Monza v AC Milan prediction

Serie A · Sun, 03 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Monza · AC Milan · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Monza v AC Milan, Serie A on Sun, 03 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Monza host AC Milan in Serie A on Sunday 3 January (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

Monza have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Monza’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Monza’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Monza have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.57. Monza have scored 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Monza have conceded 24 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Nine of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, AC Milan have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.14. AC Milan have scored 21 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). AC Milan have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Monza have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Monza (18th) and AC Milan (fifth) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AC Milan the stronger side, 354 rating points above Monza (AC Milan 1789, Monza 1435, after at least 124 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 May 2025, finished AC Milan 2–0 Monza.

Team news

Predicted Monza XI (3-4-2-1): N. Törnqvist, L. Lucchesi, S. Goglichidze, E. Kouadio, R. Mangas, S. Birindelli, M. Ondoa, E. Akinsanmiro, L. Colombo, M. Folorunsho, G. Varela — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gustavo Varela (6.4 per match over 10 appearances, 11 goals and one assist) and Eddy Kouadio (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Monza’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monza (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gustavo Varela averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 841 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Eddy Kouadio averages 3.4 tackles per 90 over 885 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted AC Milan XI (3-4-2-1): M. Maignan, K. De Winter, S. Pavlović, M. Gila, Y. Musah, A. Jashari, A. Rabiot, L. Modrić, O. Hutchinson, D. Moreira, G. Ramos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Diego Moreira (4.8 per match over nine appearances, four goals and three assists) and A. Rabiot (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and four assists) have been AC Milan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Milan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Diego Moreira averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 829 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. A. Rabiot averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1622 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 03 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT · Serie A
Head-to-head (last 6): Monza 1 · draws 0 · AC Milan 5 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Monza 1W 0D 4L · AC Milan 2W 0D 3L

Monza v AC Milan (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.88

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 3

Corners

against 4.88 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 5.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Monza for / against	Line	AC Milan for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.88 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.25 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5

Monza

Monza Goalkeeper

Monza — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
N. Törnqvist	6	90540 min	264.3 /90	71.2 /90
D. Thiam	5	90450 min	51 /90	71.4 /90
S. Pizzignacco	1	9090 min	11 /90	44 /90

Monza — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Törnqvist n 6	90	4.3 6/6
D. Thiam n 8	91.1	1.5 3/1

Monza Defensive

Monza — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Kouadio	11	80885 min	333.4 /90	262.6 /90	70.7 /90	464.7 /90	121.2 /90	20.2 /90
A. Carboni	10	80796 min	151.7 /90	80.9 /90	30.3 /90	374.2 /90	121.4 /90	10.1 /90
L. Lucchesi	10	77771 min	101.2 /90	283.3 /90	70.8 /90	394.6 /90	182.1 /90	30.4 /90
A. Bakoune	7	53369 min	153.7 /90	71.7 /90	20.5 /90	266.3 /90	92.2 /90	00 /90
S. Goglichidze	5	74369 min	102.4 /90	82 /90	10.2 /90	266.3 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
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Monza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ricardo Mangas n 8	77.6	1.2 4/3	1 5/2	—
S. Birindelli n 8	89.9	0.8 4/2	0.9 5/2	—
E. Kouadio n 8	76.9	1.5 6/4	0.1 1/0	—
Gustavo Varela n 8	84.6	0.5 3/1	0.9 6/1	—
A. Carboni n 8	77	1.3 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
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Monza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Ricardo Mangas n 8	77.6	2.3 5/3
S. Birindelli n 8	89.9	1.4 7/3
E. Kouadio n 8	76.9	3.7 7/6
Gustavo Varela n 8	84.6	0.4 3/0
A. Carboni n 8	77	2.2 7/6
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Monza Attacking

Monza — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Gustavo Varela	10	84841 min	111.2 /90	10.1 /90	222.4 /90	141.5 /90	91 /90	101.1 /90
Jay Robinson	8	73583 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	121.9 /90	71.1 /90	81.2 /90	91.4 /90
Dany Mota	7	61425 min	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	143 /90	81.7 /90	91.9 /90	61.3 /90
P. Cutrone	7	46321 min	00 /90	20.6 /90	133.6 /90	61.7 /90	92.5 /90	30.8 /90
O. Forson	5	46229 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	93.5 /90	31.2 /90
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Monza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ricardo Mangas n 8	77.6	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
S. Birindelli n 8	89.9	1.3 8/2	0.5 4/0
E. Kouadio n 8	76.9	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
Gustavo Varela n 8	84.6	2.1 7/5	1.5 7/3
A. Carboni n 8	77	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
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Monza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ricardo Mangas n 8	77.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
S. Birindelli n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
E. Kouadio n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Gustavo Varela n 8	84.6	1.1 6/2	0.1 1/0
A. Carboni n 8	77	0 0/0	0 0/0
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AC Milan

AC Milan Goalkeeper

AC Milan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Maignan	13	851107 min	393.2 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
L. Torriani	2	74148 min	74.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90

AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	3.7 8/5
L. Torriani n 3	62.3	4.8 2/2

AC Milan Defensive

AC Milan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. De Winter	14	891240 min	231.7 /90	191.4 /90	60.4 /90	594.3 /90	211.5 /90	40.3 /90
S. Pavlović	13	891161 min	292.2 /90	100.8 /90	40.3 /90	866.7 /90	131 /90	30.2 /90
Mario Gila	10	79785 min	131.5 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90	364.1 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
S. Bocoum	5	55274 min	72.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	175.6 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
F. Tomori	4	63251 min	93.2 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90	155.4 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90
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AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	1.5 7/4	0.9 4/2	—
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0.9 5/2	1.5 6/3	—
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	1.5 5/2	1.8 6/3	—
Y. Musah n 8	70.9	1.1 5/1	1.3 5/3	—
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AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	1.8 7/4
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	2 8/6
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	0.7 4/1
Y. Musah n 8	70.9	1.4 4/4
A. Rabiot n 8	71.6	2 7/3
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AC Milan Attacking

AC Milan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Gonçalo Ramos	13	851100 min	30.2 /90	10.1 /90	282.3 /90	110.9 /90	80.7 /90	60.5 /90
A. Cissè	9	64573 min	71.1 /90	00 /90	142.2 /90	91.4 /90	40.6 /90	40.6 /90
A. Saelemaekers	5	44218 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.5 /90	20.8 /90
F. Camarda	3	37110 min	00 /90	00 /90	43.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90
Y. Musah	12	74882 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90	40.4 /90	50.5 /90
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AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	1.9 5/5	1 4/2
Y. Musah n 8	70.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Musah n 8	70.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Monza v AC Milan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MonzaLWLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

AC MilanLWLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Monza 1 · 0 draws · AC Milan 5 · 3 goals/game

2025-05-24 AC Milan 2–0 Monza
2024-11-02 Monza 0–1 AC Milan
2024-02-18 Monza 4–2 AC Milan
2023-12-17 AC Milan 3–0 Monza
2023-02-18 Monza 0–1 AC Milan
2022-10-22 AC Milan 4–1 Monza

League standing · 2026/27

Monza#18 pos7 pts10 pl-7 GD

AC Milan#5 pos21 pts10 pl+9 GD

Goals per game

Monza scored1.7

AC Milan scored2.1

Monza conceded2.4

AC Milan conceded1.2

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Monza and AC Milan?: In their last 6 meetings, Monza won 1, AC Milan won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monza and AC Milan?: Recent form — Monza 1W 0D 4L; AC Milan 2W 0D 3L.

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