Monza v Inter prediction

Serie A · Sun, 18 Apr 2027 17:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Monza · Inter · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Monza v Inter, Serie A on Sun, 18 Apr 2027 17:30 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Monza host Inter in Serie A on Sunday 18 April (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Monza have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Inter have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Inter are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Monza.

Form and the table

11 of Monza’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Monza’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Monza have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.57. Monza have scored 17 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Monza have conceded 24 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Both teams scored in 10 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Inter have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.38. Inter have scored 26 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Inter have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Monza have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Monza (18th) and Inter (third) are 18 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Inter the stronger side, 476 rating points above Monza (Inter 1911, Monza 1435, after at least 124 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Inter 4–1 Monza.

Team news

Predicted Monza XI (3-4-2-1): N. Törnqvist, L. Lucchesi, S. Goglichidze, E. Kouadio, R. Mangas, S. Birindelli, M. Ondoa, E. Akinsanmiro, L. Colombo, M. Folorunsho, G. Varela — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gustavo Varela (6.4 per match over 10 appearances, 11 goals and one assist) and Eddy Kouadio (4.2 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Monza’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monza (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gustavo Varela averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 841 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Eddy Kouadio averages 3.4 tackles per 90 over 885 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Inter XI (3-5-2): J. Martínez, M. Akanji, Y. Bisseck, A. Bastoni, N. Barella, H. Çalhanoğlu, F. Dimarco, A. Diouf, P. Zieliński, M. Thuram, F. Esposito — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lautaro Martínez (5.8 per match over seven appearances, six goals and one assist) and Carlos Augusto (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Inter’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Inter (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lautaro Martínez averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 1203 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Carlos Augusto averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 798 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 18 Apr 2027 17:30 BST · Serie A
Head-to-head (last 6): Monza 1 · draws 1 · Inter 4 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Monza 1W 0D 4L · Inter 4W 0D 1L

Monza v Inter (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.25

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 5.63

Corners

against 4.88 / 2.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 7.25

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 3.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.88 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Monza for / against	Line	Inter for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	19.75 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.88 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7.25 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.25 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Monza

Monza Goalkeeper

Monza — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
N. Törnqvist	6	90540 min	264.3 /90	71.2 /90
D. Thiam	5	90450 min	51 /90	71.4 /90
S. Pizzignacco	1	9090 min	11 /90	44 /90

Monza — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Törnqvist n 6	90	4.3 6/6
D. Thiam n 8	91.1	1.5 3/1

Monza Defensive

Monza — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Kouadio	11	80885 min	333.4 /90	262.6 /90	70.7 /90	464.7 /90	121.2 /90	20.2 /90
A. Carboni	10	80796 min	151.7 /90	80.9 /90	30.3 /90	374.2 /90	121.4 /90	10.1 /90
L. Lucchesi	10	77771 min	101.2 /90	283.3 /90	70.8 /90	394.6 /90	182.1 /90	30.4 /90
A. Bakoune	7	53369 min	153.7 /90	71.7 /90	20.5 /90	266.3 /90	92.2 /90	00 /90
S. Goglichidze	5	74369 min	102.4 /90	82 /90	10.2 /90	266.3 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
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Monza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ricardo Mangas n 8	77.6	1.2 4/3	1 5/2	—
S. Birindelli n 8	89.9	0.8 4/2	0.9 5/2	—
E. Kouadio n 8	76.9	1.5 6/4	0.1 1/0	—
Gustavo Varela n 8	84.6	0.5 3/1	0.9 6/1	—
A. Carboni n 8	77	1.3 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
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Monza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Ricardo Mangas n 8	77.6	2.3 5/3
S. Birindelli n 8	89.9	1.4 7/3
E. Kouadio n 8	76.9	3.7 7/6
Gustavo Varela n 8	84.6	0.4 3/0
A. Carboni n 8	77	2.2 7/6
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Monza Attacking

Monza — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Gustavo Varela	10	84841 min	111.2 /90	10.1 /90	222.4 /90	141.5 /90	91 /90	101.1 /90
Jay Robinson	8	73583 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	121.9 /90	71.1 /90	81.2 /90	91.4 /90
Dany Mota	7	61425 min	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	143 /90	81.7 /90	91.9 /90	61.3 /90
P. Cutrone	7	46321 min	00 /90	20.6 /90	133.6 /90	61.7 /90	92.5 /90	30.8 /90
O. Forson	5	46229 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	93.5 /90	31.2 /90
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Monza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ricardo Mangas n 8	77.6	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
S. Birindelli n 8	89.9	1.3 8/2	0.5 4/0
E. Kouadio n 8	76.9	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
Gustavo Varela n 8	84.6	2.1 7/5	1.5 7/3
A. Carboni n 8	77	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
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Monza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monza before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ricardo Mangas n 8	77.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
S. Birindelli n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
E. Kouadio n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Gustavo Varela n 8	84.6	1.1 6/2	0.1 1/0
A. Carboni n 8	77	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Josep Martínez	12	901080 min	342.8 /90	151.3 /90	00 /90
I. Provedel	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Josep Martínez n 8	90	2.5 7/3

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Akanji	12	83993 min	171.5 /90	252.3 /90	50.5 /90	524.7 /90	80.7 /90	40.4 /90
A. Bastoni	12	82978 min	211.9 /90	70.6 /90	60.6 /90	403.7 /90	121.1 /90	40.4 /90
Y. Bisseck	12	81968 min	191.8 /90	141.3 /90	70.7 /90	444.1 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90
Carlos Augusto	11	73798 min	121.4 /90	131.5 /90	10.1 /90	485.4 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90
B. Pavard	4	63253 min	72.5 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	134.6 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90
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Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Barella n 8	79.8	1.7 6/2	0.8 5/1	—
M. Thuram n 8	77.5	2.2 8/4	1.5 5/3	—
Josep Martínez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
M. Akanji n 8	83.8	0.7 5/0	0.8 5/1	—
A. Bastoni n 8	78.6	1.3 7/2	0.3 2/0	—
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Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Barella n 8	79.8	1.4 4/3
M. Thuram n 8	77.5	1.5 4/4
M. Akanji n 8	83.8	1.5 5/3
A. Bastoni n 8	78.6	1.6 6/3
Y. Bisseck n 8	76	1.2 4/3
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Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Thuram	13	70909 min	50.5 /90	20.2 /90	363.6 /90	171.7 /90	141.4 /90	111.1 /90
F. Esposito	10	61611 min	30.4 /90	10.1 /90	152.2 /90	101.5 /90	81.2 /90	10.1 /90
A. Bonny	9	38346 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	123.1 /90	92.3 /90	41 /90	71.8 /90
Lautaro Martínez	7	76532 min	61 /90	10.2 /90	305.1 /90	122 /90	122 /90	50.8 /90
Luis Henrique	6	38226 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	52 /90
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Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Barella n 8	79.8	1.4 6/3	0.3 2/0
M. Thuram n 8	77.5	3 8/6	1.6 7/2
Josep Martínez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Akanji n 8	83.8	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0
A. Bastoni n 8	78.6	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
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Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Barella n 8	79.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
M. Thuram n 8	77.5	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Josep Martínez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Akanji n 8	83.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Bastoni n 8	78.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Monza v Inter — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MonzaLWLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

InterWWWLW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Monza 1 · 1 draw · Inter 4 · 3.5 goals/game

2026-08-22 Inter 4–1 Monza
2025-03-08 Inter 3–2 Monza
2024-09-15 Monza 1–1 Inter
2024-01-13 Monza 1–5 Inter
2023-08-19 Inter 2–0 Monza
2023-04-15 Inter 0–1 Monza

League standing · 2026/27

Monza#18 pos7 pts10 pl-7 GD

Inter#3 pos25 pts10 pl+13 GD

Goals per game

Monza scored1.7

Inter scored2.6

Monza conceded2.4

Inter conceded1.3

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Inter?: In their last 6 meetings, Monza won 1, Inter won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monza and Inter?: Recent form — Monza 1W 0D 4L; Inter 4W 0D 1L.

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