ParmaAS Roma

Parma v AS Roma result

Full-time · Parma 2–3 AS Roma

Serie A · · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Parma · AS Roma · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Parma 2–3 AS Roma — AS Roma won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said AS Roma: 3.04 to 0.64 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 15 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 21st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

AS Roma won 3–2 at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A on Sunday 10 May. AS Roma have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

AS Roma led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — AS Roma: Donyell Malen (22’, assisted by Paulo Dybala; 90’ pen) and Devyne Rensch (90’); Parma: Gabriel Strefezza (47’, assisted by H. Nicolussi) and Mandela Keita (87’, assisted by N. Estévez). Sascha Britschgi (90+9’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Donyell Malen’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

D. Chiffi showed four yellow cards and one red — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Parma: Gabriel Strefezza (48’), Mariano Troilo (65’), Sascha Britschgi (76’) and Sascha Britschgi (90+9’).

What it changes

AS Roma are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Donyell Malen (AS Roma) 11.8, Mandela Keita (Parma) 7.8 and H. Nicolussi (Parma) 6.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

AS Roma are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Parma.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Parma next host AS Roma on 22 November 2026.

AS Roma next travel to Parma on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Parma: Parma v AS Roma, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Parma 2–3 AS Roma · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma
  • Referee: D. Chiffi
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Parma 1 · draws 0 · AS Roma 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Parma 2W 2D 1L · AS Roma 3W 1D 1L

Parma 2–3 AS Roma (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.86
Corners
against 5.75 / 5.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2 / 3.86
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.14 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.25 / 2
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.29 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.5 yellows
Referee · D. Chiffi
21.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameParma for / againstLineAS Roma for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.86 for · 5.29 against n 7
Shots
7.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
10.57 for · 11.14 against n 7
Shots on target
2 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.86 for · 4.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.14 for · 12.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.29 against n 7

Referee: D. Chiffi — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 21.75 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Parma

Parma Goalkeeper

Parma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Z. Suzuki19901710 min562.9 /90221.2 /9010.1 /90
E. Corvi16901440 min442.8 /90181.1 /9000 /90
F. Rinaldi19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Suzuki n 890
2.98/6
E. Corvi n 890
2.96/6

Parma Defensive

Parma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Del Prato35852969 min331 /90250.8 /90230.7 /90802.4 /90180.5 /9050.2 /90
A. Circati29862486 min411.5 /90210.8 /90260.9 /901354.9 /90301.1 /9060.2 /90
L. Valenti25842100 min441.9 /90261.1 /90251.1 /901054.5 /90210.9 /9060.3 /90
M. Troilo18801445 min211.3 /90130.8 /90150.9 /90845.2 /90231.4 /9050.3 /90
A. N'Diaye1075751 min161.9 /90121.4 /9030.4 /90536.4 /90131.6 /9050.6 /90
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Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Del Prato n 883.3
0.11/0
00/0
B. Cristante
Mandela Keita n 878.4
0.93/2
1.46/4
B. Cristante
Mateo Pellegrino n 879.3
2.77/6
2.16/4
—
Adrián Bernabé n 875.5
0.43/0
2.57/6
—
E. Valeri n 889.4
0.86/0
0.83/2
Z. Çelik
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Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 883.3
0.74/1
Mandela Keita n 878.4
0.95/1
Mateo Pellegrino n 879.3
0.32/0
Adrián Bernabé n 875.5
1.96/4
E. Valeri n 889.4
1.55/5
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Parma Attacking

Parma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mateo Pellegrino35822864 min100.3 /9010 /90571.8 /90270.8 /90200.6 /90270.8 /90
J. Ondrejka1553795 min00 /9000 /90141.6 /9070.8 /9060.7 /90111.2 /90
P. Cutrone1368881 min00 /9000 /90161.6 /9060.6 /9040.4 /9050.5 /90
Gabriel Strefezza1275903 min10.1 /9020.2 /90131.3 /9050.5 /90141.4 /90161.6 /90
P. Almqvist1048480 min00 /9000 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9081.5 /9040.8 /90
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Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 883.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Mandela Keita n 878.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 879.3
1.16/2
0.43/0
Adrián Bernabé n 875.5
0.94/2
0.63/1
E. Valeri n 889.4
0.53/1
0.32/0
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Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 883.3
0.11/0
00/0
Mandela Keita n 878.4
00/0
00/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 879.3
0.11/0
00/0
Adrián Bernabé n 875.5
0.11/0
00/0
E. Valeri n 889.4
00/0
00/0
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AS Roma

AS Roma Goalkeeper

AS Roma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Svilar44903960 min1212.8 /90380.9 /9000 /90
P. Gollini19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /90
AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Svilar n 890
2.96/4

AS Roma Defensive

AS Roma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Mancini40833303 min541.5 /90521.4 /90150.4 /902045.6 /90832.3 /90110.3 /90
E. Ndicka39833233 min320.9 /90631.8 /90120.3 /901754.9 /90431.2 /9070.2 /90
Hermoso30752247 min431.7 /90311.2 /9080.3 /901255 /90431.7 /9090.4 /90
D. Ghilardi24601448 min462.9 /90231.4 /9080.5 /901096.8 /90311.9 /9030.2 /90
J. Ziółkowski1255658 min233.1 /90131.8 /9071 /90608.2 /90131.8 /9020.3 /90
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AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
—
B. Cristante n 890
1.98/4
0.32/0
Mandela Keita
G. Mancini n 872
1.96/4
1.46/2
—
Z. Çelik n 876.5
1.35/3
0.64/0
E. Valeri
E. Ndicka n 890
0.94/2
0.94/3
—
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AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Cristante n 890
1.85/3
G. Mancini n 872
1.15/1
Z. Çelik n 876.5
2.27/3
E. Ndicka n 890
0.96/1
M. Soulé n 867.6
0.73/1
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AS Roma Attacking

AS Roma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Soulé38692629 min70.2 /9070.2 /90521.8 /90240.8 /90572 /90411.4 /90
L. Pellegrini32591888 min60.3 /9030.1 /90311.5 /90170.8 /90472.2 /9070.3 /90
P. Dybala23571312 min30.2 /9030.2 /90281.9 /90181.2 /90533.6 /90161.1 /90
S. El Shaarawy2242917 min10.1 /9020.2 /90202 /9080.8 /90171.7 /90151.5 /90
E. Ferguson20531061 min50.4 /9020.2 /90292.5 /90181.5 /90161.4 /90121 /90
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AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Cristante n 890
0.31/1
00/0
G. Mancini n 872
0.32/0
0.32/0
Z. Çelik n 876.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
E. Ndicka n 890
0.96/1
0.32/0
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AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Svilar n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Cristante n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Mancini n 872
0.32/0
00/0
Z. Çelik n 876.5
00/0
00/0
E. Ndicka n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ParmaAS Roma
34%Possession66%
0.73Expected goals (xG)2.62
11Shots15
3Shots on target7
5Shots off target5
3Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box12
3Corners6
4Offsides4
14Fouls8
4Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
4Saves1
291Passes569
78%Pass accuracy88%

Parma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Z. Suzuki9000000006
A. Circati9000000005.9
M. Troilo90000002Y6.3
L. Valenti9000000506.3
C. Ordoñez9000102306.3
Mandela Keita9010110508
H. Nicolussi7901101207.2
N. Elphege7900001106.6
E. Del Prato7400000206.9
E. Valeri7400002007
Gabriel Strefezza53105200Y7.9
Mateo Pellegrino sub3700000006.3
Sascha Britschgi sub25000000RY4.7
F. Carboni sub1600000006.2
N. Estévez sub1101001106.7
P. Almqvist sub1100000006.3

AS Roma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Svilar9000000006.5
G. Mancini9000100005.6
E. Ndicka9000110006.3
Wesley9000112006.9
P. Dybala9001006108.2
D. Malen9020540008.3
Z. Çelik7500001206.7
M. Koné7500000006.2
B. Cristante5900000206.6
M. Soulé5800100006.3
Hermoso5300000006.5
D. Ghilardi sub3700000106.7
N. Pisilli sub3200100006.3
N. El Aynaoui sub3100101307.3
D. Rensch sub1510110007.6
L. Venturino sub1500000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Parma v AS Roma — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ParmaDDWWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
AS RomaLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Parma 1 · 0 draws · AS Roma 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-10-29 AS Roma 2–1 Parma
  • 2025-02-16 Parma 0–1 AS Roma
  • 2024-12-22 AS Roma 5–0 Parma
  • 2021-03-14 Parma 2–0 AS Roma
  • 2020-11-22 AS Roma 3–0 Parma
  • 2020-07-08 AS Roma 2–1 Parma
League standing · 2025/26
Parma#13 pos45 pts38 pl-18 GD
AS Roma#3 pos73 pts38 pl+28 GD
Goals per game
Parma scored0.74
AS Roma scored1.55
Parma conceded1.21
AS Roma conceded0.82

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Parma 0.64 xG from 11 shots, AS Roma 3.04 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Matìas Soulè Malvano 28' · 0.58 xGDonyell Malen 50' · 0.40 xGDonyell Malen 72' · 0.35 xGNeil El Aynaoui 65' · 0.13 xGDaniele Ghilardi 93' · 0.11 xGNiccolò Pisilli 76' · 0.09 xGGabriel Strefezza 29' · 0.08 xGGabriel Strefezza 36' · 0.08 xGNesta Elphege 11' · 0.08 xGEvan Ndicka 91' · 0.07 xGNiccolò Pisilli 72' · 0.07 xGDonyell Malen 81' · 0.07 xGGianluca Mancini 77' · 0.06 xGGabriel Strefezza 12' · 0.05 xGHans Nicolussi Caviglia 36' · 0.05 xGMatìas Soulè Malvano 19' · 0.04 xGGabriel Strefezza 3' · 0.03 xGMateo Pellegrino 71' · 0.03 xGWesley 90' · 0.03 xGHans Nicolussi Caviglia 44' · 0.02 xGChristian Ordóñez 58' · 0.01 xGDonyell Malen 100' · 0.76 xG · goalDonyell Malen 21' · 0.26 xG · goalMandela Keita 86' · 0.13 xG · goalGabriel Strefezza 46' · 0.07 xG · goalDevyne Rensch 93' · 0.03 xG · goal
Parma (attacking right)AS Roma (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Parma1120.64
AS Roma1533.04

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, AS Roma led on xG, 0.88 to 0.39. At full time, AS Roma led on xG, 3.04 to 0.64, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.40 xG to AS Roma, in the 100th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.01.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - AS Roma 21 minGoal - Parma 46 minGoal - Parma 86 minGoal - AS Roma 93 minGoal - AS Roma 100 min
Parma 0.64 xGAS Roma 3.04 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Parma v AS Roma?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Parma v AS Roma was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Parma and AS Roma?
In their last 6 meetings, Parma won 1, AS Roma won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Parma and AS Roma?
Recent form — Parma 2W 2D 1L; AS Roma 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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