y6.3
Renato Kayzer sub900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Mirassol v Vitoria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MirassolDDDLW
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
VitoriaLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Mirassol 0 · 1 draw · Vitoria 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-22 Vitoria 1–0 Mirassol
  • 2025-11-29 Vitoria 2–0 Mirassol
  • 2025-07-26 Mirassol 1–1 Vitoria
League standing · 2026
Mirassol#15 pos33 pts30 pl-10 GD
Vitoria#12 pos36 pts30 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Mirassol scored1.13
Vitoria scored1.1
Mirassol conceded1.47
Vitoria conceded1.47

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Mirassol vs Vitoria?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Mirassol v Vitoria was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.98 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and Vitoria?
In their last 3 meetings, Mirassol won 0, Vitoria won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Mirassol and Vitoria?
Recent form — Mirassol 1W 3D 1L; Vitoria 1W 0D 4L.

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