Palmeiras v Sport Recife result

Full-time · Palmeiras 3–0 Sport Recife

Serie A – Brazil ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Palmeiras 3–0 Sport Recife — Palmeiras won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 199 landed (95% range 71.6–83.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Palmeiras beat Sport Recife 3–0 in Serie A – Brazil on Monday 25 August. Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Palmeiras led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Palmeiras: J. Lopez (14’, assisted by Vitor Roque; 56’, assisted by Vitor Roque) and G. Gomez (59’, assisted by Mauricio).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Lopez’s goal on 14 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Palmeiras 3.21, Sport Recife 0.35, from 22 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil showed two yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sport Recife: Kevyson (21’) and Pedro Augusto (85’).

What it changes

Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Lopez (Palmeiras) 11.5, Vitor Roque (Palmeiras) 9.9 and G. Gomez (Palmeiras) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Palmeiras to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (155 of 199).

Next up

Palmeiras next host Fluminense on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Palmeiras: Palmeiras v Fluminense, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Palmeiras 3–0 Sport Recife · Serie A – Brazil
  • Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Palmeiras 5 · draws 1 · Sport Recife 0 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Palmeiras 3W 1D 1L · Sport Recife 1W 4D 0L

Palmeiras 3–0 Sport Recife (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.43 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.57 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.86 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.71 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 2
Cards
against 2.57 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5.27 yellows
Referee · Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil
2.6 home / 2.67 away
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePalmeiras for / againstLineSport Recife for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.43 for · 4.57 against n 7
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
11.86 for · 11.86 against n 7
19.5standard
12.88 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.86 for · 4.71 against n 7
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.29 for · 14 against n 7
21.5standard
17 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.43 for · 2.57 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil — 5.27 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 29.47 fouls over 15 matches (2.6 to the home side, 2.67 to the away side).

Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Raphael Veiga n 837.6
2.75/3
2.76/2
—
J. Lopez n 851.8
2.67/3
2.87/4
—
Luighi n 831.3
2.54/3
3.27/2
—
Micael n 871.5
2.27/5
0.32/0
—
E. Martinez n 857.3
2.24/4
0.83/1
Zé Lucas
Palmeiras — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Allan Elias n 824
2.33/1
0.51/0
J. Lopez n 851.8
2.24/2
0.93/1
Vitor Roque n 869.4
1.96/4
1.35/2
R. Sosa n 844.8
1.54/2
0.52/0
E. Martinez n 857.3
1.24/2
0.62/1
Palmeiras — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Lopez n 851.8
0.93/1
00/0
Vitor Roque n 869.4
0.53/0
0.32/0
Mauricio n 872
0.32/0
0.32/0
Khellven n 855.4
00/0
0.62/1
J. Piquerez n 873.1
0.21/0
0.32/0
Palmeiras — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bruno Fuchs n 881.6
3.28/7
Lucas Evangelista n 867.9
37/5
Felipe Anderson n 855.8
37/4
J. Piquerez n 873.1
2.67/4
E. Martinez n 857.3
2.65/4
Palmeiras — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Weverton n 890
3.26/5
Marcelo Lomba n 892.8
2.96/4
Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Rivera n 880.4
3.48/7
1.37/2
—
Pedro Augusto n 831.8
2.55/1
1.13/0
—
Zé Lucas n 877.6
2.36/4
16/1
E. Martinez
Derik Lacerda n 875.5
2.27/4
1.97/4
—
Kevyson n 844.4
1.84/2
0.83/0
—
Sport Recife — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Romarinho n 818.5
33/2
2.42/2
Léo Pereira n 837.1
2.75/2
1.23/1
Derik Lacerda n 875.5
2.57/5
1.36/3
Chrystian Barletta n 854.9
2.14/4
1.23/2
Rodrigo Atencio n 826.5
2.13/1
0.41/0
Sport Recife — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Romarinho n 818.5
1.21/1
00/0
I. Ramírez n 848.8
0.72/1
00/0
Derik Lacerda n 875.5
0.43/0
00/0
Matheusinho n 854.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Léo Pereira n 837.1
00/0
0.31/0
Sport Recife — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Augusto n 831.8
3.95/2
C. Rivera n 880.4
3.56/6
Kevyson n 844.4
2.55/3
Zé Lucas n 877.6
2.38/5
Igor Cariús n 878.4
2.28/6
Sport Recife — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Caíque França n 892
3.26/4
Gabriel Vasconcelos n 890
2.96/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PalmeirasSport Recife
46%Possession54%
3.21Expected goals (xG)0.35
22Shots10
8Shots on target1
11Shots off target5
3Blocked shots4
17Shots inside the box3
6Corners3
1Offsides1
14Fouls12
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves5
374Passes437
83%Pass accuracy85%

Palmeiras player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Weverton9000000007
G. Gomez9010111408.2
Murilo9000100007.3
E. Martinez9000101407.5
J. Lopez9020531107.6
Vitor Roque9002325008.3
J. Piquerez8900204107.3
Khellven8400002207.5
Lucas Evangelista8400000407
Mauricio6801101107.3
Felipe Anderson6800102307.2
F. Torres sub2200220007.2
R. Sosa sub2200101006.6
A. Giay sub1500001106.9
Allan Elias sub1500100006.7
Jefte sub10000010–

Sport Recife player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gabriel Vasconcelos9000000007.5
Matheus Alexandre9000002106.7
Rafael Thyere9000000006.7
Ramon Menezes9000000406.9
C. Rivera9000000306.5
Matheusinho9000311207.2
Léo Pereira8900100205.9
Lucas Lima8200003207
Zé Lucas6100101206.9
Kevyson60001001Y6.2
Pablo6000000006.2
Aderlan sub3000000006.9
I. Ramírez sub3000000006.3
Pedro Augusto sub29000002Y6.3
Romarinho sub800000006.7
Chrystian Barletta sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Palmeiras v Sport Recife — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PalmeirasLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Sport RecifeDDDWD
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Palmeiras 5 · 1 draw · Sport Recife 0 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-04-06 Sport Recife 1–2 Palmeiras
  • 2021-10-26 Palmeiras 2–1 Sport Recife
  • 2021-07-04 Sport Recife 0–1 Palmeiras
  • 2021-01-09 Sport Recife 0–1 Palmeiras
  • 2020-09-13 Palmeiras 2–2 Sport Recife
  • 2018-09-23 Sport Recife 0–1 Palmeiras
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Palmeiras#2 pos76 pts38 pl+33 GD
Sport Recife#20 pos17 pts38 pl-47 GD
Goals per game
Palmeiras scored1.74
Sport Recife scored0.74
Palmeiras conceded0.87
Sport Recife conceded1.97

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Palmeiras v Sport Recife?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Palmeiras v Sport Recife was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Palmeiras and Sport Recife?
In their last 6 meetings, Palmeiras won 5, Sport Recife won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Palmeiras and Sport Recife?
Recent form — Palmeiras 3W 1D 1L; Sport Recife 1W 4D 0L.

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