ParmaPisa

Parma v Pisa result

Full-time · Parma 1–0 Pisa

Serie A · · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Parma 1–0 Pisa — Parma won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Parma 1.32, Pisa 1.56 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Pisa have conceded 71 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games).

Parma beat Pisa 1–0 at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A on Saturday 25 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Parma: Nesta Elphege (82’, assisted by O. Sørensen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nesta Elphege’s goal on 82 minutes.

Discipline

A. Calzavara showed three yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Parma: A. N'Diaye (89’); Pisa: S. Canestrelli (18’) and İ. Vural (44’).

What it changes

Parma have scored 28 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Parma have conceded 46 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Pisa have scored 26 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games).

Parma are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Pisa have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nesta Elphege (Parma) 5.6, O. Sørensen (Parma) 4.0 and S. Moreo (Pisa) 3.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Parma are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Pisa.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Parma next host Bologna on 7 November 2026.

Pisa next host Sudtirol on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Parma: Parma v Bologna, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Pisa: Pisa v Sudtirol, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Parma 1–0 Pisa · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma
  • Referee: A. Calzavara
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Parma 3 · draws 2 · Pisa 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Parma 1W 2D 2L · Pisa 1W 0D 4L

Parma 1–0 Pisa (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3.13
Corners
against 5.25 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameParma for / againstLinePisa for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.13 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
8.63 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
8.13 for · 13.75 against n 8
Shots on target
2.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
2.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
13.25 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: A. Calzavara.

Parma

Parma Goalkeeper

Parma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Z. Suzuki17901530 min502.9 /90201.2 /9010.1 /90
E. Corvi16901440 min442.8 /90181.1 /9000 /90
F. Rinaldi19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Suzuki n 890
38/6
E. Corvi n 890
2.96/6

Parma Defensive

Parma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Del Prato33852798 min321 /90250.8 /90220.7 /90792.5 /90180.6 /9050.2 /90
A. Circati27852306 min331.3 /90210.8 /90261 /901234.8 /90301.2 /9060.2 /90
L. Valenti25842100 min441.9 /90261.1 /90251.1 /901054.5 /90210.9 /9060.3 /90
M. Troilo16791265 min191.4 /90110.8 /90151.1 /90785.5 /90221.6 /9050.4 /90
A. N'Diaye871571 min142.2 /90111.7 /9010.2 /90426.6 /90101.6 /9040.6 /90
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Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.32/0
00/0
S. Angori
Mandela Keita n 882.5
0.73/1
1.26/3
M. Aebischer
Mateo Pellegrino n 882
2.66/6
1.96/4
S. Moreo
Adrián Bernabé n 876.5
0.42/1
1.86/4
S. Angori
E. Valeri n 889.9
1.37/2
0.83/2
M. Aebischer
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Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.53/1
Mandela Keita n 882.5
1.26/3
Mateo Pellegrino n 882
0.54/0
Adrián Bernabé n 876.5
1.65/3
E. Valeri n 889.9
1.55/5
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Parma Attacking

Parma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mateo Pellegrino33822707 min100.3 /9010 /90551.8 /90260.9 /90190.6 /90260.9 /90
J. Ondrejka1553795 min00 /9000 /90141.6 /9070.8 /9060.7 /90111.2 /90
P. Cutrone1368881 min00 /9000 /90161.6 /9060.6 /9040.4 /9050.5 /90
Gabriel Strefezza1076762 min10.1 /9020.2 /90121.4 /9040.5 /90131.5 /90131.5 /90
A. Benedyczak955492 min20.4 /9010.2 /9091.6 /9061.1 /9040.7 /9000 /90
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Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Mandela Keita n 882.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 882
1.56/3
0.43/0
Adrián Bernabé n 876.5
15/2
0.63/1
E. Valeri n 889.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
Mandela Keita n 882.5
00/0
00/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 882
0.32/0
00/0
Adrián Bernabé n 876.5
0.11/0
00/0
E. Valeri n 889.9
00/0
0.11/0
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Pisa

Pisa Goalkeeper

Pisa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Šemper20901800 min643.2 /90311.6 /9000 /90
S. Scuffet891727 min172.1 /90162 /9000 /90
Nícolas690540 min122 /90142.3 /9000 /90
Pisa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pisa before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Šemper n 890
2.86/5
S. Scuffet n 890.9
2.14/4

Pisa Defensive

Pisa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Canestrelli33862848 min371.2 /90260.8 /90180.6 /901504.7 /90391.2 /9030.1 /90
A. Caracciolo31882714 min672.2 /90401.3 /90230.8 /901294.3 /90341.1 /9080.3 /90
A. Calabresi21611291 min161.1 /90171.2 /90130.9 /90523.6 /90271.9 /9060.4 /90
G. Bonfanti1052524 min152.6 /9081.4 /9030.5 /90345.8 /90101.7 /9010.2 /90
Raúl Albiol963570 min81.3 /9060.9 /9081.3 /90182.8 /9071.1 /9020.3 /90
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Pisa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pisa before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Canestrelli n 879.5
1.86/4
0.86/0
—
A. Caracciolo n 889.9
1.36/3
0.32/0
—
M. Aebischer n 880.1
1.36/3
1.56/3
E. Valeri
S. Angori n 886.6
0.84/2
1.76/5
Adrián Bernabé
S. Moreo n 877.4
0.94/2
0.94/1
Mateo Pellegrino
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Pisa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pisa before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Canestrelli n 879.5
14/2
A. Caracciolo n 889.9
38/7
M. Aebischer n 880.1
1.87/5
S. Angori n 886.6
1.46/3
S. Moreo n 877.4
0.32/0
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Pisa Attacking

Pisa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Moreo29661920 min60.3 /9010 /90401.9 /90180.8 /90200.9 /90100.5 /90
M. Tramoni26621621 min20.1 /9020.1 /90221.2 /90100.6 /90271.5 /9080.4 /90
H. Meister24621480 min20.1 /9000 /90150.9 /9070.4 /9040.2 /90120.7 /90
M'Bala Nzola16661053 min30.3 /9000 /90201.7 /9070.6 /90151.3 /90141.2 /90
R. Durosinmi1042420 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.7 /9051.1 /9020.4 /9030.6 /90
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Pisa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pisa before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Canestrelli n 879.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Caracciolo n 889.9
0.94/3
0.31/1
M. Aebischer n 880.1
0.64/0
0.32/0
S. Angori n 886.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
S. Moreo n 877.4
1.55/3
0.95/1
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Pisa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pisa before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Canestrelli n 879.5
0.11/0
00/0
A. Caracciolo n 889.9
0.31/1
00/0
M. Aebischer n 880.1
00/0
00/0
S. Angori n 886.6
00/0
0.11/0
S. Moreo n 877.4
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ParmaPisa
51%Possession49%
1.64Expected goals (xG)1.71
15Shots12
5Shots on target3
3Shots off target7
7Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box7
7Corners4
0Offsides3
10Fouls19
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves4
405Passes392
85%Pass accuracy86%

Parma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Z. Suzuki9000000007.2
A. Circati9000000407.5
M. Troilo9000000207.6
A. N'Diaye90001001Y7.3
E. Valeri9000212007
Mateo Pellegrino9000111006.3
E. Del Prato8100100106.6
Adrián Bernabé7800002006.9
H. Nicolussi7800000006.7
Gabriel Strefezza6600111106.6
Mandela Keita6500110106.9
C. Ordoñez sub2500001006.3
N. Elphege sub2410111007.7
O. Sørensen sub1201001007.3
N. Estévez sub1200000006.7
P. Almqvist sub900000006.3

Pisa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Šemper9000000006.9
S. Canestrelli90000001Y6.3
A. Caracciolo9000110106.3
M. Aebischer9000100106.7
S. Angori9000001107.2
S. Moreo9000102107.2
R. Bozhinov8000100207
E. Akinsanmiro8000201006.9
F. Stojilković6600101106.2
M. Léris6500101006.3
İ. Vural45001112Y7.3
G. Piccinini sub4500001206.3
I. Touré sub2500000006.9
H. Meister sub2400110006.3
J. Cuadrado sub1000000006.2
Lorran sub1000000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Parma v Pisa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ParmaLLDDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
PisaWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Parma 3 · 2 draws · Pisa 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-12-08 Pisa 0–1 Parma
  • 2024-02-17 Parma 3–2 Pisa
  • 2023-08-29 Pisa 1–2 Parma
  • 2023-02-28 Parma 0–1 Pisa
  • 2022-10-08 Pisa 0–0 Parma
  • 2022-02-22 Pisa 0–0 Parma
League standing · 2025/26
Parma#13 pos45 pts38 pl-18 GD
Pisa#20 pos18 pts38 pl-45 GD
Goals per game
Parma scored0.74
Pisa scored0.68
Parma conceded1.21
Pisa conceded1.87

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Parma 1.32 xG from 15 shots, Pisa 1.56 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Isak Vural 5' · 0.57 xGFilip Stojilkovic 44' · 0.32 xGHenrik Meister 75' · 0.32 xGEbenezer Akinsanmiro 28' · 0.13 xGNiakhate Ndiaye 31' · 0.13 xGEmanuele Valeri 84' · 0.10 xGHans Nicolussi Caviglia 51' · 0.10 xGAlessandro Circati 13' · 0.08 xGMariano Troilo 44' · 0.08 xGStefano Moreo 76' · 0.06 xGHans Nicolussi Caviglia 66' · 0.05 xGMandela Keita 8' · 0.05 xGEnrico Del Prato 37' · 0.05 xGRosen Bozhinov 32' · 0.04 xGMateo Pellegrino 44' · 0.03 xGMateo Pellegrino 86' · 0.03 xGMehdi Leris 34' · 0.03 xGGabriel Strefezza 21' · 0.02 xGAntonio Caracciolo 27' · 0.02 xGMichel Aebischer 20' · 0.02 xGEmanuele Valeri 13' · 0.02 xGGabriel Strefezza 39' · 0.02 xGStefano Moreo 46' · 0.02 xGEmanuele Valeri 44' · 0.02 xGEbenezer Akinsanmiro 58' · 0.02 xGMehdi Leris 27' · 0.01 xGNesta Elphege 81' · 0.50 xG · goal
Parma (attacking right)Pisa (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Parma1511.32
Pisa1201.56

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Pisa led on xG, 1.16 to 0.52. At full time, xG was level: Parma 1.32, Pisa 1.56. The widest gap was 0.88 xG to Pisa, in the 76th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Parma 81 min
Parma 1.32 xGPisa 1.56 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Parma v Pisa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Parma v Pisa was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Pisa?
In their last 6 meetings, Parma won 3, Pisa won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Parma and Pisa?
Recent form — Parma 1W 2D 2L; Pisa 1W 0D 4L.

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