ParmaSassuolo

Parma v Sassuolo result

Full-time · Parma 1–0 Sassuolo

Serie A · · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Parma 1–0 Sassuolo — Parma won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1442 landed (95% range 66.1–70.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 854 of 1,317 times (64.8%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Parma: 1.51 to 1.09 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the 79th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Parma beat Sassuolo 1–0 at Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A on Sunday 24 May. It is Parma’s first win over Sassuolo since 16 February 2020, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Parma: Mateo Pellegrino (80’, assisted by Pontus Almqvist).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mateo Pellegrino’s goal on 80 minutes.

Discipline

N. Turrini showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Parma: Sascha Britschgi (7’) and Lautaro Valenti (30’); Sassuolo: Kristian Thorstvedt (18’) and T. Macchioni (21’).

What it changes

Parma have scored four goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Parma have conceded six goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sassuolo have scored five goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Sassuolo have conceded six goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sassuolo have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mateo Pellegrino (Parma) 6.5, Luca Lipani (Sassuolo) 4.9 and Christian Ordoñez (Parma) 4.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Sassuolo are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Parma.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Sassuolo, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1442).

Next up

Parma next host AS Roma on 22 November 2026.

Sassuolo next host Genoa on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Parma: Parma v AS Roma, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Sassuolo: Sassuolo v Genoa, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Parma 1–0 Sassuolo · Serie A
  • Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma
  • Referee: N. Turrini
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Parma 2 · draws 3 · Sassuolo 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Parma 2W 0D 3L · Sassuolo 2W 1D 2L

Parma 1–0 Sassuolo (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 3.38
Corners
against 7.25 / 6.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameParma for / againstLineSassuolo for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 7.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
7.5 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: N. Turrini.

Parma

Parma Goalkeeper

Parma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Z. Suzuki21901890 min663.1 /90261.2 /9010 /90
E. Corvi16901440 min442.8 /90181.1 /9000 /90
F. Rinaldi19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Parma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Suzuki n 890
3.48/6
E. Corvi n 890
2.96/6

Parma Defensive

Parma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Del Prato37853133 min361 /90260.7 /90250.7 /90862.5 /90180.5 /9050.1 /90
A. Circati31862666 min441.5 /90240.8 /90301 /901414.8 /90321.1 /9060.2 /90
L. Valenti27842280 min512 /90261 /90261 /901184.7 /90230.9 /9060.2 /90
M. Troilo20811625 min251.4 /90160.9 /90191.1 /90915 /90251.4 /9060.3 /90
A. N'Diaye1075751 min161.9 /90121.4 /9030.4 /90536.4 /90131.6 /9050.6 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Parma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Del Prato n 886.9
00/0
00/0
—
Mandela Keita n 881.8
14/2
1.46/4
I. Koné
Mateo Pellegrino n 874.9
2.77/6
2.35/4
A. Laurienté
E. Valeri n 878.5
0.75/0
0.32/0
I. Koné
Adrián Bernabé n 875.5
0.43/0
2.57/6
—
See more players · Pro
Parma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 886.9
0.95/2
Mandela Keita n 881.8
1.76/3
Mateo Pellegrino n 874.9
0.52/1
E. Valeri n 878.5
1.65/4
Adrián Bernabé n 875.5
1.96/4
See more players · Pro

Parma Attacking

Parma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mateo Pellegrino37812991 min100.3 /9010 /90571.7 /90270.8 /90200.6 /90270.8 /90
J. Ondrejka1553795 min00 /9000 /90141.6 /9070.8 /9060.7 /90111.2 /90
Gabriel Strefezza14731015 min20.2 /9020.2 /90181.6 /9070.6 /90141.2 /90171.5 /90
P. Cutrone1368881 min00 /9000 /90161.6 /9060.6 /9040.4 /9050.5 /90
P. Almqvist1048480 min00 /9000 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9081.5 /9040.8 /90
See more players · Pro
Parma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 886.9
0.43/0
0.32/0
Mandela Keita n 881.8
0.43/0
0.43/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 874.9
0.95/1
0.32/0
E. Valeri n 878.5
0.42/1
0.32/0
Adrián Bernabé n 875.5
0.94/2
0.63/1
See more players · Pro
Parma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Parma before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Del Prato n 886.9
0.11/0
00/0
Mandela Keita n 881.8
0.11/0
00/0
Mateo Pellegrino n 874.9
0.21/0
00/0
E. Valeri n 878.5
00/0
00/0
Adrián Bernabé n 875.5
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Sassuolo

Sassuolo Goalkeeper

Sassuolo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Murić32902880 min1193.7 /90431.3 /9010 /90
S. Turati790630 min182.6 /9091.3 /9000 /90
Sassuolo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Murić n 890
3.57/4
S. Turati n 790
2.65/3

Sassuolo Defensive

Sassuolo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Walukiewicz36822965 min531.6 /90250.8 /90110.3 /901173.6 /90381.2 /9070.2 /90
J. Idzes34893009 min280.8 /90411.2 /90230.7 /90982.9 /90321 /9020.1 /90
T. Muharemović33892925 min481.5 /90481.5 /90311 /901394.3 /90260.8 /9070.2 /90
Josh Doig28711998 min341.5 /90221 /90140.6 /90934.2 /90180.8 /9050.2 /90
W. Coulibaly16631005 min252.2 /90100.9 /9050.4 /90494.4 /90161.4 /9020.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Sassuolo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Laurienté n 877.5
1.96/4
2.56/4
Mateo Pellegrino
S. Walukiewicz n 887.1
1.56/3
0.53/1
—
I. Koné n 874.9
1.13/2
2.17/3
E. Valeri
J. Idzes n 883.8
0.85/1
0.32/0
—
A. Pinamonti n 861.9
0.74/0
1.36/1
—
See more players · Pro
Sassuolo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 877.5
1.37/1
S. Walukiewicz n 887.1
1.56/4
I. Koné n 874.9
1.56/4
J. Idzes n 883.8
0.94/3
A. Pinamonti n 861.9
00/0
See more players · Pro

Sassuolo Attacking

Sassuolo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Laurienté37702607 min70.2 /9090.3 /90541.9 /90270.9 /90541.9 /90291 /90
A. Pinamonti34732493 min90.3 /9030.1 /90582.1 /90311.1 /90170.6 /9050.2 /90
D. Berardi26761970 min80.4 /9050.2 /90351.6 /90211 /90361.6 /90100.5 /90
A. Fadera26411071 min20.2 /9010.1 /90100.8 /9050.4 /9080.7 /90110.9 /90
M'Bala Nzola1041411 min10.2 /9010.2 /9071.5 /9040.9 /9040.9 /9051.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Sassuolo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 877.5
25/4
0.94/2
S. Walukiewicz n 887.1
0.11/0
00/0
I. Koné n 874.9
0.63/1
0.21/0
J. Idzes n 883.8
0.11/0
00/0
A. Pinamonti n 861.9
2.78/4
1.56/1
See more players · Pro
Sassuolo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 877.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. Walukiewicz n 887.1
00/0
00/0
I. Koné n 874.9
0.21/0
00/0
J. Idzes n 883.8
00/0
00/0
A. Pinamonti n 861.9
0.53/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ParmaSassuolo
52%Possession48%
1.12Expected goals (xG)0.91
16Shots6
3Shots on target1
11Shots off target4
2Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box3
1Corners1
1Offsides2
10Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves2
402Passes382
83%Pass accuracy84%

Parma Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Corvi9000000006.9
A. Circati9000001107.3
M. Troilo9000001207.3
C. Ordoñez9000101207.5
H. Nicolussi9000312206.9
Mateo Pellegrino9010312007.7
E. Valeri7600202107
Sascha Britschgi72000000Y6.2
Mandela Keita7200110107
L. Valenti61001000Y6.9
D. Mikołajewski4500100006.5
Alessandro Cardinali sub4500000006.5
A. N'Diaye sub2900000106.9
O. Sørensen sub1800100006.9
P. Almqvist sub1801101107.2
F. Carboni sub1400000006.6

Sassuolo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Coulibaly9000000206.9
T. Macchioni90001000Y6.2
U. Garcia9000001106.9
K. Thorstvedt90000001Y6.5
D. Berardi9000211006.3
A. Pinamonti9000000206.6
S. Turati8300000006.9
L. Lipani8300000307.5
A. Laurienté6600100106.7
I. Koné6500100106.9
J. Idzes5400000007
Pedro Felipe sub3600000006.3
N. Matić sub2500000006.3
M'Bala Nzola sub2400001006.3
G. Zacchi sub1400000006.7
C. Volpato sub1400000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Parma v Sassuolo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ParmaWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
SassuoloWDWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Parma 2 · 3 draws · Sassuolo 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-03 Sassuolo 1–1 Parma
  • 2021-05-16 Parma 1–3 Sassuolo
  • 2021-01-17 Sassuolo 1–1 Parma
  • 2020-02-16 Sassuolo 0–1 Parma
  • 2019-09-25 Parma 1–0 Sassuolo
  • 2019-04-14 Sassuolo 0–0 Parma
League standing · 2025/26
Parma#13 pos45 pts38 pl-18 GD
Sassuolo#11 pos49 pts38 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Parma scored0.74
Sassuolo scored1.21
Parma conceded1.21
Sassuolo conceded1.32

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Parma 1.51 xG from 16 shots, Sassuolo 1.09 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Tommaso Macchioni 32' · 0.50 xGDaniel Mikolajewski 7' · 0.43 xGArmand Lauriente 47' · 0.39 xGIsmaël Koné 36' · 0.12 xGChristian Ordóñez 51' · 0.09 xGLautaro Valenti 18' · 0.08 xGChristian Ordóñez 35' · 0.06 xGHans Nicolussi Caviglia 21' · 0.06 xGMandela Keita 38' · 0.05 xGPontus Almqvist 81' · 0.05 xGDomenico Berardi 32' · 0.04 xGMateo Pellegrino 33' · 0.04 xGPontus Almqvist 76' · 0.04 xGHans Nicolussi Caviglia 2' · 0.04 xGEmanuele Valeri 9' · 0.03 xGHans Nicolussi Caviglia 61' · 0.02 xGEmanuele Valeri 51' · 0.02 xGDomenico Berardi 85' · 0.02 xGMateo Pellegrino 5' · 0.02 xGWoyo Coulibaly 84' · 0.01 xGOliver Sørensen 73' · 0.01 xGMateo Pellegrino 79' · 0.47 xG · goal
Parma (attacking right)Sassuolo (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Parma1611.51
Sassuolo601.09

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Parma 0.81, Sassuolo 0.66. At full time, Parma led on xG, 1.51 to 1.09. The widest gap was 0.65 xG to Parma, in the 21st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.50.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Parma 79 min
Parma 1.51 xGSassuolo 1.09 xGdots = goals · 22 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Parma v Sassuolo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Parma v Sassuolo was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Sassuolo?
In their last 6 meetings, Parma won 2, Sassuolo won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Parma and Sassuolo?
Recent form — Parma 2W 0D 3L; Sassuolo 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+